Topic tracker · Crypto

SOL Directional

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new SOL Directional markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated May 8, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
SOL price on May 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? May 8, 2026 99.1% vs 0.0%
SOL price on Apr 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT? April 29, 2026 93.3% vs 0.0%