Atlanta vs Chicago
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Atlanta's 7-5 record and recent form contrast Chicago's 1-9 start.
- Atlanta's strong offense appears to exploit Chicago's defensive weaknesses.
- Betting markets strongly favor Atlanta; Chicago appears more affected by injuries.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 72.0% | 78.0% | Atlanta has a stronger overall record, better offensive efficiency, and a healthier roster. |
| Chicago | 29.0% | 22.0% | Atlanta's road performance is inconsistent; Chicago has shown strong defensive play at home. |
Current Context
Sources (11)
- 1Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls Nov 13, 2026 Game Summary | NBA.comnba.com
- 2Chicago Bulls (1-9) vs. Atlanta Hawks (7-5)nba.com
- 3Bulls vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 13 | FanDuel Researchfanduel.com
- 4Caleb Wilson has surgery on his fractured right hand and will be re-evaluated in three weeks, and Evan Mobley is out Friday with a toe sprainwhynba.com
- 5Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Fridaysportsgambler.com
- 6Hawks vs. Bulls Odds & Prediction, Nov 13 | Kalshikalshi.com
- 7Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls Prediction, Odds & Player Props – Nov 13, 2026 | HoopMetricshoopmetrics.app
- 8ATL Hawks vs. CHI Bulls | Polymarketpolymarket.us
- 9Atlanta Hawks Injury Report: Kingston Flemings Status Up In The Air Ahead of Friday's Game vs Chicagosi.com
- 102026-2027 NBA Games: Hawks Bulls Injury Report - TeamRankings.comteamrankings.com
- 11Minus injured rookie Caleb Wilson, Bulls encounter restless Hawks - Field Level Media - Professional sports content solutions | FLMfieldlevelmedia.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Atlanta
📈 November 09, 2026: 26.0pp spike
Price increased from 48.0% to 74.0%
Outcome: Chicago
📈 November 08, 2026: 40.0pp spike
Price increased from 12.0% to 52.0%
Sources (11)
- 1NBA: Luka Dončić Trolls Hawks Fans After Lakers Win—And Atlanta Still Hurtsen.albat.com
- 2Luka Doncic trolls Hawks fans over NBA Draft trade during Lakers winnypost.com
- 3Luka Dončić breaks out dance moves during dominant win over Hawksnypost.com
- 4Los Angeles Lakers (@lakers) Instagram Stats | Socialpruf.socialpruf.com
- 5Los Angeles Lakers (@Lakers) X Stats | Socialpruf.socialpruf.com
- 6Lakers (@lakers) TikTok Stats | Socialpruf.socialpruf.com
- 7Starting 5: What's trending in the East and West | NBA.comnba.com
- 8This Week: Can Bulls Upset Spurs, Hawks, or Timberwolves?bleachernation.com
- 9Why lakers vs hawks is trending right nowwhyisthistrending.com
- 10Jalen Johnson makes strong return with 30 points for Hawks in win over Nets after missing 3 gamesapnews.com
- 11Atlanta Hawks social media ranking in the NBA | Format Relayformatrelay.com
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This contract resolves to YES if the Atlanta Hawks win their NBA game against the Chicago Bulls, and NO if the Hawks do not win (i.e., the Bulls win). The game is scheduled to begin on November 13, 8:00 PM EST. The provided content does not detail any special settlement conditions regarding game postponements or specific overtime rules.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | $0.72 | $0.29 | 72% |
| Chicago | $0.29 | $0.72 | 29% |
Market Discussion
Prediction markets largely favor Atlanta for the Nov. 13, 2026 matchup, with Polymarket, Kalshi, CoinRithm, and Vigged consistently reporting probabilities for Atlanta around 70-72% [1]. This sentiment is reinforced by a conventional betting preview listing Atlanta as a 7.5-point favorite with a projected score of 126-116, often supported by arguments citing Atlanta's stronger record and Chicago's weakened frontcourt [2]. However, contrarian views for Chicago exist, based on home-court motivation and injury uncertainty [2].
