Topic tracker · Crypto

Ethereum price Above/below

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 10 so far (0 live, 10 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Ethereum price Above/below markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated July 8, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
ETH price on Jul 8, 2026 at 3am EDT? July 8, 2026 99.0% vs 99.0%
ETH price on Jun 5, 2026 at 12pm EDT? June 5, 2026 98.0% vs 0.0%
ETH price on Jun 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT? June 2, 2026 98.8% vs 0.0%
ETH price on Jun 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? June 2, 2026 95.0% vs 0.0%
Ethereum price on Apr 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT? April 10, 2026 99.4% vs 99.0%
Ethereum price on Mar 17, 2026 at 2pm EDT? March 17, 2026 98.0% vs 0.0%
Ethereum price on Feb 20, 2026 at 5pm EST? February 20, 2026 75.0% vs 53.0%
Ethereum price on Feb 13, 2026 at 12pm EST? February 13, 2026 87.5% vs 87.5%
Ethereum price on Feb 5, 2026 at 5pm EST? February 5, 2026 0.0% vs 5.0%
Ethereum price on Feb 6, 2026 at 5pm EST? February 6, 2026 1.5% vs 1.5%