Short Answer

Both the model and the market overwhelmingly agree that Target Price: $77,326.88 is most likely, with only minor residual uncertainty.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Target price $77,326.88 reflects Warsh's hawkish signals on rate hikes.
  • Derivatives market volatility and $81,000 resistance drove price to target.

Current Context

Macro events and options expiry shaped Bitcoin's intraday volatility. On August 28, 2026, Bitcoin market volatility was driven by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote speech. His remarks on sticky inflation and skepticism toward forward guidance prompted an intraday dip to approximately $78,442 before a recovery toward the $79,500–$80,000 range [1][2][3][4]. Market participants also focused on a significant $6.16 billion to $6.44 billion Bitcoin options expiry on August 28 [5][6]. This coincided with technical resistance at the 50-week moving average (around $81,000–$81,270) and a substantial sell wall between $83,000 and $84,500 [6]. The CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) was $77,423.26 shortly after the specified time window [7]. Prediction markets on platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood featured active BTC price range contracts, with sentiment conditioned by these macro events and the liquidity impacts of the monthly options expiry [8][9][10][11].
August showed strong Bitcoin performance with projected continued growth. Despite intraday volatility, Bitcoin posted over 26% month-to-date gains in August 2026 [12]. This performance was supported by U.S. Treasury buyback operations and sustained inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs [12][13]. Bitcoin demonstrated strong upward momentum over the final week of August 2026, surging from approximately $63,000 to nearly $80,000 [14][15]. This rally was driven by aggressive spot buying and increased speculative participation in derivatives markets [14][15]. Market analyses from August 2026 suggest a tactical entry point for Bitcoin, with projections indicating potential for further growth to approximately $138,000 by the end of 2026, based on mean reversion in the Bitcoin-to-gold market capitalization ratio [16].
Sources (16)
  1. 1Bitcoin Traders Watch Fed Chair Warsh for Clues—And Get Nothing - Decryptdecrypt.co
  2. 2Bitcoin Falls to $78.4K as Fed’s Warsh Cites Sticky Inflationcryptobreaking.com
  3. 3Bitcoin dips to $78.4K as Fed’s Warsh downplays softer inflation prints — TradingView Newstradingview.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Stays Below $80,000 as Fed’s Warsh Talks Inflation At Jackson Hole - The Crypto Postthecryptopost.io
  5. 5Could Bitcoin advance its rally amid $6 billion options expiry?fxstreet.com
  6. 6BIT Trading Hours: BTC Twice Tests 50-Week Moving Average and Pulls Back, Sell Wall and Options Expiry Coincide with Warsh's Jackson Hole Debut, Is a Turning Point Imminent? | HTX Insightshtx.com
  7. 7BRTI - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Price Prediction August 28, 2026 | BTC Forecast & Oddsalph.ai
  9. 9Bitcoin above ___ on August 28?polymarket.com
  10. 10BTC price range on Aug 28, 2026 at 4pm EDTrobinhood.com
  11. 11BTC price range on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — Kalshi Prediction Market Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  12. 12Bitcoin is outperforming stocks and correlating with gold...coindesk.com
  13. 13Bitcoin Surges as Treasury Buybacks Ease Yields and Boost Risk Appetiteinteractivecrypto.com
  14. 14BTC Market Pulse: Week 35research.glassnode.com
  15. 15BTC Market Pulse: Week 35research.glassnode.com
  16. 16Risk-On Reloaded: Monetary Easing, Catch-up Trades, and the Tokenization Buildout - CFBcfbenchmarks.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

A YES resolution occurs if the official and final value of Bitcoin, determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute of the market, is greater than or equal to the target price of $77,326.88. Conversely, a NO resolution is triggered if this averaged value is less than $77,326.88. The market is active from August 28, 6:00 PM to 6:15 PM EDT, with the crucial settlement period being the final minute (6:14 PM – 6:15 PM EDT) when the 60 RTI prices are sampled to calculate the official closing value.

