Episode summary
US Seizes Russia-Flagged Tanker After Chase Across Atlantic
Summary
The discussion focused on the US seizure of a Russia-flagged tanker off the coast of Iceland, which Stephanie Baker said shows a new willingness to enforce sanctions against the so-called shadow fleet of oil tankers moving Iranian, Venezuelan, and Russian oil. She argued that these sanctions had existed for years but had not been enforced, and that the latest boarding demonstrates the hollowness of the prior policy. Baker said the vessel had been sanctioned in 2024, had come from Venezuela, changed its flag, and was even escorted by a Russian submarine when the US Coast Guard boarded it.
Key takeaways
- Stephanie Baker said the seizure shows the US is now enforcing sanctions that previously existed mostly on paper.
- Baker said the tanker had been sanctioned in 2024, changed its flag, and altered its identity to evade capture.
- She said the move is not isolated, citing a second tanker seized in the Caribbean and a broader crackdown on Venezuela-linked ships.
- Baker argued the Arctic is becoming a new strategic battleground, especially because of Greenland’s role in missile warning and security.
- She said reports of Putin’s imminent health collapse are exaggerated and that Western intelligence sees no serious health concerns.
Notable quotes
“And the US has taken dramatic action to stop that”
“So this just shows the hollowness of that previous policy”
“It had taken a trip from Venezuela, changed its flag, hastily painted a Russian flag on on the ship and changed its name”
“So it does seem, particularly with any tanker linked to Venezuela, that they will go after it as a way of enforcing this blockade on Venezuela”
“The Arctic is the new battleground”
How the episode opens
Soon after Russia's full scale invasion of Ukraine. A couple of years later, they had started sanctioning this shadow fleet of oil tankers and adding to the existing sanctions on tankers transporting Iranian oil, Venezuelan oil. But no one had enforced those sanctions until now.
So this just shows the hollowness of that previous policy. You could blacklist these tankers, but they could still sail fairly freely on the high seas. And the US has taken dramatic action to stop that.
Now, the one that they seized off the coast of Iceland today had been sanctioned in 2024 for carrying Iranian oil. It had taken a trip from Venezuela, changed its flag, hastily painted a Russian flag on on the ship and changed its name. And the US Coast Guard boarded it, despite it being escorted by a Russian submarine.
Now, I think Putin's got to be worried because the price of oil is coming down. The price of Russian oil in particular has come down as a result of US sanctions. And now the US is finally decided to enforce those sanctions on blacklisted these shadow fleet tankers.
So that's going to spell trouble for him in terms of Russian oil revenues dropping even further. Stephanie, is there a sense that today's action is a one off isolated event or maybe signal a significant change in U.S. policy as it relates to these this shadow fleet?
You know, it's not a one off policy. And in fact, U.S. Southern Command just announced that they had seized another tanker in the Caribbean, a Venezuela we believe to be a Venezuelan linked tanker.
It was flagged last and that they are transporting it to the US. So it does seem, particularly with any tanker linked to Venezuela, that they will go after it as a way of enforcing this blockade on Venezuela and ensuring that Venezuela's new president, Nelson Rodriguez, tows the line and does what the US says.
From the episode’s captions: roughly the first two minutes, lightly cleaned. Keep watching on YouTube →
Topics
- venezuela oil sanctions
- russian tanker seizure
- us blockade of sanctioned vessels
- energy strategy for venezuelan crude
- trump administration foreign policy at sea
Companies and tickers mentioned
- GS
- Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Watch the episode
Watch “US Seizes Russia-Flagged Tanker After Chase Across Atlantic” on YouTube
Summary, takeaways and quote selection by Octagon. Quotes are short excerpts; the full conversation is in the episode.
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