Short Answer

WTI Oil hitting the $87.54 target within the 7:00PM-7:15PM EST window is a toss-up, priced at 50% by the market, with the model projecting 38.2%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Since last update (about an hour ago): Model probability for $87.54 fell 37.2pp, flipping the edge to negative, a model-led shift.
  • Market sentiment for the $87.54 target also declined 7.0pp; confidence remained unchanged.
  • WTI may reach $87.54, supported by projected bounce from the $86.34 demand zone.
  • Bearish inventory increases from EIA and API reports contradict upside potential.
  • IEA's global oil surplus forecast for Q4 2026 also prompted bearish market sentiment.

Current Context

WTI's 7:00–7:15 PM EST prediction market likely resolves 'Yes'. Robinhood's 15-minute WTI prediction markets, which resolve on Pyth-verified prices, targeted $87.54 for the 7:00–7:15 PM EST window on Nov 13, 2026. Earlier windows included an $87.43 target (6:45–7:00 PM EST, 73¢) and an $87.51 target (3:15–3:30 PM EST, 32¢) [1][2]. WTI spot prices on Nov 13 ranged $87.77–$89.66 and closed at $88.96, opening at $88.88, according to Twelve Data [3]. This places WTI well above the $87.54 target by 7:15 PM EST, indicating a probable 'Yes' resolution for the 15-minute market [3].
Bearish inventory data and an IEA surplus forecast weighed on WTI. EIA reported on Nov 12 that U.S. crude inventories rose by 4.7 million barrels to 414.4 million in the week ended Nov 6, against an expected 1.1 million barrel draw. This ended five consecutive weekly draws [4][5][6]. API had earlier indicated a larger 9.0 million barrel build [5]. The IEA's Nov 13 monthly report projected a 1.7 million bpd global oil surplus for Q4 2026, marking the first surplus since the Iran conflict began, reversing a prior Q4 deficit forecast [5]. President Trump stated on Truth Social Nov 13 that a deal with Iran was unnecessary, signaling continued blockade on Iranian oil and sanctions [4]. WTI was poised for a 2.5% weekly decline after a 13% drop the previous week, with Brent falling 2.4% after a 16% plunge [4].
Technicals show support at $88.04, with upcoming OPEC+ meeting as key. TradingNews on Nov 13 identified WTI technical support levels at $88.04 (early Friday low), $87.03, and $85, with $90 as initial resistance and $97 as a primary upside target (8.3% gain from $89.54). A close below $87 would activate a bearish scenario targeting $85 [5]. A TradingView analysis on Nov 13 at 1:35 PM ET projected a liquidity grab into the $86.34 demand zone followed by a bounce, with resistance near $88.98 and long-term targets above $91.00 if support holds [7]. Prediction market consensus on Nov 13 showed Robinhood pricing WTI closing in $88.00–$88.99 at 94% [8]. PROBLY's close-above ladder indicated 77% for above $87, 58% for above $88, and 38% for above $89 [9]. Kalshi's Nov 13 daily range market favored $86.00–$86.99 (19%) and $85.00–$85.99 (16%) [10]. Key upcoming catalysts include the OPEC+ ministerial meeting on Nov 29, 2026, to determine 2027 output; an extension of ~2 million bpd cuts could target WTI at $94.70, while restoring output might push WTI towards $80 [11][12][6][13]. Other catalysts include the December WTI contract expiry on Nov 20 and the next EIA STEO on Dec 8, 2026 [6][13]. The EIA's Nov 10 STEO anticipated Brent near $100/b for the rest of 2026, then a drop to a $77/b average in Q4 2027 as inventories rebuild [13]. U.S. crude inventories reached 410 million barrels at end-October, the lowest end-of-October level since 2014, and U.S. production is forecast to hit a record 14.3 million bpd in 2027 [13].
Sources (13)
  1. 1November 13, 2026: WTI Oil 15 min · 3:15–3:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2November 13, 2026: WTI Oil 15 min · 6:45–7:00 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollartwelvedata.com
  4. 4Oil prices set for second weekly decline as Trump to stay with Iran blockade | livelive.euronext.com
  5. 5Oil Price Forecast — WTI ($89.54) $97 and Brent ($96.99) $104.25 Upside Targets on Saudi Supply Risktradingnews.com
  6. 6Oil Price Forecast — WTI ($86.88) $94 & Brent ($91) $100 Upside Targets on Stalled Iran Talkstradingnews.com
  7. 7WTI Crude Oil 15m Analysis: Projecting a Pullback and Rally for TVC:USOIL by iminigham11 — TradingViewtradingview.com
  8. 8Economics Energy Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  9. 9WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 13? | PROBLY Prediction Marketprobly.com
  10. 10Oil Price (WTI) tomorrow? Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
  11. 11Oil's week brings three monthly outlooks, starting with the EIA on Tuesday · WiseWallet Insightswisewallet.eu
  12. 12Oil Weekly Outlook: 9th–13th November 2026 | Ares Trading Labarestradinglab.com
  13. 13Short-Term Energy Outlook - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)eia.gov