Market Discussion

While the specific figure $77,326.88 is not a widely recognized market prediction target, appearing instead in unrelated datasets, Bitcoin's price action on August 28, 2026, saw it close at $77,420.74, just above the target, with the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) recorded at $77,423.26 that day [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. Public discussion in late August 2026, including 15-minute timeframe analysis, frequently centered on BTC trading "near $77K" or targeting that level, with support identified around $77,500-$77,800 amidst a volatile, range-bound market influenced by macroeconomic catalysts [12][13][14][15][16][17][6][7][8][9][10][11].

Sources (17)
  1. 1085-4armeps.am
  2. 22021 salaries for Torrance Unified | Transparent Californiatransparentcalifornia.com
  3. 3Palmer ES Annex & Renovations #13pbcchicago.com
  4. 4Partida arancelaria 30.02.90.10.00 - CULTIVOS DE MICROORGANISMOS | datoz.pedatoz.pe
  5. 5BRTI - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  6. 6ambcrypto.comOctagon Agent
  7. 7www.crowdfundinsider.comOctagon Agentcrowdfundinsider.com
  8. 8crypto-economy.comOctagon Agent
  9. 9cryptoslate.comOctagon Agent
  10. 10cryptobriefing.comOctagon Agent
  11. 11crypto-economy.comOctagon Agent
  12. 12BITCOIN - BTC/USD - 15 min. - Technical analysis published on 08/28/2026 (GMT)centralcharts.com
  13. 13New Argot Talks: The Market Outlook for Bitcoin After August 28 - AiCoinaicoin.com
  14. 14BIT Trading Hours: BTC Twice Tests 50-Week Moving Average and Pulls Back, Sell Wall and Options Expiry Coincide with Warsh's Jackson Hole Debut, Is a Turning Point Imminent? | HTX Insightshtx.com
  15. 15Bitcoin Price Forecast as Markets Bet on Dollar Rebound Amid Warsh's Keynote Addresscoingape.com
  16. 16Bitcoin price today Analysis: Key $80K Momentum & Consolidationbitcoinethereumnews.com
  17. 17Bitcoin (BTC) Slips to $79,348 After Three-Month High as Fed Rate Outlook Takes Center Stage | Meykameyka.com

4. Trader Dashboard

This scorecard was computed Aug 28, 2026 and may not reflect current market conditions.

Trust profile
Event quality65
Healthy
Liquidity
65

1 contract

Target Price: $77,326.8865
Tradeable · low confidence

24h traded notional $1,160,338

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $77,326.88—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
—Clear

Rules read clean and objective

1 contract

Target Price: $77,326.8895
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

trader_dashboard_lean_v1.14 · computed Aug 28, 2026

5. How might the ~$6.4B Bitcoin options expiry on August 28 influence price volatility during the 6:00 PM to 6:15 PM EDT settlement window?

