ETH 15 min · $1,951.19 target
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- The $1,951.19 target reflects downward pressure from US October PPI data.
- Continued ETH ETF outflows also drive the $1,951.19 target price.
- A surging staking exit queue added bearish sentiment for the target.
Current Context
Sources (13)
- 1November 13, 2026: ETH 15 min · 3:00–3:15 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 2Ethereum Price Forecast — ETH-USD ($1,933) $2,270 Upside Target on Record Staking and $2.35B ETF Outflowstradingnews.com
- 3Ethereum price at $1,958: staking exit queue growscryptoticker.io
- 4Ethereum price prediction: Foundation sells, ETFs bleedcryptoticker.io
- 5Ethereum, XRP, PI fall as US PPI inflation reaches 6.5%crypto.news
- 6The macro backdrop remains negative for Ethereum as Trump's Iran remarks fuel renewed risk aversioninvestinglive.com
- 7Cryptocurrencies price prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum & Cryptos – American Wrap 13 Novemberfxstreet.com
- 8Ethereum Signal & Price Prediction Today, Nov 13 – ETHkumocast.io
- 9Analyst who warned about Nvidia and Jensen Huang flagged Ethereum priceinvezz.com
- 10Ethereum price on November 15?polymarket.com
- 11Crypto ETH Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
- 12Ethereum Price Prediction 2026coingecko.com
- 13Crypto Calendar September 2026: Key Events to Trackcoingabbar.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves "YES" if the final average price of ETH at 3:30 PM ET is greater than $1,951.19; otherwise, it resolves "NO". The market expires and settles at 3:30 PM ET on November 13. The official and final value is determined by averaging 60 prices from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), collected during the last minute before expiration.
Market Discussion
Prediction markets for "ETH 15 min" are actively trading around $1,951.19 on platforms like Robinhood and Polymarket, with various targets set for November 13, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5]. On Friday, November 13, 2026, ETH was trading around $1,935 after falling below $2,000, with $1,950 identified as a key level for early stabilization by analysts, and some traders making buy calls at $1,955 with targets up to $1,975 [6][7][8]. However, a similar Kalshi market for a $1,948.98 target on November 13, 2026, was awaiting resolution with "No" slightly favored (57% vs 43% for "Yes"), indicating market skepticism for hitting specific short-term targets [9].
Sources (9)
- 1November 13, 2026: ETH 15 min · 5:15–5:30 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 2November 13, 2026: ETH 15 min · 3:00–3:15 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 3November 13, 2026: ETH 15 min · 5:45–6:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 4November 13, 2026: ETH 15 min · 8:30–8:45 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 5ETH Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com
- 6ETH prediction market runs through Nov. 13coinography.com
- 7DRAGON TRADER 69 Buy ETH-USDT at $1,955, live | Killshill AIkillshill.ai
- 8#eth走势分析 Community Insights & Market Sentiment | Binance Squarebinance.com
- 9ETH 15 min · $1,948.98 target - Awaiting Resolution | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
4. Trust Index
Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 6% of the price to slippage.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
5. What immediate impact did the Ethereum Foundation's 2,000 ETH sale on Nov 13 have on exchange order books leading into the 3:15 PM EST market window?
| Foundation-linked ETH sale | $3.87 million (2,000 ETH) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| November US spot ETH ETF net outflows | $695.9 million [1][4] |
| ETH futures liquidations (24 hours) | $288 million [3] |
Sources (5)
- 1Ethereum Foundation Sales Grab Headlines, but the Real ETH Selling Is 87x Bigger — TradingView Newstradingview.com
- 2Ethereum Foundation affiliated address sold...chaincatcher.com
- 3Ethereum Foundation sells more ETH as price falls below $2,000: What's next?crypto.news
- 4Ethereum Foundation Sales Grab Headlines, but the Real ETH Selling Is 87x Biggerbeincrypto.com
- 5OKX Ether Perpetual Book Shows an $888,000 Sell-Side Leadtokenpost.com
6. How did the bearish sentiment indicated by $70.57M in spot ETH ETF outflows on Nov 12 manifest in on-chain exchange flow metrics on Nov 13?
| US spot ETH ETF Net Outflow (Nov 12, 2026) | $70.57M [1][2][3][4][5] |
|---|---|
| ETH ETF 1D Netflow (Nov 13, 2026) | -32,917 ETH (~-$64.95M) [3][4] |
| ETH Staking Exit Queue (Nov 13, 2026) | 269,951 ETH [5] |
Sources (6)
- 1Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a $70.57 million net outflow on November 12, marking the sixth consecutive day of outflows. | KuCoinkucoin.com
- 2Ethereum Spot ETFs Post $70.57M Total Net Outflow Yesterday, Extending Streak to 6 Consecutive Days | PANews Englishpanews.io
- 3Ethereum (ETH) Onchain News & Whale Tracking - Lookonchain - Looking for smartmoney onchainlookonchain.com
- 4Ethereum (ETH) Onchain News & Whale Tracking - Lookonchain - Looking for smartmoney onchainlookonchain.com
- 5Ethereum price at $1,958: staking exit queue growscryptoticker.io
- 6Ethereum On-Chain | ETH Exchange Balance & Whale Transfers | CoinGlasscoinglass.com
7. How did the bearish price targets from Kumocast's model ($1,895) and Invezz's Fibonacci analysis ($1,500) compare with the 'buyer zone' identified by analyst Ella ($1,900–$1,940) for Nov 13?