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This Kalshi market predicts whether the WTI Oil price will be greater than $87.54 at 7:15 PM ET on November 13. A "YES" resolution occurs if the WTI Oil price at that exact time exceeds $87.54. Conversely, a "NO" resolution occurs if the price is $87.54 or less. The market resolves precisely at 7:15 PM ET on November 13.

Market Discussion

The "WTI Oil 15 min · $87.54 target" is a high-volume prediction market contract, generating over $240 million in the last 30 days, which resolves "Yes" if the WTI crude price meets or exceeds the target at the close of a 15-minute window [1]. While market makers quickly reprice off real-time indexes, making repeatable human entry difficult [2], some analysis suggests potential edge for "thesis-informed" limit order makers or in specific price bands [3]. As of November 14, 2026, WTI trades around $87.55–87.61, with geopolitical events and technical patterns impacting its short-term direction, and traders often view these contracts as bets on geopolitical risk given that a single one-minute wick to a strike can resolve them "Yes" [4].

Sources (4)
  1. 1November 5, 2026: WTI Oil 15 min · 2:15–2:30 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2Can You Actually Beat A 15-Minute Market? | OddsShopperoddsshopper.com
  3. 3WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?: Live Odds (50% Chance) | ContractTaxcontracttax.com
  4. 4WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance & Pivot Today (Nov 14, 2026)borearis.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 78 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score85Strong
Trade quality20% of score52Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $1,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score78Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
86Strong

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
65Tradeable

Fills fine at modest size

1 contract

Target Price: $87.5465
Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

1 contract

Target Price: $87.54—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
100Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $87.54100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Trade quality
52Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Outcome quality 65 (notional-weighted)

$100 order: 1.7c slippage (~3% of a 50c contract)

$1,000 order: book too thin to fill

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $87.54Primary65Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality–Rule clarity100
Why 65
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 14, 2026

