Episode summary
Bitcoin And Gold Are Both LOSING In 2026 - Why?
Summary
Bitcoin and gold are both down sharply in 2026, and the discussion centers on whether that is a macro warning, a liquidity story, or a temporary washout. Mike McGlone argues that rising yields, tighter liquidity, and the unwinding of the AI trade are pressuring speculative assets, while Peter Tchir focuses on whether widening credit spreads in the AI and data-center buildout are the real early warning sign. Both frame the current market as unusually vulnerable to a disorderly move if credit conditions worsen.
Dave Weisberger pushes back on the idea that this is an outright breakdown, saying credit markets are still orderly and that central banks are unlikely to tolerate a real contagion event. He argues that bond yields have already eased from recent highs, that the Fed is done hiking, and that the bigger medium-term risk is political: a contentious midterm cycle, possible gridlock, and more fiscal spending rather than austerity. He also says gold and Bitcoin can diverge from equity weakness, with liquidity and deficits still supportive over time.
The panel spends much of the episode comparing gold, Bitcoin, treasuries, and stocks through relative-value charts. McGlone says the 2026 setup looks deflationary for crypto and metals, while Weisberger insists Bitcoin is still an institutionalizing asset whose long-term path remains intact. Tchir is more cautious on AI infrastructure and some credit-sensitive names, warning that the market may only be at the beginning of a repricing.
Key takeaways
- Mike McGlone says rising yields, AI spending cuts, and tighter liquidity are pressuring Bitcoin and gold as non-income-producing assets.
- Peter Tchir sees the main risk as widening credit spreads in AI/data-center financing, which could spread from hyperscalers to the broader market.
- Dave Weisberger argues the Fed is unlikely to let contagion take hold and thinks bond yields have already moved off their panic highs.
- The panel agrees October and the run-up to the midterms could be volatile, with politics and fiscal fights likely to drive short-term swings.
- Weisberger says Bitcoin remains an institutionalizing asset, but McGlone says its relative performance versus stocks and treasuries still looks weak.
Notable quotes
“Bitcoin and gold are the worst two performing assets in 2026. We're going to talk about why that is, what's happening in the macro that might be affecting it”
“I think right now we're kind of really at a cent. I even look at, you know, the stocks index. It's sitting right on its 200 day moving average”
“the most important thing when investing is something that Mike says all the time and and it's underrated. you know, selling when they're yelling, buying when they're crying”
“No, I think it's you know there's it's still more a supply and individual story and you look at they've done I think a good job separating who looks weaker, who looks stronger”
Topics
- bitcoin drawdown
- gold weakness
- fed rates
- credit markets
- ai capex rotation
Companies and tickers mentioned
- MSTR
- MicroStrategy
Watch the episode
Watch “Bitcoin And Gold Are Both LOSING In 2026 - Why?” on YouTube
Summary, takeaways and quote selection by Octagon. Quotes are short excerpts; the full conversation is in the episode.
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The Wolf Of All Streets, this episode and its artwork belong to Scott Melker. Octagon is not affiliated with the show; this page is an independent summary.