Elon Musk net worth on April 30 (Bloomberg)
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- SpaceX valuation reached $800 billion by December 2025.
- Discussions explored a $1.75-2 trillion SpaceX IPO valuation.
- SpaceX's revaluation provides strong positive impetus to net worth.
- Tesla robotaxi deployment delays negatively impact Musk's net worth.
- X secured a $32 billion valuation in its latest funding round.
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Above $640 billion
📈 April 21, 2026: 41.0pp spike
Price increased from 57.0% to 98.0%
📈 April 15, 2026: 17.0pp spike
Price increased from 43.0% to 60.0%
Outcome: Above $620 billion
📈 April 20, 2026: 26.0pp spike
Price increased from 72.0% to 98.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk's net worth is reported as above $650 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for April 30, 2026; otherwise, it resolves to No. The market opened on March 31, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT, and will close and expire early if the economic data is released, or by April 30, 2026, 5:25 PM EDT at the latest. Projected payout occurs 30 minutes after closing.
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. What was SpaceX's valuation and Starlink's ARR multiple prior to Q1 2026?
| SpaceX Implied Valuation | $800 billion (prior to Q1 2026) [1], [2], [3] |
|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO Plans | Confirmed for 2026 [2], [3] |
| Starlink ARR Multiple (Private Round) | Not specified for this funding round [1], [2], [3], [4], [5] |
Sources (9)
- 1SpaceX insider share sale sets $800 billion valuation amid possible IPO, letter shows | Reutersreuters.com
- 2SpaceX Sets $800 Billion Valuation, Confirms 2026 IPO Plans - Bloombergbloomberg.com
- 3SpaceX sets $800 billion valuation, confirms 2026 IPO plansphys.org
- 4SpaceX Stock Price, Funding, Valuation, Revenue & Financial Statementscbinsights.com
- 5Million-dollar valuations explode as SpaceX eyes $800 billion funding round, threatening to become the world's most valuable private company overnightred94.net
- 6How the math works on a $1.75 trillion SpaceX valuation | Reutersreuters.com
- 7$11.4 Billion Revenue Vs. 1.75 Trillion Valuation: Can Starlink Support SpaceX IPO?tradingkey.com
- 8SpaceX IPO Draws $2 Trillion Valuation Interest On Starlink And Data Center Ambitionsfinance.yahoo.com
- 9SpaceX IPO Could Hit $2 Trillion as Starlink Deal Boosts Growth - MarketWisemarketwise.com
6. Did Tesla Launch Level 4/5 Robotaxis in 5 Cities by Q4 2025?
| Nevada DMV Approval | All-Clear" for robotaxi by November 2025 [1] |
|---|---|
| San Francisco Bay Area Service | Service brought to area by July 2025 [2] |
| Robotaxi Launch Pushback | Reported in April 2026 for five US cities [3] |
Sources (8)
- 1Tesla's Robotaxi Gets DMV All-Clear in Nevada - Business Insiderbusinessinsider.com
- 2Tesla Brings Robotaxi Service to San Francisco Bay Areateslanorth.com
- 3Tesla seems to say Robotaxi launch will be pushed back in 5 US cities | Electrekelectrek.co
- 4Tesla expands driverless robotaxi services from Austin to 2 new Texas citiesyahoo.com
- 5Tesla Announces Five New Markets Robotaxi Will Expand To Next - Drive Tesladriveteslacanada.ca
- 6Tesla 'Robotaxi' Fleet Jumps to Over 1,000 Registered Vehicles - Business Insiderbusinessinsider.com
- 7Tesla's California robotaxi service is still a long way off | Automotive Worldautomotiveworld.com
- 8Tesla's Q4 2025 Earnings Call: Margins Rebound, Energy Soars, and the Great Pivot to Robots and AI – ilovetesla.comilovetesla.com
7. How Many TSLA Shares Did Elon Musk Pledge for Loans?
| Pledged TSLA Shares | 278,393,314 shares (as of April 2023 proxy statement) [1] |
|---|---|
| Collateral Maintenance Ratio | No less than four to one (4:1) of the total principal loan amount [2] |
| Source Proxy Statement Date | April 28, 2023 [3] |
8. What Was X's Valuation in its Latest Funding Round?
| New Equity Financing | Close to $1 billion (March 2025) [1] |
|---|---|
| Company Valuation | $32 billion (March 2025) [1] |
| Performance Ratchets for Musk's Equity | Not detailed in available information [1] |
9. What is SpaceX's 409A Valuation After Starship Full Launch?
| Starship Full Orbital Launch & Recovery Status | Has not yet occurred [1] |
|---|---|
| SpaceX Overall Valuation | Exceeds $350 billion [2] |
| 409A Valuation Purpose | Internal assessment for stock option grants [3] |
Sources (4)
- 1SpaceX catches Super Heavy booster on Starship Flight 7 test but loses upper stage (video, photos) | Spacespace.com
- 2SpaceX Stock Options: $350B+ Valuation, 4-Year Vestzerogtalent.com
- 3SpaceX’s New 409A and IPO Timing Explained | Augustus Wealthaugustuswealth.com
- 4SpaceX IPO: Investment Opportunities & Pre-IPO Valuations - Forgeforgeglobal.com
11. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 5 markets in this series
Outcomes: 2 resolved YES, 3 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXMUSKNW-26MAR31-T700: NO (Mar 31, 2026)
- KXMUSKNW-26MAR31-T680: NO (Mar 31, 2026)
- KXMUSKNW-26MAR31-T660: NO (Mar 31, 2026)
- KXMUSKNW-26MAR31-T640: YES (Mar 31, 2026)
- KXMUSKNW-26MAR31-T620: YES (Mar 31, 2026)