5. What Evidence in the Latest EIA and API Reports Contradicts the Bullish Consensus for WTI on November 13?

EIA Commercial Crude Inventory Build4.657 million barrels in the week ended November 6, 2026 [1][2][3]
Total Commercial Petroleum Inventory Increase11.4 million barrels in one week [1][2][3][4]
IEA Global Crude Surplus ForecastApproximately 2 million barrels per day for this quarter [5][3]
The latest EIA and API reports revealed significant bearish inventory increases that contradicted a bullish consensus for WTI on November 13. Commercial crude inventories unexpectedly rose by 4.657 million barrels to 414.4 million in the week ended November 6, 2026, marking a 5.8 million barrel bearish surprise against expectations of a draw and ending five consecutive weekly draws [1][2][3]. This was further exacerbated by refined products also building, with gasoline inventories increasing by 1.799 million barrels and distillates rising by 4.071 million barrels [1][2][3][4]. Collectively, these contributed to a substantial 11.4 million barrel increase in total commercial petroleum inventories within a single week [1][2][3][4].
Increased supply and revised demand forecasts further undermined bullish sentiment. US crude production reached a record 14.013 million barrels per day in the week ending November 6, and net crude imports also increased by 544,000 barrels per day [5][3][4]. Concurrently, the IEA reduced its 2026 global crude demand forecast and projected a global surplus of approximately 2 million barrels per day for the current quarter, which would be the first surplus recorded since the Iran war commenced [5][3]. These significant supply-side increases and inventory builds contradicted a prevailing tight-market bullish view [6][5][7]. This bearish pressure was intensified by a climbing dollar index on November 13, as markets began to price in a steeper Federal Reserve tightening cycle, anticipated to curb US oil consumption [6][5][7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Crude +4.7M vs −1.1M Est — Distillate Builds 4.1M as Demand Falls 2.2 mb/dptmtrading.io
  2. 2INVENTORIES RISE: US Crude Stocks, Gasoline and Distillate Inventories Rise – EIA - Energy News, Top Headlines, Commentaries, Features & Events - EnergyNow.comenergynow.com
  3. 3Oil Price Forecast — WTI ($89.54) $97 and Brent ($96.99) $104.25 Upside Targets on Saudi Supply Risktradingnews.com
  4. 4Weekly Petroleum Status Reporteia.gov
  5. 5Crude Prices Supported by Concerns US-Iran War Will Lingerfinance.yahoo.com
  6. 6Why are Oil prices pulling back if US-Iran peace talks seem dead?fxstreet.com
  7. 7WTI Oil trims gains and eases below $87 amid bets of a steeper Fed tightening cycle — Octaoctabroker.com

6. How Might the IEA's New Global Oil Surplus Forecast for Q4 2026 Influence WTI Trading Sentiment into the Nov. 13 Close?

IEA Q4 2026 Oil Surplus Forecast1.7 mb/d [1][2]
WTI Spot Close November 13, 2026$87.73 [3]
WTI Futures Settlement November 13, 2026$88.56/bbl [4][5]
IEA's surplus forecast immediately prompted bearish oil market sentiment. The International Energy Agency's November 2026 Oil Market Report, released on November 13, 2026, forecast a significant return to a global oil surplus in Q4 2026, projecting approximately 1.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) with supply at 105 mb/d [1][2]. This represented a sharp reversal from previous deficit predictions, causing an initial fall in oil prices. The market narrative shifted from concerns of a shortage to fears of a surplus, which exerted medium-term bearish pressure on prices [6][7].
Despite initial declines, geopolitical and inventory factors provided some market support. Market reactions proved complex, as prices recovered during the US trading session. Traders maintained a geopolitical premium, citing ongoing threats to Saudi infrastructure, the US-Iran war, and 36 confirmed Gulf shipping attacks in October [6]. Near-term support also emerged from an unexpected 4.7 million barrel build in US crude inventories, increasing total inventories to 414.4 million barrels [6][8]. However, despite these counterbalancing pressures, WTI futures settled on November 13, 2026, at $88.56 per barrel, a decrease of 18 cents (-0.20%), marking its second consecutive weekly decline [4][5]. WTI spot prices closed at $87.73 [3].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Oil Market Report - November 2026 - IEAiea.org
  2. 2World oil market is returning to surplus as Gulf exports recover, IEA says By Reutersinvesting.com
  3. 3WTI USD Historical Data - Investing.cominvesting.com
  4. 4Oil prices post second straight weekly drop on signs of growing supply surpluscnbc.com
  5. 5국제유가, 공급 과잉 전망 속 혼조 마감…WTI 0.2%↓ | 연합뉴스yna.co.kr
  6. 6Oil Price Forecast — WTI ($89.54) $97 and Brent ($96.99) $104.25 Upside Targets on Saudi Supply Risktradingnews.com
  7. 7Oil prices set for second straight weekly decline on growing signs of supply surplus | livelive.euronext.com
  8. 8Crude Prices Supported by Concerns US-Iran War Will Lingerfinance.yahoo.com

