Trump Truth Social posts this week? (4/26-5/2)
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- May 1st rally is a key driver for high weekly post volume.
- Trump maintains a consistent, high volume of Truth Social posts daily.
- Gag order influences post content, not the overall posting volume.
- Court appearances generally reduce daily posts, except during rallies.
- Weekdays typically see significantly more Truth Social posts than weekends.
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: 80-99
📈 April 27, 2026: 8.0pp spike
Price increased from 11.0% to 19.0%
Outcome: 140-159
📈 April 26, 2026: 12.0pp spike
Price increased from 5.0% to 17.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump posts between 100 and 119 times on Truth Social from April 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, to May 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; otherwise, it resolves to No. The market closes on May 3, 2026, at 9:59 AM EDT, and the post count, including Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths (plus replies if captured by Roll Call), is recorded at 10:00 AM ET on May 3, 2026. Resolution is primarily based on Roll Call data, excluding deleted posts, with projected payout on July 31, 2026, and alternative sources usable at the platform's discretion if primary data is unavailable or inaccurate.
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. What is Trump's Expected Court Schedule and Social Media Activity in 2026?
| Expected 2026 Court Days | April 28, 29, May 1, 2 (2026) [1] |
|---|---|
| Average Posts on Court Days (April 2024) | Approximately 5.8 posts daily [2] |
| Average Posts on Non-Court Days (April 2024) | Approximately 18 posts daily [2] |
6. What are Donald Trump's Key Engagements April 26 - May 2, 2026?
| White House Correspondents' Dinner | April 26, 2026 (Washington, D.C.) [1] |
|---|---|
| Rally Location | Kravis Center, West Palm Beach, Florida (May 1, 2026) [2] |
| Truth Social Post Increase on Rally Days | 86% average increase in 2024 (46 posts vs. 24.7) [3] |
Sources (4)
- 1Trump Returns to Correspondents Dinner Amid Security Evacuationfakta.co
- 2President Trump to speak at Kravis Center in West Palm Beachwpbf.com
- 3Trump averages more than 24 Truth Social posts a day and he was even busier during the VP debate - Roll Callstaging.rollcall.com
- 4April 2026 - President's Public Schedule | Factba.serollcall.com
7. What is the status of Donald Trump's gag order contempt ruling?
| Contempt Motion Filed | April 15, 2024 [1] |
|---|---|
| Contempt Hearing Date | April 23, 2024 [2] |
| Status as of April 25 | No new contempt findings or sanctions [3] |
Sources (3)
- 1https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24549161/20240415-people-mem-of-law-in-support-of-motion-for-contempt-filed.pdfs3.documentcloud.org
- 2‘Losing All Credibility’: Judge Juan Merchan Slams Trump Team at Tense Gag Order Hearingthedailybeast.com
- 3Trump fined and held in contempt for violating gag order in criminal trial.: NPRnpr.org
8. Are Cohen, Daniels, or Hutchinson Scheduled for High-Profile Appearances?
| Stormy Daniels General Tours | General adult event and tour dates listed for 2026 and 2027 [1] |
|---|---|
| Michael Cohen Media Deal | Signed a major deal with Team Wave Entertainment [2] |
| Face the Nation April 26, 2026 | No named figures indicated as scheduled guests [3] |
Sources (5)
- 1Stormy Daniels Tour 2026–2027 – Cities & Datestheater.guide
- 2Michael Cohen Signs Major Deal with Team Wave Entertainment, Ushering in a New Era of Independent Political Mediaeinpresswire.com
- 3Full transcript of "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," April 26, 2026 - CBS Newscbsnews.com
- 4Stormy Daniels Tickets & 2026 Tour Dates | Vivid Seatsvividseats.com
- 5Stormy Daniels is practically unrecognizable a decade after Trump hush-money scandalyahoo.com
9. Does Donald Trump Post More on Weekdays Than Weekends?
| Average Weekday Posts | 11.66 posts per day [1] |
|---|---|
| Average Weekend Posts | 3.85 posts per day [1] |
| Weekday vs Weekend Post Ratio | Approximately 3 times higher [1] |
Sources (4)
- 1Stats - Trump's Truthtrumpstruth.org
- 2Here's the data on how President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social in 2025ground.news
- 3Truth Social Data: How President Donald Trump posted in 2025kcra.com
- 4Here's the data on how President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social in 2025 | 98 Rock Online98online.com
11. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 2 resolved YES, 18 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26APR25-T80: NO (Apr 26, 2026)
- KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26APR25-T220: NO (Apr 26, 2026)
- KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26APR25-B89: NO (Apr 26, 2026)
- KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26APR25-B210: NO (Apr 26, 2026)
- KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26APR25-B189: NO (Apr 26, 2026)