Short Answer

Bitcoin is not expected to reach the $77,083.74 target within the 15-minute window ending at 1:45 AM EDT, with the market pricing this outcome at 44.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Target price $77,083.74 likely; Bitcoin trading within $76,900-$77,300 range.
  • Strong order book depth near $77,000 supports consolidation within this range.

Current Context

Bitcoin trades around $76,850 to $76,900 as of early September 11, 2026, experiencing downward pressure [1][2][3][4]. This follows a broader crypto market sell-off driven by surging oil prices, rising 10-year Treasury yields, and increased Federal Reserve rate hike expectations [2][3][4][5]. CME FedWatch indicates a 73% probability for a 25 bps hike in September [2][3][4][5].
The August CPI report is a critical test for Bitcoin's support. Scheduled for release at 8:30 AM ET on September 11, 2026, the report represents a key event for BTC's $76,000–$77,000 support range [2][3][4][6]. Market uncertainty already preceded this, following a hot nonfarm payrolls report on September 4, 2026, which caused BTC to pull back from the low $81,000s to approximately $78,650 [7]. Markets await this inflation data to clarify the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path [7].
Bitcoin prediction markets settle against a real-time index. Platforms utilize the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) to settle contracts based on specific price targets within set time windows [8][9][10][11].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Crypto News Today: Bitcoin Falls 1.6%, BFC Jumps 257%coingabbar.com
  2. 2Bitcoin tests critical $76,000 support cluster during macro energy shockcryptoslate.com
  3. 3FED September rate hike probability rises to 73%, Bitcoin falls to $76,850 USD | Gate Newsgate.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Tests $76K Support as Oil Shock Fuels Fed Rate Fears - CVJ.AIcvj.ai
  5. 5Rising Inflation and Treasury Yields Pressure Bitcoin’s Risk Appealinteractivecrypto.com
  6. 6Bitcoin at $78K: Macro Shocks, CPI, Fed, BOJ, Oil in Focus - CVJ.AIcvj.ai
  7. 7Hot Payrolls Print Slows the Digital Asset Rally - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  8. 8BTC 15 min · 1:30–1:45 AM EDT Crypto Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  9. 9BTC 15 min · $78,084.90 target | Prediction Markets - Coinbasecoinbase.com
  10. 10BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  11. 11BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves YES if the official and final average Bitcoin price exceeds $77,083.74, and NO if it is less than or equal to that amount. The official price is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks Real Time Index (RTI) prices, collected during the final minute before the market's expiration at 1:45 AM EDT on September 11.

Market Discussion

The "BTC 15 min · $77,083.74 target" market refers to a short-term prediction contract where participants bet on whether the average Bitcoin price, based on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index (RTI), will be higher at the end of a specific 15-minute window compared to its start [1]. As of September 11, 2026, Bitcoin's short-term outlook is cautious, with key support levels identified around $76,800–$77,500 and resistance near $79,600–$79,900, heavily influenced by anticipated market reaction to CPI data [2]. This cautious sentiment follows a pullback from early $81,000s to approximately $78,650 on September 4, 2026, after a hot August nonfarm payrolls report, with participants now closely watching the September 11, 2026, inflation print for clues regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy [3].

Sources (3)
  1. 1BTC 15 min · $77,848.79 targetcoinbase.com
  2. 2BTC Technical Analysis with Interactive Chart — September 10, 2026cryptotakeprofit.com
  3. 3Hot Payrolls Print Slows the Digital Asset Rally - CFB - CF Benchmarkscfbenchmarks.com

4. Trust Index

This scorecard was computed Sep 11, 2026 and may not reflect current market conditions.

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 77 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score81Good
Trade quality20% of score64Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score77Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
74Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
65Tradeable

Fills fine at modest size

1 contract

Target Price: $77,083.7465
Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

1 contract

Target Price: $77,083.74—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $77,083.7495
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
64Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Outcome quality 65 (notional-weighted)

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 47.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 47.5c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $77,083.74Primary65Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why 65
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.3 · computed Sep 11, 2026

5. How might institutional trading activity in Asian and European markets impact Bitcoin's price in the hours leading up to the September 11 US market open?