7. How Did Implied Probabilities on Robinhood, PROBLY, and Kalshi Compare for WTI Staying Above $87.50 on November 13?

Closest Robinhood Target Probability73% for $87.43 (6:45–7:00 PM EST) [1]
Kalshi Settled Target Probability87% for $87.78 (9:00 AM EST) [2]
PROBLY Daily Market Implied Probability~77–80% for $87.50 (daily close) [3]
The exact implied probabilities for the specific WTI Oil 15-minute window (November 13, 7:00–7:15 PM EST, $87.54 target) were not directly captured in available search results across Robinhood, PROBLY, or Kalshi [1][4]. However, an adjacent Robinhood contract for the 6:45–7:00 PM EST window, with an $87.43 target, traded at an implied probability of 73% (73¢) [1].
Related contracts revealed varying probabilities across different times on November 13, 2026. Other Robinhood WTI 15-minute contracts included a 3:15–3:30 PM EST window ($87.51 target) that traded at 32% (32¢), and a 7:45–8:00 AM EST window ($87.50 target) that traded at 57% (57¢) [4][5]. A Kalshi KXWTI15M event contract, with an $87.78 target for a 9:00 AM EST window, settled Yes with an 87% implied probability [2]. Additionally, PROBLY's daily market for November 13 indicated an implied probability of approximately 77–80% for WTI Crude Oil closing above a $87.50 threshold [3].
WTI's actual closing price supported higher evening target probabilities on November 13, 2026. The WTI spot price on that day ranged from $87.77 to $89.66 and closed at $88.96 [6]. This meant that the $87.50 and $87.54 targets were comfortably below the day's closing price. This aligns with the observed pattern for evening WTI windows, where targets above approximately $87.4–$87.5 consistently traded in the 70s% range for an 'above' outcome [4][1].
Sources (6)
  1. 1November 13, 2026: WTI Oil 15 min · 6:45–7:00 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2WTI Oil 15 min · $87.78 target - Sonuç: Yes | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 13? | PROBLY Prediction Marketprobly.com
  4. 4November 13, 2026: WTI Oil 15 min · 3:15–3:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5November 13, 2026: WTI Oil 15 min · 7:45–8:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  6. 6Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollartwelvedata.com

8. What Technical Price Formations on November 13 Supported TradingView's Projection of a Bounce from the $86.34 Demand Zone?

Key Demand Zone$86.34 (FXEmpire [1], Instatrade [2])
Daily Support Level$86.00 [3]
Supporting Confluence Range$87.34–$87.54 [4]
On November 13, 2026, technical formations indicated a projected bounce from the $86.34 demand zone. This level was identified by FXEmpire as a natural demand or reclaim point for a bounce [1]. Instatrade's H1 analysis further supported this, noting that the $86.34 zone aligned with the 86.22 Daily S1 and an ascending channel midline [2]. The broader market context also strengthened this projection, as daily support at $86.00 positioned the $86.34 demand zone just above this crucial level, enhancing its potential as a bounce trigger [3].
Additional forecasts and confluence reinforced the projected bounce scenario. Turnmarks' November 13 forecast log corroborated a demand-zone-bounce structure within the $86.34–$87.67 range, specifically targeting a bounce from the 86.22–86.98 zone [5]. Furthermore, supporting confluence was identified at a slightly higher range of $87.34–$87.54. This area featured a triple-strength support cluster comprising a SuperTrend, SMA50, and a swing high, alongside an 87.49 retracement from a 13-week low [4]. An 87.22 MACD stall beneath the 87.67 pivot provided additional backing for this support [6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1WTI Price Forecast: Bearish Breakdown Raises Downside Risk | FXEmpirefxempire.com
  2. 2Trade Analysis & Reviews: 13.11.2026 - Oil on November 13: Positive...instatrade.com
  3. 3Gold Fights To Hold $3,900 Before US PPI As Fed Hike Bets Pressure Metals, WTI Steadies Near $89 And Wheat Bounces Off A 4½-Month Low | Technical Analysis - Commodity Report | 13 Nov 2026 - Capital Street FXcapitalstreetfx.com
  4. 4WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis Today (13 Nov) — WTI at 88.52 · Support & Resistance | XenosFinancexenosfinance.com
  5. 5WTI forecast: the probabilities, not a price targetturnmarks.com
  6. 6Crude Oil 88.74: Long 87.70 to 88.00 Above the Pivotalgoindex.com

