WTI Oil 15 min · $87.46 target
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- WTI target $87.46 reflects market balance between demand cuts and geopolitical risk.
- WTI target $87.46 faces bearish pressure from a 4.7M bbl crude inventory build.
- FXStreet shows WTI target $87.46 near short-term resistance in high-$80s.
Current Context
Sources (12)
- 1November 13, 2026: WTI Oil 15 min · 4:45–5:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 2Oil price today: WTI crude live in ET · Swiftedgeswiftedge.uk
- 3@CL.2: WTI Crude (Jan'27) - Stock Price, Quote and News - CNBCcnbc.com
- 4Oil prices post second straight weekly drop on signs of growing supply surpluscnbc.com
- 5WTI Oil trims gains and eases below $87 amid bets of a steeper Fed tightening cycletmgm.com
- 6Crude Dips as Status Quo Signals Offset Regional Supply Risks; Gas Inches Down ahead of Storage Reportaegis-hedging.com
- 7WTI Forecast: Bears hold control below key Fibo. and 200-hour SMAfxstreet.com
- 8Crude Oil Sits on a Make or Break Level as Iran Talks Stall: Will Buyers Defend 85?barchart.com
- 9Crude Prices Supported by Concerns US-Iran War Will Lingerfinance.yahoo.com
- 10Commoditiespolymarket.com
- 11Commodities | Prediction Markets | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 1215 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to YES if the WTI oil price is above $87.46 at 6:45 PM ET on November 13, 2026. Conversely, it resolves to NO if the WTI oil price is $87.46 or below at that time. No special settlement conditions are specified in the provided content.
Market Discussion
The prediction market for WTI Oil targeting $87.46 between 4:45–5:00 AM EST on Nov 13, 2026, was priced at 0.1¢ for 'at or above $87.46' [1]. WTI spot on Nov 13, 2026, traded in a range of $87.77–$89.66 and closed at $88.96 [2], placing the $87.46 target well below the day's low and making the 'above $87.46' outcome near-certain for most of the day [1][2]. Trader discussions on Nov 13, 2026, reflected specific trade plans, warnings about Friday risk, and speculation regarding potential geopolitical developments from Iran over the weekend [3].
4. Trust Index
Order book is critically thin.
Primary risk· Trade quality
Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
5. What impact could the Nov. 13 EIA natural gas report and late-session algorithmic trading have on WTI price volatility around the $87.46 strike price?
| EIA Report Price Impact | Largely decays by 6:30-6:45 PM EST resolution window [1] |
|---|---|
| Late-Session WTI Trading | Dominated by algorithmic and market-making flow with thin order books [2][3] |
| WTI Strike Price Outcome | Near coin flip around $87.46 on Nov 13, 2026 [2][1] |
Sources (4)
6. How does the latest EIA report of a 4.7 million barrel crude inventory build confirm the near-term bearish pressure on WTI prices?
| Largest 2026 EIA Build | 17.4M barrels (week ended Aug 7, 2026) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Historical WTI Drop (Nov 2023) | 4.5% drop after 8.7M barrel build [3][4] |
| Historical WTI Drop (Sept 2015) | 3% slip after 4.7M barrel build [5] |
Sources (8)
- 1U.S. crude inventories rise by most in 3.5 years as exports slump | Reutersreuters.com
- 2EIA Crude Oil Inventory Build July 31, 2026 - Weekly Analysiskingdomexploration.com
- 3US crude inventories rise as exports fall, the EIA saysreuters.com
- 4US crude stockpiles jump, distillates draw down to 18-mth low - EIA | Reutersreuters.com
- 5US Crude Oil Inventories, September 2 - Business Insiderbusinessinsider.com
- 6Brent Flips to Backwardation at $84.77 as EIA Data Shows...oilauthority.com
- 715 min Commodities Combos | Kalshikalshi.com
- 8Commodities Prediction Markets & Event Contracts - Public.compublic.com
7. How do the bearish fundamentals from IEA demand cuts compare against the bullish geopolitical risk premium from recent Middle East conflicts?