Bitcoin Price before US OpenUnder $77,000 [1][2][3][4][5]
European Central Bank Rate Hike25-basis-point [1][2][3][5]
Institutional Demand for BitcoinCooled leading up to September 11 [6][7][8]
Bitcoin faced significant sell-side pressure ahead of the US market open. In the hours leading up to the September 11 US market open, Bitcoin was trading below $77,000. Its price was pressured by a confluence of macroeconomic factors, including rising global inflation, surging energy prices, and hawkish monetary policy signals [1][2][3][4][5]. This contributed to significant sell-side pressure as traders adjusted for potentially stronger-than-expected CPI data [1][2][3][4][5].
Institutional trading activity heavily influences Bitcoin's price, particularly in Western markets. Institutional trading, especially involving spot Bitcoin ETFs, is heavily concentrated around US market hours, with trading volumes and price discovery intensifying during the US market open [9]. European market desks, particularly in London, also significantly impact liquidity, while Asian markets are often characterized by more stable depth patterns [10][11][12]. The European Central Bank's 25-basis-point rate hike further impacted institutional and macroeconomic sentiment [1][2][3][5], contributing to cooled institutional demand for Bitcoin leading up to September 11 [6][7][8].
Global institutional trading intensified Bitcoin's volatility before the US market opened. Operating within these distinct liquidity patterns and cautious sentiment, institutional trading activity in Asian and European markets likely contributed to the ongoing volatility and sell-side pressure Bitcoin experienced in the hours before the US market open [4][5][10][11][12]. This occurred as Bitcoin markets braced for the upcoming US inflation print, following a volatile end to the previous week [13].
Sources (13)
  1. 1Bitcoin Tests $76K Support as Oil Shock Fuels Fed Rate Fears - CVJ.AIcvj.ai
  2. 2Crypto Overview: Bitcoin slips below $77,000 – Raydium, Falcon Finance hold gainstmgm.com
  3. 3ECB Hikes, US PPI Spikes: Crypto Faces Dual Central Bank Squeeze | Woofun Researchwoofun.ai
  4. 4Bitcoin Price Today Friday, 11 September 2026 Hits $76,924.29 on Heavy Selling – Katadata.co.idtechnology.katadata.co.id
  5. 5Crypto Market Today, September 11, 2026: Bitcoin Nears $76,800 as Oil Surge and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Pressure Risk Assets - The News Strikethenewsstrike.com
  6. 6Rising Inflation and Treasury Yields Pressure Bitcoin’s Risk Appealinteractivecrypto.com
  7. 7US Bitcoin Spot ETFs See $120.2M Net Outflow on September 9 | Gate Newsgate.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Consolidates Below $80,000 Amid ETF Outflows And Regulatory Catalystsainvest.com
  9. 9BTC ETFs' Impact on Spot Market Structure - Kaikokaiko.com
  10. 10Trading Between Hours - Volatility Dispersion Across Multiple Regionsblog.amberdata.io
  11. 11Trading Between Hours - Crypto Volatility Dispersion Across Tokensblog.amberdata.io
  12. 12The Rhythm of Liquidity: Temporal Patterns in Market Depthblog.amberdata.io
  13. 13Hot Payrolls Print Slows the Digital Asset Rally - CFBcfbenchmarks.com

6. What do the order book depths on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance indicate about support and resistance around the $77,000 price level?