9. What Intraday News or Order Flow Dynamics Could Trigger a Break of WTI's Key Technical Support at $87.03 Before 7:15 PM EST?

Critical Market Window7:00–7:15 PM EST [1]
WTI Key Support Level$87.03 [1]
Next Support Target$86.76 [2]
The post-CME Globex maintenance window is highly sensitive to news. The 7:00–7:15 PM EST period, immediately following the daily CME Globex maintenance break, is characterized by thin liquidity, wider spreads, and heightened market sensitivity to news catalysts [1]. During this time, participants are generally unwilling to carry fresh exposure into a weekend headline window, making the market particularly susceptible to outsized price movements [1][3]. Potential triggers for volatility include de-escalation headlines, such as progress in Mossad director or Netanyahu-Iran talks, or hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve speakers [1].
Specific news could trigger a WTI break below critical support. A de-escalation headline or hawkish Federal Reserve comments could cause West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude to break its $87.03 support level before 7:15 PM EST [1]. This $87.03 level is WTI's second key support, sitting at a confluence with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $87.00, which makes it a critical technical point [4][5]. Should this level be breached, the stacked support structure indicates a likely cascade towards $86.76, a one-standard-deviation support, and potentially further to $86.20, which is Pivot S1 [2]. These potential price movements would exacerbate existing bearish catalysts, including a rise in US crude inventories, a projected Q4 2026 global surplus by the IEA, and increased Saudi and OPEC+ crude production [6][7][8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Globex Oil Futures: CME Crude & Heating Oil Trading Guide - FastBullfastbull.com
  2. 2Crude Oil 88.74: Long 87.70 to 88.00 Above the Pivotalgoindex.com
  3. 3CRUDE WRAP: WTI (Z6) SETTLES USD 0.18 LOWER AT USD 88.56/BBL; BRENT (F7) SETTLES USD 0.02 HIGHER AT USD 95.84/BBL | Newsquawknewsquawk.com
  4. 4Oil Price Forecast — WTI ($89.54) $97 and Brent ($96.99) $104.25 Upside Targets on Saudi Supply Risktradingnews.com
  5. 5WTI tumbles to near $87.50 as US inventories jump, geopolitical risks in focusfxstreet.com
  6. 6Crude Dips as Status Quo Signals Offset Regional Supply Risks; Gas Inches Down ahead of Storage Reportaegis-hedging.com
  7. 7Crude Prices Supported by Concerns US-Iran War Will Lingerfinance.yahoo.com
  8. 8Dow Jones Top Energy Headlines at 11 AM ET: Global Oil Market Set to Return to Surplus as Gulf Exports Recover, IEA Says | Energy... | Morningstarmorningstar.com
  9. 9WTI Stages Sharp Comeback as Middle East Supply Risks Intensify | OilPrice.comoilprice.