Short Answer

BTC is expected to reach the $79,159.60 target within the 15-minute window, with the market pricing this outcome at 98.4%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Bitcoin hit $79,159.60, driven by reduced Federal Reserve rate hike fears.
  • Significant institutional spot Bitcoin ETF inflows also supported the price target.

Current Context

The 15-minute bar summary for Bitcoin between 11:15 AM and 11:30 AM EDT on September 4, 2026, showed trading around the $79,159.60 target [1][2][3][4][5][6]. This summary listed a low of $78,626.11 and a close of $79,263.42, with volume at 45,377,941,504. While the bar's close exceeded the target, the single bar summary does not provide definitive intra-bar confirmation [1][2][3][4][5][6]. Earlier on September 4, Bitcoin traded above $81,000, reaching $81,137 to $81,240, with the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) at approximately $80,862.60 [7][8][9]. Bitcoin had entered September 2026 near $78,300, following an August breakout above $80,000 driven by a debasement trade and significant institutional inflows [10][11].
Macroeconomic data and Fed policy shifts recently impacted Bitcoin's price trajectory. The dominant near-term driver was a strong US jobs report on September 4, which showed the economy adding 162,000 jobs in August against expectations of 53,000–56,000 [1][2][3][4][5][6]. Unemployment stood at 4.1%, with wage growth at +0.3% MoM and +3.1% YoY [1][2][3][4][5][6]. This report pushed Bitcoin lower, below $80,000, and increased the probability of a September 15–16 Fed rate hike to 58%–60%, overriding earlier suggestions from Fed Governor Waller that a pause in rate hikes could keep September odds near 50% [7][8][12][13][14][1][2]. Market momentum also stems from sustained institutional interest, including $730.9 million in net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs on September 3, and a $370 million purchase by MicroStrategy [12][15]. On September 4, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $730.8 million in net inflows, the third-largest daily inflow of 2026, with BlackRock IBIT attracting approximately $454 million (62% of the group) and ARKB $137.7 million [13][14][1][2][3][4][5][6].
Technical resistance and derivatives leverage frame the near-term outlook for Bitcoin. Analysts identify $83,000–$86,000 as a critical long-term holder supply resistance zone, while technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 72.4 suggest overbought conditions [8][16]. Options markets show neutral positioning, with significant resistance also noted in the $80,000–$85,000 range [17]. Futures open interest has surpassed $57 billion, the highest since May, with over $260 million in short positions liquidated during the prior advance, though leverage can heighten reversal risk [13][1][2][3][4][5][6]. Fidelity Digital Assets noted realized volatility at about the 1.5th percentile, describing it as a “coiled spring” setup, indicating low volatility and volume can precede larger moves [9][1][2][3][4][5][6]. Upcoming events include the August CPI report on September 11, the Fed meeting on September 15–16, and the next jobs report covering September payrolls on October 2 [7][8][14][1][2][3][4][5][6].
Sources (17)
  1. 1cryptobriefing.comOctagon Agent
  2. 2decrypt.coOctagon Agent
  3. 3coingape.comOctagon Agent
  4. 4crypto-economy.comOctagon Agent
  5. 5cryptoslate.comOctagon Agent
  6. 6u.todayOctagon Agent
  7. 7Bitcoin and ethereum prices today, Friday, September 4, 2026finance.yahoo.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Price Today Analysis: Bulls Hold Above $81,000 Amid Momentum Warningen.cryptonomist.ch
  9. 9BRTI - CFB - CF Benchmarkscfbenchmarks.com
  10. 10BTC Market Pulse: Week 36research.glassnode.com
  11. 11Debasement Trade Drives August Rally as Warsh Turns Hawkish - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  12. 12Bitcoin BTC Surges to $81,000, Fed's Interest Rate Hike Odds at 50-50, Can $80,000 Be Held? | HTX Insightshtx.com
  13. 13Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Gearing up for a sharp movefxstreet.com
  14. 14Man Who Owns 4% Of All Bitcoin: His Final WARNING To Everyone Who Doesn't Own It | Michael Sayloryoutube.com
  15. 15Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge to $731M, Highest Since January as BTC Hits $80K | KuCoinkucoin.com
  16. 16Bitcoin breaks the level that ended 4 of 5 bear marketscryptoslate.com
  17. 17Episode 125: The Bond Market Is Breaking - Is Bitcoin About to Explode? - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market is active from September 4, 11:15 AM to 11:30 AM EDT. A "YES" resolution occurs if the final Bitcoin price is above $79,159.60, while a "NO" resolution occurs if it is at or below this target price. The official final value is determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices from CF Benchmarks, collected during the last minute before the 11:30 AM EDT expiration.