| IEA 2026 Demand Forecast Cut | 510 kb/d [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| 2026 Global Supply Fall (Hormuz) | 4.3 mb/d [1] |
| Nov 13, 2026 WTI Price Prediction | $87.46–87.68 [4][5][6] |
Sources (6)
- 1Oil Market Report - August 2026oilmonster.com
- 2IEA downgrades global oil demand forecast, expects 1.6 mln bpd decline in 2026 - Business & Economy - TASStass.com
- 3IEA Cuts Global Oil Demand Forecast by 510,000 Barrels per Day ABC.AZabc.az
- 4Commodities Prediction Markets & Event Contracts - Public.compublic.com
- 515 min Commodities Combos | Kalshikalshi.com
- 6Brent crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Prediction Market Results - Public.compublic.com
8. What does the 19.6% decline in WTI futures' open interest, combined with Polymarket odds, reveal about trader conviction for the Nov. 13 session?
| WTI futures open-interest decline | 19.6% (Nov. 13, 2026, unconfirmed) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Kalshi WTI 15-min target & odds | $87.68 with 59% vs 42% odds (Nov. 13, 2026) [1] |
| Public.com WTI 15-min volume | ~$107,706 (Nov. 13, 2026, 5 PM EST) [2] |
9. How do short-term technical indicators from FXStreet signaling resistance at $88.04 contrast with Barchart's long-term support level near the $85 yearly VWAP?
| FXStreet Short-term Resistance | $88.18, $88.45-$88.50 [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Barchart Long-term Support | near $85 (yearly VWAP, prior 52-week high) [3][4] |
| WTI Current Trading Range | $87.4-$87.7 (Nov 13, 2026) [5][6][7][8] |
Sources (9)
- 1WTI steadies near $86.00 as Iran sanctions threat offsets US inventory buildfxstreet.com
- 2WTI US Oil Price Forecast: Rises to near $88.50 as Kuwait under attack, uptrend remains intactfxstreet.com
- 3Crude Oil WTI Mini Oct '26 Futures Price - Barchart.combarchart.com
- 4Crude Oil WTI F Dec '26 Futures Price - Barchart.combarchart.com
- 515 min Commodities Combos | Kalshikalshi.com
- 6Commodities Prediction Markets & Event Contracts - Public.compublic.com
- 7WTI Oil 15 min · $90.09 target - Result: Yes | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 8Brent crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? Prediction Market Results - Public.compublic.com
- 9Oil Forecast, News and Analysis (WTI)fxstreet.com
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: November 13, 2026
- Expiration: November 20, 2026
- Closes: November 13, 2026
Sources (11)
- 1Oil prices set for second weekly decline as Trump to stay with Iran blockade | livelive.euronext.com
- 2Crude Prices Supported by Concerns US-Iran War Will Lingerfinance.yahoo.com
- 3World oil market is returning to surplus as Gulf exports recover, IEA says By Reutersinvesting.com
- 4Oil market positioning risks: surplus, shipping attacks, and spillover into rates and equities By Investing.cominvesting.com
- 5Why are Oil prices pulling back if US-Iran peace talks seem dead?fxstreet.com
- 6Oil price today: WTI crude live in ET · Swiftedgeswiftedge.uk
- 7Energy Calendar | Oil Price Liveoilpricelive.com
- 8WTI Intelligence: Market Regime, MarlinFx Score, 15 Factorsmarlinfx.com
- 9Houston Energy Market Calendar | Houston Energy Workshoustonenergyworks.com
- 10November 13, 2026: WTI Oil 15 min · 4:45–5:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 11WTI Forecast: Bears hold control below key Fibo. and 200-hour SMAfxstreet.com
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXWTI15M-26NOV131830-30: NO (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXWTI15M-26NOV131815-15: YES (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXWTI15M-26NOV131800-00: NO (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXWTI15M-26NOV131745-45: YES (Nov 13, 2026)
- KXWTI15M-26NOV131730-30: NO (Nov 13, 2026)