Topic tracker · Sports

NHL Game

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 12 so far (0 live, 12 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new NHL Game markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated May 27, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
Game 4: Carolina at Montreal June 11, 2026 46.1% vs 43.0%
Game 4: Colorado at Vegas June 10, 2026 55.5% vs 50.0%
Game 3: Carolina at Montreal June 9, 2026 39.7% vs 44.0%
Game 3: Colorado at Vegas June 8, 2026 39.2% vs 44.0%
Game 2: Montreal at Carolina June 6, 2026 69.3% vs 66.0%
Game 2: Vegas at Colorado June 6, 2026 65.7% vs 62.0%
Game 1: Montreal at Carolina June 5, 2026 72.2% vs 66.0%
Game 1: Vegas at Colorado June 4, 2026 71.9% vs 65.0%
Game 6: Buffalo at Montreal May 31, 2026 67.6% vs 62.0%
Game 6: Vegas at Anaheim May 29, 2026 49.5% vs 50.0%
Game 5: Montreal at Buffalo May 28, 2026 54.7% vs 53.0%
Detroit at Tampa Bay April 27, 2026 54.6% vs 63.0%