Market Discussion

The specific value $79,159.60 does not appear to be a recognized Bitcoin market-related price target for September 4, 2026; however, it falls within an active short-term trading zone frequently discussed by traders [11-15, 21, 22]. While no exact 15-minute print at this level was confirmed, Bitcoin reached $79,155.00 on 2026-05-02 and revisited the $79.1k–$79.5k area multiple times in late August and early September 2026, with commentary identifying this band as a key intraday decision zone [1]. On September 4, 2026, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility and short liquidations amidst a broader market rally, though by early September 2026, bullish momentum had faded as the market consolidated around the $76,000–$80,000 range [2].

Sources (2)
  1. 1schemaOctagon Agent
  2. 2Bitcoin Price Today: $81K Holds as Strategy Buys $370M, But Momentum Fades | Bitget Newsbitgetapp.com

4. Trader Dashboard

This scorecard was computed Sep 4, 2026 and may not reflect current market conditions.

Trust profile
Event quality65
Healthy
Liquidity
65

1 contract

Target Price: $79,159.6065
Tradeable · low confidence

24h traded notional $596,384

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $79,159.60—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
—Clear

Rules read clean and objective

1 contract

Target Price: $79,159.6095
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

trader_dashboard_lean_v1.14 · computed Sep 4, 2026

5. What do Bitcoin options market data from CME indicate about trader expectations for volatility leading into the September 4 resolution?

Implied Volatility39.55% to 39.75% (early September 2026) [1][2][3][4]
Call-Heavy Bias1.8-to-1 (early September 2026) [5]
Downside Hedge Concentration$60,000 and below (early September 2026) [5]
Bitcoin options implied volatility stood near 39.55-39.75% in early September 2026. As of early September 2026, CME Bitcoin options market data indicated an implied volatility ranging from approximately 39.55% to 39.75% [1][2][3][4]. This level aligned with the CME CF Bitcoin Volatility Index (BVX), which monitors market expectations for 30-day volatility using CME Group options data [6]. Prior to this period, Bitcoin options volatility experienced a notable spike during a late-August breakout, but subsequently compressed, potentially leading market participants to undervalue near-term volatility relative to recent price movements [7][8][9].
Bullish sentiment moderated as Bitcoin options positioning showed a call-heavy bias. By early September 2026, the previously strong bullish sentiment, evidenced by call-buying in Bitcoin options, had moderated, reverting to a more neutral state as the market established a trading range below the $80,000-$85,000 resistance levels [9]. At the beginning of September, Bitcoin options market positioning featured a 1.8-to-1 call-heavy bias, with significant upside concentrations observed between $78,000 and $100,000. Conversely, downside hedges were positioned at $60,000 and below [5].
Specific volatility data for the Sep 4 resolution window is not available. It is important to note that the provided research evidence does not include a specific, time-stamped volatility reading for the exact September 4, 2026, 11:15 AM–11:30 AM EDT resolution window [6]. To precisely determine trader expectations for volatility during this specific 15-minute timeframe, data such as the implied volatility and skew time series for the nearest CME BTC options maturity leading into that exact period would be necessary [6]. While CME reports on historical options data, for instance, indicating elevated implied volatility and downside skew on February 5, 2026 [6], this information does not reflect expectations for the designated September 4 resolution period [6].
Sources (9)
  1. 1CME CF Bitcoin Volatility Index - Settlementcfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2CME CF Bitcoin Volatility Index - Real Timecfbenchmarks.com
  3. 3CME CF Bitcoin Volatility Index Factsheetcfbenchmarks.com
  4. 4CME CF Volatility Series - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Options: $60K Hedges, $78K+ Calls Leave Low $70Ks Exposed - CVJ.AIcvj.ai
  6. 6cmegroup.comOctagon Agent
  7. 7Crypto Derivatives: Analytics Report - Week 35 - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com
  8. 8BTC Market Pulse: Week 36research.glassnode.com
  9. 9Episode 125: The Bond Market Is Breaking - Is Bitcoin About to Explode? - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com