Bitcoin Options Expiry Value$6.44 billion (notional) [1][2][3]
Deribit Expiry Time08:00 UTC (4:00 AM EDT) [1][4][5]
Official Settlement Price$79,682.33 [5]
The ~$6.4 billion Bitcoin options expiry on August 28 did not directly influence price volatility during the 6:00 PM to 6:15 PM EDT settlement window. This was because the primary Deribit options expiry occurred much earlier at 08:00 UTC (4:00 AM EDT) [1][4][5]. Consequently, any volatility observed during the 6:00 PM EDT window was predominantly driven by post-expiry market positioning and reactions to broader macroeconomic events, rather than the options expiry event itself [5]. The specific prediction market target of $77,326.88 for the later settlement window appears to have been misaligned with the actual Deribit market expiration time [1][4][5].
The significant Bitcoin options expiry settled at $79,682.33 earlier at 08:00 UTC. Approximately $6.44 billion (notional) in Bitcoin options officially expired on Deribit at that time on August 28, 2026, with an official settlement price recorded at $79,682.33 [1][5][2][3]. Deribit's settlement mechanism employs a 30-minute time-weighted average price (TWAP) leading up to the expiry, which can concentrate hedging flows and suppress volatility through "gamma pinning" immediately before settlement [6][7][8][9]. Following this expiry, Bitcoin lost a primary price anchor near $80,000, making it more susceptible to broader macro drivers [5][3], such as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's keynote at the Jackson Hole Symposium, which coincided with the later settlement [5][3][10][11]. Leading up to the expiry, Bitcoin options markets exhibited a front-end priced for calm, with implied volatility (IV) showing an upward-sloping term structure and no near-term stress indicators, despite a macro environment containing potential repricing events [12].
Sources (12)
  1. 1Could Bitcoin advance its rally amid $6 billion options expiry?fxstreet.com
  2. 2$6.44 billion Bitcoin options expire todaychaincatcher.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Options Settle $6.44B on Deribit as Fed Chair Warsh Delivers Keynote Today | Gate Newsgate.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Faces a Dual Test From Dealer Hedging and the Fedfinance.yahoo.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Loses Its Price Anchor After $6.4 Billion Options Expiry. Will the Fed Replace It? | Criptor.netcriptor.net
  6. 6Bitcoin price just collapsed because the macro selloff collided with a $14 billion options expiry this morningcryptoslate.com
  7. 7BTC Options Expiry (OpEx) Explained: How to Trade It | BackQuantbackquant.com
  8. 8A Comprehensive Analysis of Bitcoin Options Expiry: How the Gamma Pinning Effect Suppresses Price Volatility | Gate Bloggate.com
  9. 9What Happens After a Major Crypto Options Expiry and How Should You Positionbitgetapp.com
  10. 10Bitcoin Holds Near $79,700 Before Warsh’s Jackson Hole Debut and a $6.4 Billion Options Expiry - WalletInvestor.comwalletinvestor.com
  11. 11Bitcoin Options Settlement and Fed Chair Warsh Speech Converge Friday | Gate Newsgate.com
  12. 12Crypto Derivatives Briefsnews.laevitas.ch

6. What does intraday order book data reveal about market reactions to Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

Date of SpeechAugust 28, 2026 [1]
BTC Intraday LowApproximately $78,442 [2][3][4]
BTC Stabilization Range$79,500–$80,000 [2][3][4]
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's speech signaled potential rate hikes, impacting markets. On August 28, 2026, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a keynote speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, stating that inflation remained "too high" and underlying trends had not "meaningfully improved" [1][5][6][7][8]. Market participants interpreted these remarks as a signal for potential future interest rate increases, which triggered immediate volatility in the BTC/USD market. Following the speech, Bitcoin experienced an intraday dip to approximately $78,442 before its price action stabilized, recovering from initial lows to near the $79,500–$80,000 range [2][3][4].
Specific intraday order book data for this period is unavailable. Despite the clear impact on the BTC/USD market, available market reports and official economic data releases do not document the specific intraday order book dynamics for the 6:00 p.m. to 6:15 p.m. ET window on August 28, 2026 [9][10]. Furthermore, the resolution of the $77,326.88 BTC prediction market target for that specific timeframe is also not documented in these reports [9][10].
Warsh's remarks intentionally avoided traditional forward guidance strategies. The speech notably distanced itself from traditional "forward guidance," aiming to prevent market participants from relying on the central bank for their next trade [7][11][12][13].
Sources (13)
  1. 1Keynote remarks by Chairman Warsh at the 2026 Jackson...federalreserve.gov
  2. 2BIT Trading Hours: BTC Twice Tests 50-Week Moving Average and Pulls Back, Sell Wall and Options Expiry Coincide with Warsh's Jackson Hole Debut, Is a Turning Point Imminent? | HTX Insightshtx.com
  3. 3Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Is down 1.02% on Aug 28: What Do On-Chain Data and Market Sentiment Show?tradingkey.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Falls to $78.4K as Fed’s Warsh Cites Sticky Inflationcryptobreaking.com
  5. 5Keynote remarks by Chairman Warsh at the 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposiumfm.cnbc.com
  6. 6Watch Fed Chairman Warsh's full remarks at Jackson Holecnbc.com
  7. 7kevin-warsh-jackson-hole-federal-reserve-inflationcnbc.com
  8. 8Jackson Hole Fed summit live: Kevin Warsh's keynote...finance.yahoo.com
  9. 9Aligning Cryptocurrency Derivatives with Spot Markets: Measuring the 24/7 Trading Opportunity - CME Groupcmegroup.com
  10. 10What are Bitcoin Futures?cmegroup.com
  11. 11Fed chair Warsh, concerned about inflation, says bank may...washingtonpost.com
  12. 12In closely watched speech, Warsh signals Fed may need to...politico.com
  13. 13Fed Chair Kevin Warsh warns inflation is still too highnpr.org