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The crude market faces pressures from increased supply and persistent geopolitical tensions. US crude inventories rose 4.7M bbl to 414.4M bbl in the week ended Nov 6, against an expected 1.1M-barrel draw, while US crude production reached a record 14.013 MMB/d [1][2][3]. The IEA's Nov 13 monthly report indicated a Q4 2026 supply of 105 MMB/d, 1.7 MMB/d above demand, marking a 2M bpd surplus this quarter—the first since the Iran war began [4][2]. Demand for 2026 was cut to 102.29 MMB/d, a reduction of 90k bpd [4]. Geopolitical risks persist, with the US-Iran war in its ninth month and Trump stating a deal with Iran is unnecessary, maintaining the blockade [1][3][2][5]. Hormuz crude flows averaged 2.8 MMB/d in November, down from 3.4 MMB/d in late October, alongside 36 confirmed commercial ship attacks in October, the highest since the war began [1][3][2]. Houthis attacked the Saudi East-West pipeline, Yanbu facility, and an Aramco building in Riyadh [3][2][5].
Macroeconomic headwinds and upcoming policy decisions will further influence crude prices. Speculation for a half-point rate hike in December intensified following recent CPI data and comments from Fed officials [6][7][2]. The dollar index hit a 1.5-year high, which capped crude gains [6][7][2]. WTI fell approximately 2.5% for the week, marking its second consecutive weekly decline after a 13% drop in the prior week [6][8][2]. Key upcoming events include the Nov 17 API inventories report, the Nov 18 FOMC rate decision, and the Nov 20 Baker Hughes rig count [9]. The Nov 29 OPEC+ ministerial meeting on 2027 production policy is critical; extending the 2M bpd cuts could lead to a rally toward $94.70, while restoring output might trigger a slide toward $80 [9][10]. The next EIA STEO, following the Nov 10 edition that forecast Brent around $100/b in Nov–Dec 2026, is due Dec 8 [9][11]. Technical levels show $85.29 as a bearish floor and $88.71 as a bullish breakout trigger, with WTI having fallen 18.1% from its $104.12 Nov 1–2 peak [10][12].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: November 14, 2026
  • Expiration: November 21, 2026
  • Closes: November 14, 2026
Sources (12)
  1. 1Oil prices set for second weekly decline as Trump to stay with Iran blockade | livelive.euronext.com
  2. 2Crude Prices Supported by Concerns US-Iran War Will Lingerfinance.yahoo.com
  3. 3Crude Dips as Status Quo Signals Offset Regional Supply Risks; Gas Inches Down ahead of Storage Reportaegis-hedging.com
  4. 4World oil market is returning to surplus as Gulf exports recover, IEA says By Reutersinvesting.com
  5. 5CRUDE WRAP: WTI (Z6) SETTLES USD 0.18 LOWER AT USD 88.56/BBL; BRENT (F7) SETTLES USD 0.02 HIGHER AT USD 95.84/BBL | Newsquawknewsquawk.com
  6. 6WTI Oil trims gains and eases below $87 amid bets of a steeper Fed tightening cycle — Octaoctabroker.com
  7. 7Why are Oil prices pulling back if US-Iran peace talks seem dead?fxstreet.com
  8. 8Oil prices post second straight weekly drop on signs of growing supply surpluscnbc.com
  9. 9Houston Energy Market Calendar | Houston Energy Workshoustonenergyworks.com
  10. 10Oil Price Forecast — WTI ($86.88) $94 & Brent ($91) $100 Upside Targets on Stalled Iran Talkstradingnews.com
  11. 11Short-Term Energy Outlook - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)eia.gov
  12. 12Crude Oil Sits on a Make or Break Level as Iran Talks Stall: Will Buyers Defend 85?barchart.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXWTI15M-26NOV131900-00: YES (Nov 14, 2026)
  • KXWTI15M-26NOV131845-45: NO (Nov 13, 2026)
  • KXWTI15M-26NOV131830-30: NO (Nov 13, 2026)
  • KXWTI15M-26NOV131815-15: YES (Nov 13, 2026)
  • KXWTI15M-26NOV131800-00: NO (Nov 13, 2026)