Topic tracker · Sports
Men's College Basketball Men's Game
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 20 so far (0 live, 20 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Men's College Basketball Men's Game markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated March 24, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's at Duke | April 10, 2026 | 73.8% vs 72.0% | Report → |
| Iowa at Florida | April 5, 2026 | 82.0% vs 52.0% | Report → |
| Miami (FL) at Purdue | April 5, 2026 | 80.6% vs 76.0% | Report → |
| Utah St. at Villanova | April 3, 2026 | 44.0% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Akron at Texas Tech | April 3, 2026 | 74.2% vs 75.0% | Report → |
| Saint Louis at Georgia | April 2, 2026 | 66.0% vs 58.0% | Report → |
| Missouri at Miami (FL) | April 3, 2026 | 59.0% vs 56.0% | Report → |
| Texas at BYU | April 2, 2026 | 67.6% vs 57.0% | Report → |
| Texas A&M at Saint Mary's | April 2, 2026 | 76.0% vs 60.0% | Report → |
| VCU at North Carolina | April 2, 2026 | 55.4% vs 57.0% | Report → |
| Iowa at Clemson | April 3, 2026 | 30.0% vs 45.0% | Report → |
| UCF at UCLA | April 3, 2026 | 73.5% vs 68.0% | Report → |
| South Florida at Louisville | April 2, 2026 | 17.1% vs 63.0% | Report → |
| TCU at Ohio St. | April 2, 2026 | 64.6% vs 57.0% | Report → |
| First Four: Texas vs NC St. | March 31, 2026 | 79.0% vs 30.0% | Report → |
| Stephen F. Austin at Tulsa | April 1, 2026 | 76.0% vs 73.0% | Report → |
| Davidson at Oklahoma St. | April 1, 2026 | 34.9% vs 36.0% | Report → |
| Wyoming at Wichita St. | March 31, 2026 | 70.4% vs 76.0% | Report → |
| Stetson at Eastern Kentucky | March 5, 2026 | 98.0% vs 99.5% | Report → |
| St. John's at UConn | February 26, 2026 | 99.8% vs 99.5% | Report → |