6. What do key technical indicators, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and trading volume, suggest about Bitcoin's support and resistance levels near $79,000 for September 2026?

Daily RSIBetween 70.8 and 72.4 (as of September 4, 2026) [1][2][3]
Monthly Gain26% (preceding September 4, 2026) [1][2][3]
Resistance Range$80,000–$85,000, specifically $82,000–$83,000 [1][2][4][5]
Bitcoin shows overbought conditions with key resistance near $80,000. As of September 4, 2026, Bitcoin's daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated overbought conditions, registering between 70.8 and 72.4, following a substantial 26% gain over the preceding month [1][2][3]. Despite recent trading volume surges supporting price movements above $80,000, secondary market turnover and spot cumulative volume delta data suggest a potential shift in taker dynamics and a softening of retail participation [1][2][4][6]. Technical analysis identifies significant resistance for Bitcoin within the $80,000–$85,000 range, with particular resistance noted around $82,000–$83,000 [1][2][4][5][7][8]. Support levels are established near $78,000 and $76,000 [1][2][4][5][7][8]. While momentum remains elevated, the MACD histogram shows it is no longer accelerating [1][2][4][6]. The $80,000–$81,000 range is a critical zone where price action is currently consolidating after failing to sustain higher breakouts [1][2][7][8].
Institutional demand supports Bitcoin amidst broader market shifts. In late August and early September 2026, Bitcoin traded within a defined range, having stalled below significant overhead supply after a mid-August rally [6]. The market exhibits resilient institutional demand and strong spot ETF inflows [6][5]. However, this strength is offset by rising speculative leverage and a neutral stance in the options market, which follows a fading bullish sentiment [6][5].
Sources (8)
  1. 1BTC Price Prediction: Overbought RSI Meets a Short-Heavy Crowd — $85K or Flush to $75K? - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  2. 2Bitcoin Price Today Analysis: Bulls Hold Above $81,000 Amid Momentum Warningen.cryptonomist.ch
  3. 3Bitcoin Has Gained 26% in a Month and Is Still 35% Below Its High - WalletInvestor.comwalletinvestor.com
  4. 4September 4 market: Bears are stunned! Chips are transferring to big players! Is this wave of Bitcoin a rebound or a reversal? - AiCoinaicoin.com
  5. 5Episode 125: The Bond Market Is Breaking - Is Bitcoin About to Explode? - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com
  6. 6BTC Market Pulse: Week 36research.glassnode.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Tests $78K as Bulls Fight for a Reversalusethebitcoin.com
  8. 8Bitcoin (BTC) at a Crossroads: Is the Next Leg to $80K Loading? | HTX Insightshtx.com

7. How does the recent momentum from institutional spot Bitcoin ETF inflows compare with the price pressure from Federal Reserve policy uncertainty in Q3 2026?

US Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows (August 2026)$3.52 billion [1][2][3][4]
Bitcoin Price (Sept 4, 2026)Above $81,000 [1][5][6][7]
Daily ETF Inflows (Sept 3, 2026)$730.9 million [1][5][6][7]
Institutional spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are significantly driving recent Bitcoin price momentum. These inflows have served as a primary demand driver, substantially impacting Bitcoin's price. August 2026 marked the strongest month for US spot Bitcoin ETF inflows, reaching $3.52 billion, which helped reduce year-to-date net outflows by 66% and supported a 25% price gain for BTC [1][2][3][4]. As of September 4, 2026, Bitcoin is trading above $81,000, further bolstered by $730.9 million in daily ETF inflows recorded on September 3, representing the largest single-day inflow since mid-January 2026 [1][5][6][7]. Despite this strong performance, institutional interest exhibits mixed momentum; while major financial institutions like Bank of America now recommend spot Bitcoin ETFs, earlier reports noted a cooling period in late 2025 [8].
Federal Reserve policy uncertainty presents a significant macroeconomic headwind for Bitcoin. A primary concern in Q3 2026 is the Federal Reserve's unclear stance regarding a potential September rate hike [1][9][10][7]. Probabilities for a 25 basis point increase initially peaked above 60% in late August but later moderated to approximately 50% following dovish remarks from Fed Governor Waller and indications of potential geopolitical de-escalation [11][9][10][12]. The Kansas City Fed's Measure of Policy Rate Uncertainty (KCPRU) stood at 1.125 percentage points as of August 19, 2026 [13]. Bitcoin's short-term price movements are highly sensitive to these fluctuating rate-hike probabilities, and its increasing correlation with tech stocks observed in 2025 and 2026 suggests it may indirectly experience pressure from Fed policy that affects broader equity markets [14][15].
Sources (15)
  1. 1Bitcoin ETFs Post Biggest Gains Since January as BTC Hits $80Kcointelegraph.com
  2. 2Bitcoin ETFs Record $3.52B Net Inflows in August 2026 Strongest Month | Gate Newsgate.com
  3. 3Bitcoin ETFs Pull $3.5B in August: 2026 Rally Outlook | GetFinanceBriefgetfinancebrief.com
  4. 4Bitcoin ETFs Book Best Month of 2026 as BTC Jumps 25% in Augustspendnode.io
  5. 5Bitcoin Price: BTC Live Price Today - Bybitbybit.com
  6. 6Bitcoin and ethereum prices today, Friday, September 4, 2026finance.yahoo.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Price Today Analysis: Bulls Hold Above $81,000 Amid Momentum Warningen.cryptonomist.ch
  8. 8Will Crypto ETFs Have Lasting Appeal? - OpenMarkets - CME Groupcmegroup.com
  9. 9Jobs, Warsh, and the FedWatch Reversal: What Comes Next for Bitcoin? | WEEX Crypto Newsweex.com
  10. 10Fed's Waller Casts Doubt on September Hike: What It Means for Bitcoincoinedition.com
  11. 11Will the Federal Reserve restart its rate-hike cycle? Where are Bitcoin’s macro resistance levels as liquidity comes under pressure? | Gate Bloggate.com
  12. 12Iran War-End Signal Lifts Bitcoin Past $78K: Fed Pause Bets Add Second Tailwindtechtimes.com
  13. 13Kansas City Fed's Measure of Policy Rate Uncertainty (KCPRU) (KCPRU) | FRED | St. Louis Fedfred.stlouisfed.org
  14. 14Is There a Bitcoin–Macro Disconnect? - Liberty Street Economicslibertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org
  15. 15Can Crypto World Break Free From Bitcoin’s Undertow? - CME Groupcmegroup.com

8. Which specific data feeds, such as the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index, are used to resolve Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin markets for the September 4 window?

