Episode summary
These Are the Stocks to Buy In 2026 | TCAF 225
Summary
JC Parets argues that the market is still in a bull phase and that investors should pay more attention to what price action is confirming than to what economists, journalists, or consensus opinions are saying. He frames the episode around Buffett’s warning from the Long-Term Capital Management blowup: even very smart people can take needless risk and end up ruined. From there, JC says the practical lesson is to follow a plan, control emotions, and fade the groups that most often get consensus calls wrong.
He identifies four major groups to fade when they line up at extremes: sell-side analysts, asset managers, journalists, and economists. He says analysts are prone to career risk and conflicts, asset managers are often on the wrong side of consensus positioning, journalists are usually late to the move, and economists are too focused on backward-looking data instead of current prices. He also argues that consumer discretionary strength, new highs in industrials and transports, and broad participation across the New York Stock Exchange all support the bull case.
The more tactical part of the episode focuses on charts and positioning. JC says MicroStrategy’s relative weakness versus Bitcoin may have marked a turning point after ETF options began trading, and he says he bought MicroStrategy on a false breakdown with a tight time stop. He also points to international equities, silver, and gold as areas where the real money has already been made, while warning that the same bubble narrative has appeared repeatedly before.
Key takeaways
- JC Parets says the best market lesson from Buffett and LTCM is that intelligence does not prevent blowups if leverage and arrogance get too high.
- JC Parets says the four fade groups are sell-side analysts, asset managers, journalists, and economists, especially when they all agree.
- JC Parets says consumer discretionary, industrials, transports, and the New York Stock Exchange all support the case for an ongoing bull market.
- JC Parets says he bought MicroStrategy after a false breakdown and is using a tight time stop if the trade does not work quickly.
- JC Parets says international stocks, silver, and gold were already the real winners in 2025, even if many investors still feel late.
Notable quotes
“you don't have to be smarter than everybody else. You just have to be slightly less stupid”
“there are four basic fade groups. You have sellside analysts, right? So they come with their own conflicts of interest”
“Journalists are not traders. In a lot of cases, they can't afford to be”
“the best time to buy stocks is when it's making new highs. We have the we have the data. We have the math”
How the episode opens
You were so early to the commodity rally, — Dude. I said gold 5,000. People thought I wasing crazy. — No, but even like last summer, commodities had been rallying, but not like this and they just they just exploded uh starting in the first of the year. It was like a brand new bull market just started for a lot of them.
And here's the interesting part about commodities is that historically these bull markets don't just last a few quarters or a few years. They last 10, 20. — Yeah. — So, if you're if you're betting this is over, then you're betting that this is the shortest commodity super cycle ever. Who's your boy that did the chart yesterday? Uh, is it Alfonso that did the gold to stock chart and it looks like it might be breaking out?
Oh, yeah. — You know what I'm talking about? Of course. It's a great chart. — Gold Dow. I think that was Rick. Slick Rick. — Okay. — We got this uh this Lebanese Mexican dude. — Really? — Slick Rick. He's the man. — He does commodities only or
No, he just does everything, dude. He's like overlaying tech with like the Israeli shekele. Like this guy's — He's a Lebanese Mexican. Yeah, they got those. — Yeah. Lebanese Mexicans. Yeah. — You got a lot of talented people on your roster.
Thank you. I agree. — How's uh how's Kenny doing? — Dude, Kenny is a legend. — I love Kenny. He showed up. He showed up on the morning show today with no shirt on. — Right. Just like this like 1970s disco shirt and his chest hair all sticking out.
He had Oh, like a jacket with no shirt under.
From the episode’s captions: roughly the first two minutes, lightly cleaned. Keep watching on YouTube →
Topics
- stocks to buy in 2026
- fading groups
- sector breakout
- prediction markets
- buffett lesson
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Summary, takeaways and quote selection by Octagon. Quotes are short excerpts; the full conversation is in the episode.
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