| Kumocast ETH Target (Nov 13) | $1,895.95 [1] |
|---|---|
| Invezz Multi-week ETH Target | $1,500 [2][3] |
| Prediction Market ETH Target (Nov 13) | $1,951.19 [2][1][3] |
Sources (7)
- 1Ethereum Signal & Price Prediction Today, Nov 13 – ETHkumocast.io
- 2Analyst who warned about Nvidia and Jensen Huang flagged Ethereum priceinvezz.com
- 3Ethereum Drops Below $2,000 After Plunging Over 20% in a Month as Odds of $1,500 Retest Surgetradingkey.com
- 4LoraCrypto | ByX creator center | Communitybybit.com
- 5Ethereum Drops Below $2,000 After Plunging Over 20% in a Month as Odds of $1,500 Retest Surge - Tiger Brokersitiger.com
- 6Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | Wormworm.wtf
- 7November 13, 2026: ETH 15 min · 3:00–3:15 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
8. What does historical data from CF Benchmarks reveal about the typical volatility of its ETHUSDRTI index during the 3:00 PM–4:00 PM EST trading hour on high-volume days?
| Highest Volatility Hour | 3:00 PM–4:00 PM EST (15:00–16:00 UTC) [1] |
|---|---|
| Mean ETH Range (High Volatility Hour) | 184.8 basis points (bp) [1] |
| Typical 15-Min Move | 10–40 bp (approx. $2–$8) at ~$1,925–$1,950 price level [1][2] |
Sources (8)
- 1Ethereum (ETHUSD) volatility by hour, day and monthrealbacktesting.com
- 215 Minute Odds: Live Prediction Market Pricesmarketss.com
- 3Ethereum price | index, chart and news | WorldCoinIndexworldcoinindex.com
- 4Ethereum (ETH) tarixiy narxlari va Ethereum bepul tarixiy ma'lumotlarni CSV formatida yuklab oling | Bitgetbitget.com
- 5ETHUSD Ethereum / US Dollar ETH USD Vēsturisko Forex dati | Myfxbookmyfxbook.com
- 6From weather to crypto: building a 15-min binary trading engine on Kalshi. Need feedback. | moltbookmoltbook.com
- 7Kalshi Ethereum (ETH): 15-Minute Up/Down Markets & Odds | ContractTaxcontracttax.com
- 8Kalshi Crypto Markets: Bitcoin & Ethereum Odds vs What Actually Settled | ContractTaxcontracttax.com
9. How did the growth in Ethereum's staking exit queue to 269,951 ETH on Nov 13 weigh on derivatives pricing, relative to the bullish signal of a record 44.6M total ETH staked?
| Ethereum Staking Exit Queue | 269,951 ETH (November 13, 2026) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Estimated Value of Exit Queue | ~$522M [1][4][2] |
| Total ETH Staked (Record High) | 44.6M ETH (November 12-13, 2026) [1][4][5] |
Sources (8)
- 1Ethereum price at $1,958: staking exit queue growscryptoticker.io
- 2Ethereum Price Forecast — ETH-USD ($1,933) $2,270 Upside Target on Record Staking and $2.35B ETF Outflowstradingnews.com
- 3Ethereum Price on November 13, 2026? Live Odds | Lumina Marketsluminamarkets.com
- 4Why Did Ethereum Fall Below $2,000? ETF Flows & Staking Databydfi.com
- 5Ethereum Staking Reaches Record 36.3% as ETH Price Declines and Validator Entry Queue Growsanalyticsinsight.net
- 6Ethereum Exit Queue Stays Below October Peak as ETH Tests $2,000 - Digital Coin Journaldigitalcoinjournal.com
- 7Ethereum Staking Hits 36.3% as ETH Exit Queue Growsravelalpha.com
- 8Ethereum Futures: OI, Funding, Liquidations | Sharpe Terminalsharpe.ai
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: November 13, 2026
- Expiration: November 20, 2026
- Closes: November 13, 2026
Sources (9)
- 1Ethereum, XRP, PI fall as US PPI inflation reaches 6.5%crypto.news
- 2Markets Today - November 13, 2026nexo.com
- 3Ethereum Price Forecast — ETH-USD ($1,933) $2,270 Upside Target on Record Staking and $2.35B ETF Outflowstradingnews.com
- 4Bitcoin tumbles below $69,000 as Nvidia turmoil adds to Fed-driven market jitterstheblock.co
- 5Ethereum Price Falls Below $2,000 as Bitcoin Drops Under $70,000 and Liquidations Pass $1 Billionfinancefeeds.com
- 6Ethereum Price Below $2K: ETF Outflows Near $532M in Six Daysthecoinrepublic.com
- 7Ethereum price at $1,958: staking exit queue growscryptoticker.io
- 8Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction: Oversold bounce or another leg down after a sharp breakdown - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
- 9Ethereum Signal & Price Prediction Today, Nov 13 – ETHkumocast.io
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 12 resolved YES, 8 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXETH15M-26NOV131515-15: NO (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXETH15M-26NOV131500-00: YES (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXETH15M-26NOV131445-45: YES (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXETH15M-26NOV131430-30: YES (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXETH15M-26NOV131415-15: YES (Nov 13, 2026)