LA-01 Democratic nominee? Kalshi
Lauren Jewett
Market Model 16.0% 98.9%
Jim Long
Market Model 0.3% 1.1%
Topic tracker · Elections
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Louisiana Primary Winners markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated August 31, 2026