Episode summary
Market Rally Will Broaden Globally in 2026: Mackenzie's Marks
Summary
Mackenzie Investments Equities CIO Lesley Marks argues that geopolitics is a real market risk, but it is hard for investors to position for because it is so unpredictable. She says markets are still being driven less by conflict headlines than by the prospect of stronger earnings, helped by monetary policy, fiscal policy and an artificial-intelligence-driven productivity boom.
Marks says the big story for 2026 is a broadening of the rally beyond U.S. technology and the consumer. She expects leadership to come from other regions and sectors, especially materials, financials and defense, with Canada and Europe offering more opportunity than the U.S. in some of those areas.
She says the biggest earnings growth in 2026 is expected to come from emerging markets first and Canada second. Marks also notes that technology stocks are becoming more capital intensive, which could pressure their high valuations and reinforce the case for a broader market leadership rotation.
Key takeaways
- Lesley Marks says geopolitics is a risk, but earnings are still the dominant force behind markets.
- Marks expects the 2026 rally to broaden beyond U.S. technology into materials, financials and defense.
- She says the biggest 2026 earnings growth is expected in emerging markets first and Canada second.
- Marks argues that rising capital intensity in technology could pressure valuations and support rotation into other sectors.
Notable quotes
“the market is not really reflecting the increased potential for geopolitical risk”
“what's driving the market is the prospect for greater earnings”
“we are certainly in that camp in that sense. We also see that broadening out, expanding across geographies”
“2026, the biggest earnings growth that we're expecting is coming from emerging markets first and Canada second”
“Those multiples will come down and not again increases the thesis around broadening out across market”
How the episode opens
But I do want to address what Jamie Dimon had to say about what would be maybe the next financial crisis. It might. He doesn't expect it to be like the great financial crisis in oh eight.
He talked about geopolitics. That's one of the big risks in the market. I think it's certainly a risk.
And what makes it a big risk for the market is because it's very difficult to position or to anticipate. So it creates almost a bit of a randomness. And so getting ahead of that risk means that you have to be mindful of how you're positioned for many different scenarios.
And that's where, you know, diversification, all of the sort of golden rules of investing really come into play to prepare for that event before you have visibility on that event. I don't I don't understand, though, because, okay, we the U.S. bombed Iran last year.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine continued. There was the escalation of tensions in the Middle East and the S&P 500. If you were to, you know, go to sleep in January of 2025 and wake up December 31st, you were up, you know, close to 20% on the year.
Here we are. President Maduro was taken in the middle of the night by U.S. forces and brought to the United States.
There's talk of involvement in Iran now. There's talk of taking over Greenland by the United States, and markets aren't really reacting. So how is geopolitics a risk?
Well, first of all, I do think that that has been a bit of a surprise for investors to see that the market is not really reflecting the increased potential for geopolitical risk. So I would say, myself included, I've been a little bit surprised at the strength in markets coming into the year.
From the episode’s captions: roughly the first two minutes, lightly cleaned. Keep watching on YouTube →
Topics
- 2026 market outlook
- global market breadth
- emerging markets
- geopolitical risk
- trade
Companies and tickers mentioned
- Mackenzie Investments
Watch the episode
Watch “Market Rally Will Broaden Globally in 2026: Mackenzie's Marks” on YouTube
Summary, takeaways and quote selection by Octagon. Quotes are short excerpts; the full conversation is in the episode.
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