Current Trading Range$76,900 $77,300 (September 11, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5])
Key Support Level (Bid Walls)Near $76,000 [6][7]
Key Resistance Level (Ask Walls)Between $78,300 $78,500 [6][7]
Bitcoin is currently consolidating, finding strong support near $77,000. As of September 11, 2026, Bitcoin is trading between $76,900 and $77,300, following a period of consolidation [1][2][3][4][5]. A significant support zone has been identified within the $76,000-$77,000 range [1][2][5]. This support is reinforced by concentrated bid liquidity, often referred to as bid walls, particularly near the $76,000 level on major exchanges such as Coinbase and Binance [6][7]. Additionally, the presence of lower-cost supply among market participants contributes to this support structure [8][9][10].
Resistance levels are established with significant ask walls above $78,000. Overhead resistance is noted between $78,300 and $78,500, with further resistance indicated towards the $80,000 mark [1][2][5]. Order book analysis clearly reveals ask walls concentrated in the $78,300-$78,500 range, which function as substantial resistance points [6][7]. Historically, the $78,000 range has represented a notable technical resistance zone, also influenced by supply created at higher prices [10][11][8][9]. Major exchanges offer full-depth order book data, enabling traders to analyze these liquidity levels for a comprehensive understanding of market support and resistance dynamics [12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19].
Sources (19)
  1. 1Bitcoin Price Today Friday, 11 September 2026 Hits $76,924.29 on Heavy Selling – Katadata.co.idtechnology.katadata.co.id
  2. 2On the chain: Bitcoin steadies near US$77,000 as traders await US inflation testproactiveinvestors.com.au
  3. 3Crypto Overview: Bitcoin slips below $77,000 – Raydium, Falcon Finance hold gainstmgm.com
  4. 4Bitcoin tests critical $76,000 support cluster during macro energy shock - TodayOnChaintodayonchain.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Consolidates Below $80,000 Amid ETF Outflows And Regulatory Catalystsainvest.com
  6. 6Bitcoin (BTC) Order Book Live — Combined from Major Exchangestapesurf.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Battlefield: Live Buy/Sell Wall & Liquidation Map | Newhedgenewhedge.io
  8. 8BTC Proximity Support-Resistance Chart - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  9. 9BTC Market Pulse: Week 36research.glassnode.com
  10. 10https://research.glassnode.com/the-week-onchain-week-11-2026/research.glassnode.com
  11. 11Resilient in the Face of Warresearch.glassnode.com
  12. 12BTC Spot Orderbook Depth Binance - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  13. 13Orderbook Data Live on Glassnoderesearch.glassnode.com
  14. 14Bitcoin Spot Orderbook Depth Imbalance All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  15. 15https://docs.coinmetrics.io/market-data/market-data-overview/market-order-booksdocs.coinmetrics.io
  16. 16https://docs.tardis.dev/faq/order-booksdocs.tardis.dev
  17. 17BTC Spot Orderbook Depth All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  18. 18BTC Spot Orderbook Price Impact All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  19. 19BTC Spot Orderbook Spread All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com

7. How do signals from Bitcoin's derivatives market, such as funding rates and open interest, compare to on-chain metrics like exchange inflows for predicting short-term volatility?

Derivatives actionabilityMore actionable for short-term volatility than on-chain metrics [1][2][3]
On-chain inflow predictive powerLack strong predictive power for BTC returns at very short intraday intervals [2][3][4][5]
Strongest derivatives signalCombination of funding rates and open interest for volatility [1][6][7][8][9]
Derivatives market signals offer superior insights for short-term Bitcoin volatility. The combination of funding rates and open interest provides more actionable information for immediate market analysis and positioning compared to on-chain metrics [1][2][3]. These derivatives data points reveal crucial insights into speculative positioning, leverage, and potential liquidation cascades, operating in a faster time domain [1][2][3][10][11][12]. The most potent volatility signal stems from combining funding rates and open interest: for instance, high positive funding with rising open interest suggests crowded long positions susceptible to liquidation cascades [1][6][7][8][9]. Conversely, rising open interest coupled with falling funding indicates aggressive short-side accumulation [1][6][7][8][9].
On-chain metrics complement derivatives but have limited short-term predictive power. While data points like exchange inflows offer valuable insights into underlying supply-demand fundamentals and capital flows, often serving as early indicators for shifts in selling pressure or institutional accumulation [13][14][12], empirical studies show they lack strong predictive power for very short intraday BTC returns [1][2][3][4][5]. Although Bitcoin exchange net inflows are negatively associated with BTC volatility across several intraday timeframes, this does not translate into strong return prediction at these intervals [1][2][3][4][5]. On-chain data is generally better suited for identifying broader macro regimes or longer-term structural shifts [10][13][14][15][16]. Combining derivatives, which capture market-implied risk, with on-chain data, reflecting organic demand, provides a more robust framework for predicting short-term volatility than using either alone [10][13][14][15][16].
Sources (16)
  1. 1On-Chain vs Derivatives Analysis | RegimeRiskregimerisk.com
  2. 2Return and Volatility Forecasting Using On-Chain Flows in Cryptocurrency Marketsarxiv.org
  3. 3Return-Forecasting and Volatility-Forecasting Power of On-Chain Activities in the Cryptocurrency Marketpapers.ssrn.com
  4. 4https://docs.cryptoquant.com/data-guide/exchange/exchange-in-outflow-and-netflowdocs.cryptoquant.com
  5. 5https://userguide.cryptoquant.com/cryptoquant-metrics/exchange/exchange-in-outflow-and-netflow.mduserguide.cryptoquant.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Funding Rates: Regime Detection Signals | RegimeRiskregimerisk.com
  7. 7Why Funding Rates Spike During Market Stress - WazirX Blogwazirx.com
  8. 8BTC Perpetual Funding Rate: 0.01% (Aug 13, 2026) | Convexconvextrade.com
  9. 9Why Funding Rates Spike During Market Stress - Mudrex Learnmudrex.com
  10. 10Inferring Leveraged Positioning from Price and Open Interestresearch.glassnode.com
  11. 11https://research.glassnode.com/the-week-onchain-week-11-2026/research.glassnode.com
  12. 12Surveying the May 2021 Sell-offresearch.glassnode.com
  13. 13How Do On-Chain Metrics Explain Bitcoin Volatility? Part 2blog.amberdata.io
  14. 14Avenir + Glassnode: Bitcoin's Liquidity Profileresearch.glassnode.com
  15. 15BTC Market Pulse: Week 36research.glassnode.com
  16. 16The Question of Bitcoin Volatilityresearch.glassnode.com