7. How did the influence of sustained spot Bitcoin ETF inflows compare against the short-term pressure from derivatives markets on August 28?

Options Expiry Value$6.4 billion (August 28, 2026) [1][2]
Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows (8-day streak)~$2.8 billion (late August 2026) [3][2][4]
Price Resistance Zone$80,000–$82,000 (August 28, 2026) [1][2]
Bitcoin faced downward pressure despite strong ETF inflows on August 28. The price dip was primarily attributed to volatility from $6.4 billion in options expiries and profit-taking activity as Bitcoin approached the $80,000–$82,000 resistance zone [1][2]. Although spot Bitcoin ETFs sustained an impressive eight-day inflow streak, totaling approximately $2.8 billion and providing a structural floor for the price, this demand was largely offset by persistent spot-selling pressure and derivatives-based basis arbitrage [3][2][4].
Broader market indicators revealed a significant risk-on shift by late August 2026. This shift was propelled by strong institutional demand and substantial spot ETF inflows that had surged above historical thresholds in the weeks prior [5][6]. While these sustained ETF inflows offered a structural floor for Bitcoin's price, their demand was largely balanced by short positions in the futures market [3][2][4]. Despite a short-term recovery rally, Bitcoin's broad-market beta positioning remained relatively static through late August 2026 [7].
Derivatives markets exerted substantial short-term pressure on August 28, notably through the $6.4 billion in options expiries which prompted market makers to engage in delta-hedging [1][2]. Throughout late August 2026, these markets also displayed a clear increase in speculative participation, with perpetual taker flows moving sharply in favor of buyers and futures open interest expanding toward elevated levels [5][6]. This created an environment characterized by strong spot accumulation alongside increased leverage-driven price sensitivity [5][6]. Additionally, short-term market sentiment was dampened by uncertainty surrounding a speech by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, leading institutional desks to reduce risk exposure and causing a brief $1,000 price dip following his remarks on inflation [1][8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Is down 1.02% on Aug 28: What Do On-Chain Data and Market Sentiment Show?tradingkey.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Spot ETFs See 8 Consecutive Days of Net Inflows: Why BTC Still Struggles to Hold the $80,000 Mark - Odailyodaily.news
  3. 3Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Market Analysis 28 August 2026coinstats.app
  4. 4Bitcoin tests $80,000 as ETFs drive inflowstoobit.com
  5. 5BTC Market Pulse: Week 35research.glassnode.com
  6. 6BTC Market Pulse: Week 35research.glassnode.com
  7. 7Factor Friday - August 28, 2026 - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Traders Watch Fed Chair Warsh for Clues—And Get Nothing - Decryptdecrypt.co

8. What is the calculation methodology for the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) that will be used to resolve this market?

