Episode summary
Trump Attacks Fed Hike, Suggests Tariffs on Europe | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition
Summary
The Federal Reserve raised rates by a quarter point to a range of 3.75% to 4%, and Kevin Warsh signaled that inflation still outweighs labor-market concerns. President Trump immediately attacked the decision, saying rates should be at 1% or lower, while traders quickly priced in the possibility of another hike later this year. Jennifer Lee of Beimo Capital Markets said the move looked more hawkish than expected because it was unanimous, the statement was brief, and the press conference was shorter than usual.
The show also focused on Trump’s trade threat toward Europe after Ursula von der Leyen proposed Canada as the European Union’s first associate member. Trump said he could impose “very serious tariffs” or stop trading with Europe if he viewed the move as hostile to the US, adding another layer to the already tense US-Canada trade dispute.
Other headlines included OpenAI’s disclosure of model misbehavior and a new reporting framework, rising oil-market concerns as Saudi Arabia tries to restore a key pipeline, and Congress’s passage of a sanctions package that would let the president impose 100% tariffs on top buyers of Russian energy.
Key takeaways
- The Fed’s unanimous 25 basis point hike to 3.75%-4% reinforced a hawkish stance, with Kevin Warsh emphasizing inflation over labor-market softness.
- President Trump said US rates should be at 1% or lower and criticized the Fed’s decision as too aggressive.
- Jennifer Lee said the market should expect at least one more hike this year, with October still technically live but unlikely absent a sharp oil shock.
- Trump threatened “very serious tariffs” on Europe if he believes the EU-Canada move is hostile to the US, escalating trade risk.
- Traders moved to price more than a 50% chance of another Fed hike at the next meeting after the unanimous decision.
Notable quotes
“The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long”
“President Trump went on to say rates should be at 1% or lower”
“I think this was a pretty good outcome for the Fed. Um, you know, they got their interest rate increase in which I think was appropriate”
“if I think it's at all a hostile act, I will put very serious tariffs or stop trading with Europe on many things”
“I wouldn't be surprised if we have another unanimous vote in December”
How the episode opens
Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio, news. — Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager — And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. — Karen, President Trump is criticizing the Fed for deciding to raise interest rates to a range of 3 and 3/4 to 4%. It was a unanimous quarterpoint hike, the first Fed's increase in borrowing costs in more than three years. The president spoke to reporters about Chair Kevin Worsh and the decision.
I'm relying on Kevin, but he's got, you know, a very tough board. He's got a board that was put there by a lot of other people and the uh interest rates are too high. They're not appropriate. And I told I talked to Kevin and I said, "You might as well vote with the board because it's not going to matter." President Trump went on to say rates should be at 1% or lower.
Kevin Wars, Nathan, President Trump's pick to lead the Fed, was sworn in less than four months ago. He defied many skeptics with the rate hike. — So the labor side of the Fed's congressional remmit is in good shape. Yet for more than 5 years, inflation has been running above target. So our predominant focus is on the price stability side of our mandate. The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long.
Traders quickly priced an additional rate increases from Worsh and his colleagues and pushed down their expectations for inflation in coming years. We got this reaction from former Fed regional presidents James Bullard and Patrick Harker. — I think this was a pretty good outcome for the Fed. Um, you know, they got their interest rate increase in which I think was appropriate. Yeah, three more sounds a little high compared to what the committee seem to be saying.
From the episode’s captions: roughly the first two minutes, lightly cleaned. Keep watching on YouTube →
Topics
- fed rate hike
- trump tariff threats
- us-europe trade war
- eu-canada associate bid
- ai model misbehavior disclosure
Companies and tickers mentioned
- OpenAI
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Summary, takeaways and quote selection by Octagon. Quotes are short excerpts; the full conversation is in the episode.
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