41° to 42°
Market Model 15.0% 9.3%
39° to 40°
Market Model 73.0% 81.8%
Topic tracker · Climate and Weather
Minneapolis Daily High Temperature
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Minneapolis Daily High Temperature markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated November 13, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Minneapolis on May 13, 2026? | May 14, 2026 | 2.5% vs 3.0% | Report → |
