Hike 25bps
Market Model 6.0% 6.5%
Cut 25bps
Market Model 2.0% 1.8%
Topic tracker · Economics
Bank Of Canada policy interest rate decision
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Bank Of Canada policy interest rate decision markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 8, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Canada decision in Jun 2026? | June 10, 2026 | 0.8% vs 1.0% | Report → |
