Topic tracker · Crypto

will Bitcoin hit price target by date

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new will Bitcoin hit price target by date markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated October 16, 2026

Live market

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
When will Bitcoin cross $85k again? May 15, 2027 21.0% vs 21.0%