Topic tracker · Sports
NFL Game
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 15 so far (0 live, 15 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new NFL Game markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated October 11, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons | October 14, 2026 | 65.1% vs 62.0% | Report → |
| SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks | October 13, 2026 | 42.5% vs 39.0% | Report → |
| DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals | October 13, 2026 | 75.7% vs 70.0% | Report → |
| CHI Bears vs GB Packers | October 13, 2026 | 56.0% vs 52.0% | Report → |
| DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers | October 13, 2026 | 70.4% vs 64.0% | Report → |
| MIN Vikings vs NO Saints | October 13, 2026 | 57.2% vs 55.0% | Report → |
| LV Raiders vs NE Patriots | October 13, 2026 | 39.8% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| IND Colts vs PIT Steelers | October 13, 2026 | 62.7% vs 59.0% | Report → |
| CLE Browns vs NY Jets | October 13, 2026 | 45.8% vs 44.0% | Report → |
| PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars | October 13, 2026 | 21.0% vs 24.0% | Report → |
| HOU Texans vs TEN Titans | October 13, 2026 | 77.9% vs 75.0% | Report → |
| CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins | October 13, 2026 | 78.1% vs 76.0% | Report → |
| NY Giants vs WAS Commanders | October 13, 2026 | 40.8% vs 37.0% | Report → |
| NY Giants vs LA Rams | September 24, 2026 | 27.4% vs 27.0% | Report → |
| New York J vs Tennessee | September 15, 2026 | 69.2% vs 77.0% | Report → |