5. Trust Index
Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 2% of the price to slippage.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
6. Can Strong Recent Performances from CJ McCollum and Nickeil Alexander-Walker Exploit the Defensive Gaps Left by the Bulls' Roster Changes?
| Chicago PPG Allowed | 128.8 (30th) [1] |
|---|---|
| Atlanta Scoring Rank | 5th (118.2 PPG) [1] |
| Atlanta Win Probability | 71.2% [2][3][1] |
Sources (6)
- 1Hawks vs Bulls Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - NBA Game on November 13, 2026covers.com
- 2Hawks vs Bulls Odds & Betting Lines For November 13, 2026 - NBAcovers.com
- 3Atlanta vs Chicago - Robinhood (Rothera) Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 4Hawks vs Bulls Prediction 11/13/2026 NBA Picks Today - Pick Dawgzpickdawgz.com
- 5ATL Hawks vs CHI Bulls: Total Points NBA Odds & Predictionskalshi.com
- 6Hawks vs Bulls Picks, Prop Bets For November 13, 2026 - NBA Predictionscovers.com
7. What Is the Market Consensus on the Hawks vs. Bulls Outcome According to Betting Lines and Quantitative Models?
| Atlanta Hawks Spread | -6.5 [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks Winner Probability | 70.3%–70.5% (as of November 13, 2026) [3] |
| Chicago Bulls Record | 1-9 [2] |
Sources (5)
- 1Hawks vs Bulls Odds & Betting Lines For November 13, 2026 - NBAcovers.com
- 2Hawks vs Bulls Prediction 11/13/2026 NBA Picks Today - Pick Dawgzpickdawgz.com
- 3Atlanta vs Chicago - Kalshi KXNBAGAME-26NOV13ATLCHI Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 4NBA Prediction Markets: Winner Prices, Lineups & Injuriesnba-lineups.com
- 5Hawks vs Bulls Picks, Prop Bets For November 13, 2026 - NBA Predictionscovers.com
8. How Do Atlanta's Recent Offensive Strengths Match Up Against Chicago's Defensive Weaknesses This Month?
| Atlanta Points Per Game | 118.2 points per game (5th) [1] |
|---|---|
| Chicago Opponent Points Per Game | 128.8 points per game (30th) [1] |
| Chicago Opponent 3-Point Shooting | 39.4% (29th) [1] |
9. How Should Traders Weigh the Bulls' Recent Head-to-Head Dominance (7-3) Against the Hawks' Current Form and Roster Changes?
| Bulls vs Hawks H2H (last 10) | Bulls 6-4 advantage [1][2][3][4][5] |
|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks current record | 7-5 (won 5 of last 7 games) [4][5] |
| Chicago Bulls current record | 1-9 (lost 8 straight) [4][5] |
Sources (7)
- 1atlanta vs chicago NBA last 10 gamesstatmuse.com
- 2Atlanta Vs Chicago Bulls This Season | StatMusestatmuse.com
- 3Atlanta Vs Chicago Game Details Last 5 Games | StatMusestatmuse.com
- 4Hawks vs Bulls Prediction 11/13/2026 NBA Picks Today - Pick Dawgzpickdawgz.com
- 5Hawks vs Bulls Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - NBA Game on November 13, 2026covers.com
- 6Hawks vs Bulls Odds & Betting Lines For November 13, 2026 - NBAcovers.com
- 7Atlanta vs Chicago - Kalshi KXNBAGAME-26NOV13ATLCHI Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
10. Which Team Is More Adversely Affected by Injuries for the November 13 Game: Atlanta or Chicago?
| Caleb Wilson Scoring Average | 19.3 points and 6.3 rebounds per game (Chicago Bulls) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson Injury | Fractured right hand, expected to miss four to six weeks [1][2][3] |
| Henri Veesaar Injury Status | Torn right ACL, out for the season (Atlanta Hawks) [4][5] |
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: November 16, 2026
- Closes: November 16, 2026
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXNBAGAME-26NOV12TORPHI-TOR: NO (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXNBAGAME-26NOV12TORPHI-PHI: YES (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXNBAGAME-26NOV11OKCPOR-POR: YES (Nov 12, 2026)
- KXNBAGAME-26NOV11OKCPOR-OKC: NO (Nov 12, 2026)
- KXNBAGAME-26NOV11ORLUTA-UTA: NO (Nov 12, 2026)