Resolution IndexCME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) [1][2][3][4][5]
Data SourceCF Benchmarks' Real-Time Indices [6][7]
Resolution CalculationSimple average of 60 index price samples, taken once per second [1][2][3][4][5]
Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin markets primarily use the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index. Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin markets determine their resolution based on the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) [1][2][3][4][5]. These markets specifically utilize CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Indices, with the BRTI serving as the designated index for settlement [6][7]. The BRTI is an institutional-grade benchmark that aggregates order book data from multiple regulated cryptocurrency exchanges [1][4][6]. This index updates its price every second, providing a continuous and robust data source for market resolution [1][4][6].
Market resolution involves averaging 60 seconds of real-time index data. The resolution methodology calculates a simple average of 60 index price samples [1][2][3][4][5]. Each sample is taken once per second during the final 60 seconds before the market window closes [1][2][3][4][5]. For these 15-minute markets, settlement is anchored to the BRTI by observing and averaging per-second index observations within a specific window at expiry [7]. The ultimate 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is determined by comparing the 60-second average at the end of this window against the 60-second average recorded at the beginning of the window [3][5].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Crypto Markets - Kalshi Help Centerhelp.kalshi.com
  2. 2Kalshi Resolution Criteria: Read The Rules First | OddsShopperoddsshopper.com
  3. 3Kalshi 15-Minute Markets: How They Work | OddsShopperoddsshopper.com
  4. 4Kalshi 15-Min Bitcoin (KXBTC15M): Rules, Settlement & Edgepredictionmarketspicks.com
  5. 515 Minute Odds: Live Prediction Market Pricesmarketss.com
  6. 6BRTI - CFB - CF Benchmarkscfbenchmarks.com
  7. 7Kalshi Leads Surging Crypto Event Contract Market, Powered by CF Benchmarks - CFBcfbenchmarks.com

9. What is the scale of recent institutional Bitcoin acquisitions by entities like MicroStrategy and spot ETFs in late August and early September 2026?

