Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points
Market Model 48.0% 48.0%
Los Angeles L wins by over 2.5 points
Market Model 54.0% 54.0%
Topic tracker · Sports
NBA Spread
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new NBA Spread markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated November 15, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando at Philadelphia: Spread | April 29, 2026 | 4.8% vs 11.0% | Report → |
