How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/6-9/12)
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- At least seven presidential actions appear certain, with seven already taken.
- Further actions beyond seven appear unlikely due to empty September 9-10, 2026 schedules.
- Reaching ten actions or more faces significant challenge without scheduled activity.
Current Context
Sources (8)
- 1Presidents of the United States - GovTrack.usgovtrack.us
- 2President Donald Trump - GovTrack.usgovtrack.us
- 3Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Responds to Canada’s Retaliation – The White Housewhitehouse.gov
- 4Trump honors 9/11 first responders — and plugs his political priorities | CNN Politicscnn.com
- 5Committee Schedule for the Week of September 7 - 13, 2026 | Congress.gov | Library of Congresscongress.gov
- 6Committee Schedule for 09/12/2026 | Congress.gov | Library of Congresscongress.gov
- 7Congressional Recordcongress.gov
- 8Daily Digestcongress.gov
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: At least 15
📉 September 09, 2026: 25.0pp drop
Price decreased from 39.0% to 14.0%
Outcome: At least 8
📈 September 08, 2026: 89.0pp spike
Price increased from 9.0% to 98.0%
Sources (4)
- 1Adjusting Certain Delegations Under the Defense Production Act – The White Housewhitehouse.gov
- 2President of the United States (via Public) / Adjusting Certain Delegations Under the Defense Production Actpubt.io
- 3President of the United States (via Public) / Accelerating Access To Veterans’ Benefits And Employment Opportunitiespubt.io
- 4President of the United States (via Public) / Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Responds to Canada’s Retaliationpubt.io
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
For the "At least 10" contract, a YES resolution occurs if Donald Trump takes 10 or more presidential actions between September 6th and September 12th. A NO resolution will occur if he takes fewer than 10 actions during this period. The contract rules, as presented, do not explicitly define "presidential actions" or specify the official source for their count; a maximum payout date of September 13, 2026, is noted.
Market Discussion
President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled "Adjusting Certain Delegations Under the Defense Production Act" on September 8, 2026 [1]. For the week of September 6-12, 2026, Trump's focus appears to be on midterm election campaigning and 9/11 commemorations [2], though the administration is also poised to reduce tariffs on Canadian automobiles [3]. There are no authoritative sources that provide a scheduled, quantifiable count of presidential actions for any given week [4].
Sources (4)
- 1President of the United States (via Public) / Adjusting Certain Delegations Under the Defense Production Actpubt.io
- 2The Trump show: Republicans put president centre stage in unprecdented US midterms convention | Euronewseuronews.com
- 3Trump Threatens Iran ‘Economic D-Day’; Treasury Bond Fix JPMorgan Warning | Bloomberg Daybreak:...youtube.com
- 4H.Res.939 - Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the...congress.gov
5. Trust Index
Largest single print on KXTRUMPACT-26SEP06-T8 carried 74% of its $3,378 tape (print is 4d old)
Integrity risk· Large trades
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
6. What is President Trump's historical average number of weekly presidential actions during his second term (2025-2026)?
| Executive orders issued (2nd term) | 277-279 [1] |
|---|---|
| Average monthly executive orders (2nd term) | 14.6 [1][2][3] |
| Prediction market probability for >=4 actions (Sept 6-12, 2026) | >99% [4][5] |
Sources (5)
- 1Donald Trump's executive orders and actions, 2025-2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
- 2EO Watch — Executive Order Tracker | Capitol Tracecapitoltrace.com
- 3Executive Orders | The American Presidency Projectpresidency.ucsb.edu
- 4How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/6-9/12) - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 5How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/6-9/12) - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
7. How might the pending House impeachment resolution (H.Res. 1486) influence President Trump's use of executive power during the week of September 6-12, 2026?
