51° to 52°
Market Model 91.0% 76.2%
49° to 50°
Market Model 1.0% 10.8%
Topic tracker · Climate and Weather
Washington DC Daily Max Temp
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Washington DC Daily Max Temp markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated November 13, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Washington DC on May 15, 2026? | May 16, 2026 | 24.1% vs 26.0% | Report → |