8. What is the typical spread between the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) used for settlement and spot prices on major exchanges during low-liquidity overnight hours?

Normal spot price differenceless than 0.1% [1][2]
BRTI lag during high volatility8-14 seconds [1]
Spreads during low-liquidity hours8 to 12 basis points (bps) [3][4]
The CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index closely tracks spot prices. The Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) typically differs from any single exchange's spot price by less than 0.1% under normal market conditions [1][2]. However, during periods of high market volatility, the BRTI's 30-second time-weighted average price (TWAP) smoothing mechanism can introduce an estimated 8-14 second lag. This lag may lead to temporary spreads or drift between the index and fast-moving spot markets [1].
Low-liquidity overnight hours significantly widen Bitcoin spot market spreads. During these times, particularly Asia-only windows in 2026, Bitcoin market liquidity tends to exhibit wider spreads. On major U.S.-regulated venues, top-of-book quotes frequently show spreads ranging from 8 to 12 basis points (bps) [3][4]. Generally, both liquidity and spot market spreads can widen during low-volume overnight or non-US market hours [5][6][7]. Market structure research suggests that higher volatility and wider bid-ask spreads outside of U.S. market hours could potentially impact the deviation between real-time benchmarks like the BRTI and immediate execution prices on individual exchanges [7]. However, the provided findings do not specify a typical numerical spread that directly quantifies the difference between the BRTI and spot prices on major exchanges during these specific low-liquidity overnight periods.
Sources (7)
  1. 1Settlement-Source Drift Arbitrage: Kalshi BRTI vs Coinbase Spot | Kalshi BackTestkalshibacktest.com
  2. 2CF Benchmarks BRTI: Bitcoin Reference Rate for CME Futuresbitcoincalculator.tools
  3. 3Bitcoin Liquidity in 2026 — Order Books, Spreads, ETFsalphagridhub.com
  4. 4Do Bitcoin Spreads Widen on Holidays? A July 4 Liquidity Study · SiftingIOsifting.io
  5. 5BTC Spot Orderbook Spread All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  6. 6BTC Squeeze Extends While Liquidity Conditions Deteriorateblog.amberdata.io
  7. 7BTC ETFs' Impact on Spot Market Structure - Kaikokaiko.com

9. What recent large-wallet movements and exchange flow patterns suggest a potential for a short-term price squeeze or sell-off for Bitcoin?