Fast Update FrequencyApproximately every 200 milliseconds (as of May 18, 2026) [1][2]
Regulatory DisseminationOnce-per-second benchmark price index (under UK Benchmarks Regulation) [3][4][5]
Methodology Review StatusOngoing administrative review and periodic consultation (as of August 2026) [1]
The CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) calculates a weighted mid-price from aggregated order book data. This calculation involves consolidating order book data from multiple constituent cryptocurrency exchanges, specifically using Bitcoin-USD markets that meet particular criteria [3][4]. The core process merges relevant order books, caps order sizes at a predefined limit, and determines cumulative bid/ask price-volume curves. From these curves, a weighted mid-price is derived based on an exponential distribution, extending up to a calculated utilized depth [3][4][6][7].
BRTI is disseminated once per second, with ongoing methodology reviews. As of May 18, 2026, the CME CF Real Time Indices, including BRTI, are published approximately every 200 milliseconds following updates to the methodology guide parameters [1][2]. However, the BRTI is disseminated as a once-per-second benchmark price index under UK Benchmarks Regulation, though some historical documentation may reference earlier 200-millisecond update frequencies [3][4][5]. The methodology for the CME CF Real Time Index is subject to ongoing administrative review and periodic consultation as of August 2026; therefore, the active methodology version should be sourced from the most recent official CF Benchmarks documentation [1].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Announcement of Consultation on Changes to the CME CF Real Time Index Methodology - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2Outcome of Consultation on Changes to the CME CF Real Time Index Methodology - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  3. 3CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  4. 4BRTI - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  5. 5Rules | Nasdaq PHLX - Listing Centerlistingcenter.nasdaq.com
  6. 6CME CF Bitcoin Rate Methodology Guide | PDF | Cryptocurrency | Pricesscribd.com
  7. 7Self-Regulatory Organizations; Nasdaq PHLX LLC; Notice...federalregister.gov

9. Which key technical support and resistance levels, including moving averages and sell walls, were most critical for Bitcoin's price action on August 28?

Primary Sell Wall$81,000 [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Key Support Range$79,300 to $80,000 [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Overhead Supply Zone$80,000 to $86,000 [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Bitcoin encountered robust technical resistance, notably at $81,000 and the 50-week moving average. On August 28, significant overhead supply and resistance were evident, primarily within the $80,000 to $86,000 range [1][2][3][4][5][6]. A major sell wall at $81,000 was consistently identified, which Bitcoin tested but failed to break decisively throughout the day [1][2][3][4][5][6]. Broader resistance also existed in the $81,000–$83,000 range, reinforced by a profit-taking zone situated between $83,307 and $84,569 [7][8][9][10][11][12]. The 50-week moving average, positioned near $81,000–$81,270, likewise served as a critical technical ceiling [9][10].
Conversely, Bitcoin found key support levels around $79,300 and $80,000. These primary support levels on August 28 were clustered from $79,300 to $80,000 [1][2][3][4][5][6]. The $80,000 mark initially acted as a failed support or pivot point, with subsequent tradeable support references appearing at $79,700, $79,400, and $79,300 after price rejections [1][2][3][4][5][6]. A deeper downside band was observed near $77,800 to $78,600, while a secondary critical floor was identified between $73,000 and $76,000 [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][10][11][13][14][15].
Sources (15)
  1. 1news.bitcoin.comOctagon Agent
  2. 2ambcrypto.comOctagon Agent
  3. 3www.crowdfundinsider.comOctagon Agentcrowdfundinsider.com
  4. 4crypto-economy.comOctagon Agent
  5. 5cryptoslate.comOctagon Agent
  6. 6cryptobriefing.comOctagon Agent
  7. 7Could Bitcoin advance its rally amid $6 billion options expiry?fxstreet.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Stabilizes at $80,000, How Do Institutions and Smart Money View the Future Market? | HTX Insightshtx.com
  9. 9BIT Trading Hours: BTC Twice Tests 50-Week Moving Average and Pulls Back, Sell Wall and Options Expiry Coincide with Warsh's Jackson Hole Debut, Is a Turning Point Imminent? | HTX Insightshtx.com
  10. 10Bitcoin’s Hold Above $80,000 Hinges on Jackson Hole as Resistance Builds at $81,700-$83,000 [Kang Min-seung’s Trade Now]en.bloomingbit.io
  11. 11Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Market Analysis 28 August 2026coinstats.app
  12. 12Why $80000 Could Be Bitcoin's (BTC) Most Important...cryptopotato.com
  13. 13Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Is down 1.02% on Aug 28: What Do On-Chain Data and Market Sentiment Show?tradingkey.com
  14. 14Bitcoin Holds Near $79,700 Before Warsh’s Jackson Hole Debut and a $6.4 Billion Options Expiry - WalletInvestor.comwalletinvestor.com
  15. 15Bitcoin (BTC) Slips to $79,348 After Three-Month High as Fed Rate Outlook Takes Center Stage | Meykameyka.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

