Episode summary

Secrets From the Greatest Fund Manager of All Time | TCAF 252

Ask The Compound · · 1 hr 15 min · Hosts: Josh Brown, Michael Batnick · Guests: Ron Baron, Michael Baron

Secrets From the Greatest Fund Manager of All Time | TCAF 252 – Ask The Compound

Summary

Ron Baron said his firm’s edge comes from staying focused on businesses and people rather than market noise, and from owning companies for years instead of trading around headlines. He traced Baron Capital’s growth from $10 million in 1982 to about $70 billion today, arguing that the compounding came from a long holding period, low turnover, and repeated backing of exceptional founders.

A big part of the conversation centered on Tesla and SpaceX. Ron and Michael Baron said they spent years studying Elon Musk before making meaningful investments, and that the thesis was never just about cars or rockets. They described Tesla as a mission-driven business and SpaceX as a company with a path to enormous value, with Ron saying it could ultimately become a $20 trillion to $40 trillion company. They also emphasized that they bought into SpaceX across 27 transactions and continued adding through volatility.

The broader investing message was that most stocks are mediocre, so the real challenge is identifying the rare businesses with durable advantages and managers worth enduring through drawdowns. Michael Baron said the firm is not trying to time headlines, but to understand whether a competitive advantage is still intact. They also discussed AI-related skepticism, saying the market is too quick to assume software and data businesses like FactSet and MSCI are losing relevance.

Key takeaways

  • Ron Baron said Baron Capital grew from $10 million in 1982 to about $70 billion by buying and holding exceptional businesses for decades.
  • Michael Baron said the firm spent about four years doing diligence on Elon Musk and Tesla before building conviction.
  • Ron Baron said SpaceX could become a $20 trillion to $40 trillion company, with much of the upside still ahead.
  • Michael Baron said the firm does not try to time stock prices and instead watches for competitive advantage deterioration.
  • Ron Baron argued that AI fears are overblown for proprietary data businesses like MSCI and FactSet.
  • The Barons said their portfolios balance concentrated growth bets with steadier businesses so clients can endure down cycles.

Notable quotes

“we do research, but some of it a lot of it comes from my background uh growing up”

— A speaker on Ask The Compound at 41:02

“the reason we would sell a position isn't on timing”

— A speaker on Ask The Compound at 59:01

“We don't consider ourselves betting. We consider ourselves investing on the basis of knowledge, not bets”

— A speaker on Ask The Compound at 16:51

How the episode opens

So, I know we just met, but I have a slight bone to pick. Go ahead. — I want to read your Q2 letter. — I want to write it. — It's July 22nd, 23rd. — I know I'm so late. — You know, it's tough writing it, but once you get it written, you say, "Man, I really like how it sounds, you know, but I go over and over and over it." Uh, Baron AI, you have no excuse.

I know, Michael. Am I right? — I'm I'm behind as well in letters, so it's a sensitive topic at the moment. — All right. not the first person to say this, — But there's so much you have to do — All the time to write letters or to be in a program and prepare for it.

And your letter was it's not one page. — No, three. — Yeah. No, it's more than that — For — The Ron letter. — Yeah, it was the letter from Ron. — Substantial. It's a lot of work. — Substantial. — I find that it's very hard to write about markets given the pace of change. You write something and something happens the next day.

Whoops. And you either say this changes what I just wrote or I wish I had incorporated this new piece of information. Find that things are speeding up. Do you — Really fast? Um I don't really write very much about the markets. Write really mostly about investing and about businesses and about people

Principles. — Yeah. — About what we do, you know, the mission that we follow. We have — That's my idea. Uh, everyone else is writing about you watch television, the market's going to do this, the stock's going to do that.

From the episode’s captions: roughly the first two minutes, lightly cleaned. Keep watching on YouTube →

Topics

  • long-term investing
  • elon musk
  • tesla and spacex
  • artificial intelligence
  • holding through volatility

Companies and tickers mentioned

  • TSLA
  • Tesla
  • SpaceX
  • Baron Capital
  • Nuveen
  • Elon Musk

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Summary, takeaways and quote selection by Octagon. Quotes are short excerpts; the full conversation is in the episode.

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