Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment
Market Model 3.0% 1.6%
Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment
Market Model 64.0% 65.1%
Topic tracker · Elections
Which state ballot measures will pass?
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (3 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Which state ballot measures will pass? markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated October 30, 2026
Live markets
Historical Center & Cultural Grants Bond
Market Model 82.0% 88.3%
Higher Education Bond
Market Model 22.0% 23.5%
Drug Legalization Authority Amendment
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
English as Official State Language Amendment
Market Model 94.0% 92.1%
