Episode summary

Stocks Inch Higher After Job Openings Data

Bloomberg Surveillance · · Guests: Sevasti Balafas, Kevin Hassett, Tom Lee, Tom Essaye

Stocks Inch Higher After Job Openings Data – Bloomberg Surveillance

Summary

The guest said she is optimistic heading into 2026 and is keeping client portfolios fully invested despite the market’s pause ahead of the Fed’s final decision of the year. She expects a rate cut and argued that lower rates, along with earnings, remain a key support for equities next year. Her only broad adjustment is to trim some tech exposure and rotate into sectors that lagged this year.

She also said her firm is leaning more into private markets, using both direct investments in private companies and fund-of-funds exposure. Beyond that, she expects the IPO market to keep recovering in 2026, helped by pent-up demand and the prospect of lower rates. In fixed income, she favors core bonds but sees even more appeal in private credit, floating-rate exposure and structured notes for income in a more volatile year.

On retirement planning, she pushed back on moving everything into fixed income. Instead, she said clients should first set aside 18 months of cash needs, then keep diversified exposure across public and private assets because portfolios may need to last 30 to 40 years.

Key takeaways

  • The guest is staying fully invested and expects a rate cut to support equities into next year.
  • She is reducing some tech exposure and rotating into sectors that underperformed this year.
  • She favors private markets through direct private-company investments and fund-of-funds exposure.
  • She thinks the IPO market can recover in 2026 because of pent-up demand and lower rates.
  • In fixed income, she prefers core bonds supplemented by private credit, floating-rate exposure and structured notes.
  • For retirees, she argues against moving everything to fixed income and instead prioritizes 18 months of cash needs and diversification.

Notable quotes

“We are staying fully invested. We're diversifying further out of tech, but we're optimistic going into next year”

— A speaker on Bloomberg Surveillance at 0:01

“I think we are going to see a rate cut. And I do think that is one of the pillars going into next year that will remain intact”

— A speaker on Bloomberg Surveillance at 0:12

“So we think of private equity exposure in both a beta play, having broad market private equity exposure through another manager”

— A speaker on Bloomberg Surveillance at 1:34

“I don't think the traditional 6040 or taking your age and subtracting something and just putting that whole amount into fixed income, I don't think that works”

— A speaker on Bloomberg Surveillance at 5:42

How the episode opens

We are optimistic. We are staying fully invested. We're diversifying further out of tech, but we're optimistic going into next year.

Obviously, there's a big decision coming out today, but I think we are going to see a rate cut. And I do think that is one of the pillars going into next year that will remain intact. Earnings and in lower interest rates will be there.

And so in terms of positioning, we're fully invested. Yes. Having cash aside for those that need it.

So having lots of conversations with clients about what's going on next year, are you potentially retiring? Are you buying something? You know, buying a home, Do you need cash set aside?

So we're very focused on that. But for the rest of the portfolio, we're staying invested, laying off off a little bit on the tech exposure that we had and going into some of those sectors that didn't perform as well this year, but staying fully invested. In addition, looking at private markets, that's another area of focus for us.

How do you try to get exposure to the private markets? Is it is it direct exposure? Is it through an ETF?

How do you view them? Couple of ways. But direct exposure.

So we're buying into companies directly. So investments in private companies directly. But then also through there's some fund of funds exposure that we have.

So we think of private equity exposure in both a beta play, having broad market private equity exposure through another manager. But at the same time, going directly for that alpha play and looking at some of the air names, not necessarily the infrastructure. We did that a while back.

Now it's that second layer. What else can we can we be invested in? So we're still believers in the air and how it plays out.

From the episode’s captions: roughly the first two minutes, lightly cleaned. Keep watching on YouTube →

Topics

  • fomc rate decision
  • job openings data
  • treasury yields
  • fed rate cuts outlook
  • bitcoin

Companies and tickers mentioned

  • GoalVest Advisory
  • Fundstrat
  • The Sevens Report

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Watch “Stocks Inch Higher After Job Openings Data” on YouTube

Summary, takeaways and quote selection by Octagon. Quotes are short excerpts; the full conversation is in the episode.

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