On August 28, 2026, Bitcoin markets reacted to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote speech, where he signaled skepticism toward traditional forward guidance and emphasized that inflation remained 'sticky' above the Fed's 2% target [1][2][3][4]. This hawkish repricing of U.S. rates caused Bitcoin to fall below $80,000, with intraday lows reported between $76,877 and $78,600, before stabilizing near $79,000 to $79,500 [5][6][7][8][9][10]. Bitcoin exhibited volatility around the $78,000–$80,000 range following the speech, as traders reacted to the lack of clear signals regarding future interest rate paths [1][4]. The CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) was trading at approximately $77,423.26 as of 21:27:59 GMT on August 28, 2026 [11]. Bitcoin did not stay above the $77,326.88 target during the Aug. 28, 2026 6:00 PM–6:15 PM EDT window, with a session low of $77,077.59 and a close of $77,420.74 [5][6][7][8][9][10].
Further amplifying volatility on August 28, 2026, BTC options worth $6.4 billion expired, coinciding with roughly $488 million in overwhelmingly long-side crypto liquidations [5][6][7][8][9][10]. Despite these immediate pressures, the broader market maintained a supportive underlying bid [5][6][7][8][9][10]. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs had logged eight consecutive sessions of inflows totaling $2.8 billion, with August inflows exceeding $3 billion [5][6][7][8][9][10]. This positive demand backdrop, alongside aggressive spot buying, increased speculative participation in derivatives markets, and strong institutional demand, had previously driven Bitcoin from approximately $63,000 to nearly $80,000 in late August 2026 [12][13][14]. However, analysts identified a significant supply band between $81,000 and $86,000 that stood between the recovery and previous highs [13][14].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: August 28, 2026
  • Expiration: September 04, 2026
  • Closes: August 28, 2026
Sources (14)
  1. 1Bitcoin Traders Watch Fed Chair Warsh for Clues—And Get Nothing - Decryptdecrypt.co
  2. 2Jackson Hole 2026: Why Kevin Warsh's First Fed Speech Could Move Crypto Prices Today | WEEX Crypto Newsweex.com
  3. 3Why Warsh’s First Jackson Hole Speech Could Decide the Next Bitcoin Move – Chain Grid Newschaingridnews.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Falls to $78.4K as Fed’s Warsh Cites Sticky Inflationcryptobreaking.com
  5. 5ambcrypto.comOctagon Agent
  6. 6www.crowdfundinsider.comOctagon Agentcrowdfundinsider.com
  7. 7crypto-economy.comOctagon Agent
  8. 8cryptoslate.comOctagon Agent
  9. 9cryptobriefing.comOctagon Agent
  10. 10crypto-economy.comOctagon Agent
  11. 11BRTI - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  12. 12CF Benchmarks Newsletter Issue 103 - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  13. 13BTC Market Pulse: Week 35research.glassnode.com
  14. 14BTC Market Pulse: Week 35research.glassnode.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 7 resolved YES, 13 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26AUG281800-00: NO (Aug 28, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26AUG281745-45: YES (Aug 28, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26AUG281730-30: NO (Aug 28, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26AUG281715-15: NO (Aug 28, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26AUG281700-00: NO (Aug 28, 2026)