CPI in October Kalshi
Above 0.2%
Market Model 65.0% 66.5%
Above 0.1%
Market Model 92.0% 92.8%
Topic tracker · Economics
CPI
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 6 so far (1 live, 5 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new CPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated November 4, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI in September | October 14, 2026 | 10.1% vs 20.0% | Report → |
| CPI in August | September 11, 2026 | 84.1% vs 86.0% | Report → |
| CPI in June | July 14, 2026 | 85.5% vs 89.0% | Report → |
| CPI in April | May 12, 2026 | 99.2% vs 97.0% | Report → |
| CPI in Feb 2026? | March 11, 2026 | 22.0% vs 11.5% | Report → |
