Topic tracker · Sports

NFL Game

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 15 so far (0 live, 15 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new NFL Game markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated October 11, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons October 14, 2026 65.1% vs 62.0%
SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks October 13, 2026 42.5% vs 39.0%
DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals October 13, 2026 75.7% vs 70.0%
CHI Bears vs GB Packers October 13, 2026 56.0% vs 52.0%
DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers October 13, 2026 70.4% vs 64.0%
MIN Vikings vs NO Saints October 13, 2026 57.2% vs 55.0%
LV Raiders vs NE Patriots October 13, 2026 39.8% vs 38.0%
IND Colts vs PIT Steelers October 13, 2026 62.7% vs 59.0%
CLE Browns vs NY Jets October 13, 2026 45.8% vs 44.0%
PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars October 13, 2026 21.0% vs 24.0%
HOU Texans vs TEN Titans October 13, 2026 77.9% vs 75.0%
CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins October 13, 2026 78.1% vs 76.0%
NY Giants vs WAS Commanders October 13, 2026 40.8% vs 37.0%
NY Giants vs LA Rams September 24, 2026 27.4% vs 27.0%
New York J vs Tennessee September 15, 2026 69.2% vs 77.0%