Strategy Bitcoin purchase4,603 BTC for ~$369.7 million [1][2][3][4][5]
August 2026 US Spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows~$3.52 billion [6][7][8]
September 3, 2026 US Spot Bitcoin ETF net inflow$730.9 million [9][6][7][8]
Institutional entities significantly increased Bitcoin holdings in late August and early September. Strategy, following a two-month hiatus, resumed its acquisition efforts by purchasing 4,603 BTC for approximately $369.7 million, with an average price of $80,318 per coin for this specific transaction. This acquisition brought Strategy's total holdings to 845,050 BTC [1][2][3][4][5]. Concurrently, Strive (ASST) acquired 1,800 BTC for roughly $143 million between August 24 and 28, 2026, pushing its total holdings to 23,156 BTC [1][10].
US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw strong August inflows, with varied September activity. August 2026 registered total net inflows of approximately $3.52 billion for US spot Bitcoin ETFs, making it the strongest month of the year for these instruments [6][7][8]. The beginning of September 2026 introduced some volatility in flows, starting with a net outflow of $236.5 million on September 1, followed by a net inflow of $101.15 million on September 2 [9][6][7][8]. This period culminated in a robust net inflow of $730.9 million on September 3, with BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) contributing approximately $454 million to that day's inflow [9][6][7][8][11]. However, weekly Bitcoin ETF flows also indicated a net outflow of $201.9 million on Friday, September 4, 2026 [12].
Sources (12)
  1. 1Strategy and Strive Add $513M in Bitcoin Purchases | Gate Newsgate.com
  2. 2Strategy Restarts Bitcoin Buying With 4,603 BTC Acquisition – Chain Grid Newschaingridnews.com
  3. 3Strategy Buys 4,603 Bitcoin After Michael Saylor Says “We’re Back”bravenewcoin.com
  4. 4Strategy Buys $370M in Bitcoin After 2-Month Pause, Boosting Total Holdings to 845,050 Coins. Is BTC Back? | The Motley Foolfool.com
  5. 5Strategy surpasses all S&P 500 financial firms in reserve capital, says Michael Saylorcryptobriefing.com
  6. 6Bitcoin ETF News: Demand Faces Its First September Testfinance.yahoo.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Price Surges 5% as ETF Inflows Revive $100K Hopes - IG UKig.com
  8. 8Bitcoin spot ETFs see $101M inflows as ETH, SOL, and XRP face outflowscryptobriefing.com
  9. 9Bitcoin ETF Flows: September 2026 — Daily Table & Net Totals · TFTCtftc.io
  10. 10Strive Acquires 1,800 BTC for $143 Million, Enters Top Five Corporate Holders - CoinReportercoinreporter.io
  11. 11BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transactioncryptobriefing.com
  12. 12Bitcoin Holds the Line After Warsh's Hawkish Speech - CFBcfbenchmarks.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Market expectations for Federal Reserve policy were a primary driver of Bitcoin price movements in early September 2026. Bitcoin rallied above $81,000 on September 4, 2026, following dovish remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, which reduced market expectations for a September rate hike [1][2][3]. This bullish momentum was countered by the US nonfarm payroll report, released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. EDT, which served as a primary market catalyst [2][3]. The August jobs report showed 162,000 jobs added, roughly triple expectations, increasing September Fed hike odds to approximately 58%–60% and pressuring BTC lower [1][2][4][5][6]. BTC had rallied to a four-month high near $82,240–$82,281 earlier in the session but reversed sharply after the jobs report [2][5][6].
Beyond macroeconomic data, institutional flows and technical levels also influenced Bitcoin. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw approximately $730.8 million of inflows during the week ending August 31, 2026, including about $454 million into BlackRock’s IBIT, which supported the broader BTC bid [7][5][6]. As of mid-day September 4, 2026, Bitcoin price action reflected a mix of bullish sentiment and cautious technical indicators, with resistance levels identified near $82,000–$83,000 and support near $78,000–$80,000 [8][9][10]. Earlier, Bitcoin had reversed from a three-month high near $81,455 to the high $76,000s after a hawkish speech by Fed Chair Warsh, as of the week ending August 31, 2026 [7]. Market sentiment in early September 2026 was influenced by rising expectations for a Fed rate hike and stress in global bond markets, with key resistance levels for Bitcoin cited between $80,000 and $86,000 [11][12].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: September 04, 2026
  • Expiration: September 11, 2026
  • Closes: September 04, 2026
Sources (12)
  1. 1Why Is the Crypto Market Up 4.7% Today, September 4, 2026? Bitcoin Breaks $81K as Fed Fears Easebingx.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Jumps 6.8% to Four-Month High as Waller Eases Fed Rate-Hike Fears - DailyCoindailycoin.com
  3. 3Why Are Bitcoin Price and the Crypto Market Up Today? - CaptainAltcoincaptainaltcoin.com
  4. 4Man Who Owns 4% Of All Bitcoin: His Final WARNING To Everyone Who Doesn't Own It | Michael Sayloryoutube.com
  5. 5schemaOctagon Agent
  6. 6ambcryptoOctagon Agent
  7. 7Bitcoin Holds the Line After Warsh's Hawkish Speech - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  8. 8Why are BTC, ETH and XRP poised to extend recovery?fxstreet.com
  9. 9BTC Value Analysis: Momentum Outlook Above $81K to $86Ken.cryptonomist.ch
  10. 10BTC Price Prediction: Overbought RSI Meets a Short-Heavy Crowd — $85K or Flush to $75K? - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  11. 11Episode 125: The Bond Market Is Breaking - Is Bitcoin About to Explode? - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com
  12. 12Debasement Trade Drives August Rally as Warsh Turns Hawkish - CFBcfbenchmarks.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 11 resolved YES, 9 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26SEP041115-15: YES (Sep 04, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26SEP041100-00: NO (Sep 04, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26SEP041045-45: NO (Sep 04, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26SEP041030-30: NO (Sep 04, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26SEP041015-15: YES (Sep 04, 2026)