Episode summary

Why the Army Just Handed Aerovironment a Half Billion Dollar Laser Deal

Behind The Markets Podcast · · 7 min · Hosts: Dylan Grice

Why the Army Just Handed Aerovironment a Half Billion Dollar Laser Deal – Behind The Markets Podcast

Summary

The host focuses on the military implications of AeroVironment’s roughly $500 million counter-drone laser contract, saying the US Army is buying at least $400 million of systems and that this is the Pentagon’s first contract for directed-energy counter-drone technology. He frames the deal as validation of a thesis he has been arguing for years: lasers can change the economics of air defense against mass drone attacks.

He says AeroVironment’s LOCUST system is designed to track, identify, and help operators destroy small to medium drones with a high-energy laser. In his view, the key advantage is cost and speed: instead of firing expensive missiles at cheap drones, lasers could knock threats down for about a dollar per shot, or less, while shortening the kill chain.

The host also broadens the point to the data infrastructure behind modern warfare. He argues that future battlefield advantage will depend on how quickly systems can transmit sensor data, coordinate with command, and share information across satellites and operators. He highlights data compression and faster transmission as an overlooked but important theme, saying speed of communication has often determined who wins wars.

Key takeaways

  • The host says AeroVironment’s contract is worth almost $500 million and includes at least $400 million in Army spending on counter-drone lasers.
  • He argues the Pentagon’s first directed-energy counter-drone contract confirms lasers are becoming a practical defense tool against drone swarms.
  • The host says lasers could reduce interception cost to about a dollar per shot, versus millions for missile-based defenses.
  • He believes warfare is increasingly about speed, with the fastest kill chain and data flow determining battlefield success.
  • He points to data compression and satellite-linked communications as an overlooked investment theme tied to modern military systems.

Notable quotes

“the US Army is buying at least $400 million worth of counter-drone lasers from AeroVironment”

— A speaker on Behind The Markets Podcast at 1:08

“this is the Pentagon's first-ever contract for directed energy counter-drone system”

— A speaker on Behind The Markets Podcast at 1:47

“Lasers are going to be the thing”

— A speaker on Behind The Markets Podcast at 2:02

“success in warfare is based on speed”

— A speaker on Behind The Markets Podcast at 4:54

“We're talking about like a dollar per shot, less than a dollar per shot, really”

— A speaker on Behind The Markets Podcast at 3:34

How the episode opens

Good morning. This is Dylan Jovine here with Behind the Markets. Happy Tuesday.

Today is Tuesday, August 11th, and today I'd like to talk about the military. This is something I haven't really talked about in a while, but there's so many exciting things that are happening in the military in terms of the weaponry that we're using, and a lot of lessons that we're learning from the Iran war, the Ukraine war, etc., etc. And ironically, a lot of these lessons are things that we've talked about here for years.

We made kind of our name and our reputation on geopolitics and defense companies, as you well know, those of you who've been on this. But, you know, what got me to want to talk about this today was one of the companies in our model portfolio, AeroVironment, that we recommended at much lower prices, just got a basically almost a $500 million dollar contract, almost half a billion dollar contract, to come up with counter-drone lasers. So, the US Army is buying at least $400 million worth of counter-drone lasers from AeroVironment.

And, you know, basically what the Army is betting on, and you could see this happening with war, is that AeroVironment's loitering system, which basically tracks, identifies, and helps human operators destroy small to medium-sized drones with a high-energy laser, the Army is betting on that this will be a better solution to dealing with a massive incoming drones than other solutions. And this is something else that I've talked about. There's so much stuff happening here.

By the way, this is the Pentagon's first-ever contract for directed energy counter-drone system. And I don't know, for those of you who've been around for a while, you might remember a couple years back I was saying, "Lasers are going to be the thing.

From the episode’s captions: roughly the first two minutes, lightly cleaned. Keep watching on YouTube →

Topics

  • defense contracting
  • counter-drone lasers
  • directed energy warfare
  • munition cost efficiency
  • kill chain speed and data flow

Companies and tickers mentioned

  • AVAV
  • AeroVironment

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Summary, takeaways and quote selection by Octagon. Quotes are short excerpts; the full conversation is in the episode.

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