| H.Res. 1486 Introduction Date | August 24, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5][6] |
|---|---|
| H.Res. 1486 Status | Referred to House Judiciary Committee [1][2][3][4][5][6] |
| Executive Order on Interior Secretary's Authority | Signed September 8, 2026 [7][8] |
Sources (11)
- 1H.Res.1486 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes and misdemeanors. | Congress.gov | Library of Congresscongress.gov
- 2H. RES. 1486congress.gov
- 3https://www.congress.gov/119/bills/hres1486/BILLS-119hres1486ih.htmcongress.gov
- 4All Info - H.Res.1486 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes and misdemeanors. | Congress.gov | Library of Congresscongress.gov
- 5Actions - H.Res.1486 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes and misdemeanors. | Congress.gov | Library of Congresscongress.gov
- 6H.Res.1486 - Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the...congress.gov
- 7President of the United States (via Public) / Adjusting Certain Delegations Under the Defense Production Actpubt.io
- 8Trump Broadens Interior’s Role in National Energy Emergenciescmsapi.theepochtimes.com
- 9Executive Order—Promoting Fair Competition In Livestock Markets And Expanding Market Access for American Meat Producers | The American Presidency Projectpresidency.ucsb.edu
- 10Trump Signs Executive Orders on Beef Labeling, Packer Competition; Ag Groups React | American Ag Networkamericanagnetwork.com
- 11Executive Order—Supporting America's Ranchers | The American Presidency Projectpresidency.ucsb.edu
8. How does President Trump's rate of issuing executive actions in 2026 compare to that of President Biden during a similar point in his term?
| Trump's EO rate (second term) | 14.6 per month [1] |
|---|---|
| Biden's EO rate (2021-2025 term) | 3.4 per month [1] |
| Trump's total EOs (second term as of Sept 2026) | 277 [1] |
9. Which official government sources publish presidential actions, and what is the typical lag time between signing and public disclosure?
| Official publication delay | at least one day and often several days [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Predicted presidential actions (Sept 6-12, 2026) | at least 3 or at least 4 [4][5] |
| Implied probability of predicted actions | 99% [4][5] |
Sources (7)
- 1Presidential Documents - Federal Registerfederalregister.gov
- 2Executive Orders: An Introduction - Congress.govcongress.gov
- 3Executive Orders - Federal Registerfederalregister.gov
- 4How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/6-9/12) - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 5How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/6-9/12) - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 6Daily Compilation of Presidential Documents | National Archivesarchives.gov
- 7Compilation of Presidential Documents | GovInfogovinfo.gov
10. Aside from the five proclamations on September 8, what do White House schedules and press briefings for the rest of the week indicate about further planned actions?
| Planned Executive Actions (Sep 9-10, 2026) | None [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Planned Policy Signing Ceremonies (Sep 9-10, 2026) | None [1][2][3] |
| Primary Focus of Schedule (Sep 9-10, 2026) | Political events, Executive Time, and political travel [1][2][3] |
Sources (3)
- 1DAILY GUIDANCE AND PRESS SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 9 AND THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2026 — White House Press Poolbnonews.com
- 2WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY WHITE HOUSE SCHEDULE - President Trump travels to Dallas for the RNC Midterm Convention — TradingView Newstradingview.com
- 3Daily Schedule — White House Press Poolbnonews.com
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: September 13, 2026
- Expiration: December 12, 2026
- Closes: September 13, 2026
Sources (14)
- 1Pool Reports of September 6, 2026 | The American Presidency Projectpresidency.ucsb.edu
- 2Pool Reports of September 7, 2026 | The American Presidency Projectpresidency.ucsb.edu
- 3What Trump Did Today: September 2026whattrumpdid.today
- 4Trump Heads Back To White House After Labor Day Weekend At Bedminster – Official Trump Trackerofficialtrumptracker.com
- 5WATCH: Trump remembers 9/11 victims and heroes at Steel Across America anniversary event | PBS Newspbs.org
- 6Presidential Actions - The White Housewhitehouse.gov
- 7September 2026 - President's Public Schedule | Factba.se - Roll Callrollcall.com
- 82026 Donald J. Trump Executive Orders - Federal Registerfederalregister.gov
- 9Presidential Approval Ratings — Donald Trump - Gallup Newsnews.gallup.com
- 10Trump Approval Rating: Latest Polls | Silver Bulletinnatesilver.net
- 11H. RES. 1486congress.gov
- 12https://www.congress.gov/119/bills/hres1486/BILLS-119hres1486ih.htmcongress.gov
- 13President Donald Trump - GovTrack.usgovtrack.us
- 14Crec 2026 02 24 pt1 pgs645 2.htmcongress.gov
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 7 resolved YES, 13 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXTRUMPACT-26AUG30-T9: NO (Sep 06, 2026)
- KXTRUMPACT-26AUG30-T8: NO (Sep 06, 2026)
- KXTRUMPACT-26AUG30-T7: NO (Sep 06, 2026)
- KXTRUMPACT-26AUG30-T6: NO (Sep 06, 2026)
- KXTRUMPACT-26AUG30-T5: NO (Sep 06, 2026)