Current Bitcoin PriceBelow $77,000 as of September 11, 2026 [1]
Whale Activity (Weekly)$8.06 billion in sell pressure against $6.97 billion in buy pressure for week ending Sept 6 [2]
Short Squeeze ClusterShort liquidations concentrated between $82,000 and $86,000 [3][4]
Bitcoin faces significant sell-off pressure from large-wallet distribution and macroeconomic factors. As of September 11, 2026, Bitcoin is trading below $77,000, following a decline triggered by hotter-than-expected August US Producer Price Index data [1]. Large-wallet cohorts have shifted to net distribution for the first time since June, particularly after failing to overcome a sell wall near $83,000 [5]. For the week ending September 6, whale activity indicated $8.06 billion in sell pressure against $6.97 billion in buy pressure, with sustained net inflows to exchanges from entities holding 1k+ BTC suggesting potential distribution [2][6]. Over $446 million in total liquidations occurred over 24 hours leading up to September 11, predominantly from long positions, underscoring sell-side dominance and a lack of strong spot demand, with structural resistance between $76,000 and $80,000 [3][1].
Despite prevailing downward trends, a potential for a short squeeze remains notable. A significant cluster of short liquidations has built up between $82,000 and $86,000 [3][4]. Short-squeeze dynamics are often influenced by negative perpetual futures funding rates, where short sellers incur a premium to maintain their positions [7][8][9]. This crowded short positioning increases the potential for forced liquidations if spot demand strengthens, which could amplify upside volatility [7][8][9]. While Bitcoin traded near $78,300 in late August and early September 2026 with strong institutional inflows, the market concurrently exhibits rising speculative leverage, narrowing volatility spreads, and signs of short-term distribution, indicating a cautious, transitional phase [10].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Crypto Overview: Bitcoin slips below $77,000 – Raydium, Falcon Finance hold gainstmgm.com
  2. 2Weekly Whale Intelligence Brief — Week 36, 2026: Distribution Wins the Week as $8.06B in Sell Pressure Overwhelms $6.97B in Buy Pressure — VoiceOfChainvoiceofchain.com
  3. 3Bitcoin at $76,000: Structural Resistance, Not Narrative Failure - Crypto Economycrypto-economy.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Hits the $83,000 'Cost Wall': Selling Pressure Hits Yearly Low, But Short Fuel Thickens | HTX Insightshtx.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Whales Just Flipped to Net Selling for the First Time Since June — and the 83000 USD Wall Is to Blame - Bitcoins Newsbitcoinsnews.com
  6. 6BTC Bitcoin: Whale Volume To/From Exchanges Net Position Change [Entities 1k+ BTC] Chart - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  7. 7Resilient in the Face of Warresearch.glassnode.com
  8. 8BTC Squeeze Extends While Liquidity Conditions Deteriorateblog.amberdata.io
  9. 9Short Squeeze Dynamics, Negative Funding, and BTC/ETH Decoupling Signal a Fragile Marketblog.amberdata.io
  10. 10BTC Market Pulse: Week 36research.glassnode.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The market faces several key catalysts in mid-September 2026. These include the August CPI release, anticipated September 10-11, the Senate procedural cloture vote for the CLARITY Act on September 15, and the FOMC meeting with Summary of Economic Projections scheduled for September 15-16. Additionally, the quarterly derivatives expiry and triple witching period runs from September 18-25 [1][2][3][4].
Bitcoin is encountering strong structural resistance near $80,000 as of September 11, 2026, with identified support levels between $76,200 and $77,600 [5][6][7][8]. Analysts and prediction markets monitor these levels closely as macro data and regulatory developments unfold [5][6][7][8]. In late August 2026, Bitcoin traded in the high $76,000s to high $77,000s, following a reversal from a three-month high near $81,455 [9]. Glassnode reported Bitcoin holding near $78,300 by August 31, 2026 [10]. Digital assets closed broadly higher as of September 7, 2026, despite a hot payrolls print [11]. Prediction markets utilize precise methodologies like CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) or specific exchange closing prices to resolve contracts, distinguishing these from general market spot pricing [5][12][13][14].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: September 11, 2026
  • Expiration: September 18, 2026
  • Closes: September 11, 2026
Sources (14)
  1. 1Crypto September 2026: Every Event, Deadline & Catalyst That Could Move Markets - DEV Communitydev.to
  2. 2CLARITY Act: Why Washington could be crypto’s biggest September catalystinvestinglive.com
  3. 3Clarity Act Update: Senate Changes, Vote Timeline & Market Impactphemex.com
  4. 4Three Macro Catalysts Are Converging on Bitcoin and the First One Just Landed Hotfinancefeeds.com
  5. 5BTC 15 min · 1:30–1:45 AM EDT Crypto Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  6. 6Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction for Today, September 11 - CaptainAltcoincaptainaltcoin.com
  7. 721Shares Analyst: BTC finds support near $77,...chaincatcher.com
  8. 8Bitcoin at $76,000: Structural Resistance, Not Narrative Failure - Crypto Economycrypto-economy.com
  9. 9Bitcoin Holds the Line After Warsh's Hawkish Speech - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  10. 10BTC Market Pulse: Week 36research.glassnode.com
  11. 11Blog - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  12. 12Bitcoin price on September 11?polymarket.com
  13. 13Bitcoin price on September 11? - Compare Odds on 3 Platforms | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  14. 14Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 11? | Paritypredictparity.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 13 resolved YES, 7 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26SEP110130-30: NO (Sep 11, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26SEP110115-15: YES (Sep 11, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26SEP110100-00: YES (Sep 11, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26SEP110045-45: NO (Sep 11, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26SEP110030-30: YES (Sep 11, 2026)