Episode summary
Memory Chip Squeeze Widens Gap; Alphabet's Global Debt Binge | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition
Summary
Stocks opened near record highs as chip names did much of the lifting, but the market’s biggest tech trades were becoming more selective. The host said Nvidia and Broadcom were helping push the S&P 500 higher, while an analyst argued investors are rotating within tech because of uncertainty around AI spending and profitability. That same concern is showing up in the memory-chip market, where surging prices are creating a sharp split between winners and losers.
The host highlighted how memory producers are soaring while companies that rely on memory, including Nintendo, big PC brands and Apple suppliers, are seeing shares slump on profitability worries. An analyst said the Nasdaq could keep lagging peers as the trade becomes more nuanced, noting the Nasdaq has not hit a new high since October while the equal-weight S&P 500 has set multiple records.
Alphabet’s debt binge was the other major market story. After a $20 billion U.S. bond sale, the company is now selling sterling and Swiss franc debt, including a rare 100-year sterling note, to help finance its AI capex plans. The analyst said the demand shows there is still a solid investor base willing to finance the spending. The show also touched on UK politics, Barclays’ shareholder returns and a possible rebound at Kering.
Key takeaways
- The host said memory-chip inflation is widening the gap between producers and buyers, with memory makers soaring while Nintendo, PC brands and Apple suppliers fall on margin fears.
- An analyst said tech investors are rotating within the sector because AI spending has created more uncertainty about profits and valuations.
- The analyst said the Nasdaq may keep underperforming peers, noting it has not made a new high since October while the equal-weight S&P 500 has set 13 records.
- Alphabet’s global bond sale, including a 100-year sterling note, signals that investors still have appetite to fund major AI capex plans.
- The host said upcoming retail sales and the delayed payrolls report could trigger more volatility if they soften expectations for Fed policy.
Notable quotes
“One interesting feature of this market is the surge in memory chip prices. It's driven a vast divide between winners and losers”
“companies from Nintendo to big PC brands and even Apple suppliers seeing shares slump on profitability concerns, but the memory producers, they're soaring to unprecedented heights”
“we've seen some of these software you know plays and now we've seen some of the memory chip plays as well”
“it does suggest this rotation trade as well as the tech nuance very much remains in play”
“It shows that there is a real solid base of investors who are still willing to buy their debt”
How the episode opens
Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio, news. — Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager — And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. — Karen, trading begins this morning with stocks at or near record highs and chip companies are the ones doing some of the heavy lifting. Let's get more this morning from Bloomberg's John Tucker. John, good morning.
And good morning, Nathan. Yeah, the Dow finished out a record. The S&P 500 drove to within a few points of its record close.
Two of the strongest forces pushing the S&P 500 upward were Nvidia up 2.4%. Broadcom surged 3.3%. Those are the beneficiaries of all that capex spending.
But always lingering in the background, you have worries about whether all the huge spending on AI is going to produce enough profit to make the investments worth it. Andrew Slimmit at Morgan Stanley marvels at how investors seem to climb a wall of worry. I think the biggest risk is we go into a kind of a real blowoff stage and every time I start to worry about it, you know, the market self-corrects.
So I think that's a you know that's a healthy thing and that's why I don't think we're we're end of cycle.
One interesting feature of this market is the surge in memory chip prices. It's driven a vast divide between winners and losers. You have companies from Nintendo to big PC brands and even Apple suppliers seeing shares slump on profitability concerns, but the memory producers, they're soaring to unprecedented heights. In New York, I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio.
All right, John, thank you. Meanwhile, Alphabet is selling sterling and Swiss Frank denominated bonds for the first time, including an ultra rare issue of a 100-year note following a 20 billion deal in the US.
From the episode’s captions: roughly the first two minutes, lightly cleaned. Keep watching on YouTube →
Topics
- memory chip pricing squeeze
- semiconductor supply and demand
- alphabet debt issuance
- federal reserve leadership odds
- us economic growth outlook
Companies and tickers mentioned
- NTDOY
- NTDOF
- AAPL
- SSNLF
- GOOGL
- GOOG
- Nintendo Co.
- Apple Inc.
- Samsung Electronics Co.
- Alphabet Inc.
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Summary, takeaways and quote selection by Octagon. Quotes are short excerpts; the full conversation is in the episode.
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