Above 230K
Market Model 4.0% 2.7%
Above 193K
Market Model 11.0% 85.0%
Topic tracker · Elections
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Midterm Voter Turnout markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated October 11, 2026