Short Answer

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is expected to win the Alaska Governor race, supported by consistent, strong polling results and favorable ranked-choice simulations that show a clear and substantial lead. The market prices this outcome at 89.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This market's low valuation reflects the difficult electoral math facing any single Republican candidate in a fractured field. The race features three Republicans—Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor—against one Democrat, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. This three-way split of the Republican vote is the primary driver of the low probability assigned by the market. The decline from a peak of 1.4% to its current level near 0.1% likely represents the market pricing in the low odds of any one Republican candidate consolidating enough support to win.
The state's ranked-choice voting system further complicates the outlook for a divided ticket. Minimal trading volume of 2,185 contracts indicates that the price moves are not supported by significant market conviction and the contract is illiquid. There are no specific reported events in the available information that coincide with the timing of the price drop; the movement appears to reflect a general assessment of the fundamental race dynamics rather than a reaction to new information.
  • Since last update (~184d): Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins's model probability surged +73.5pp, market-led with a widened edge.
  • Tom Begich's model probability dropped -31.1pp, market-led with a compressed edge.
  • Treg Taylor's model probability declined -11.4pp, a model-led move with a compressed edge.
  • Confidence increased +1.0pp; Bill Walker and Lesil McGuire were added as new outcomes.
  • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins holds a clear lead, consistently backed by strong polling and simulations. Bernadette Wilson faces structural hurdles despite a Trump endorsement; Republican vote split persists. * Tom Begich withdrew from the race, endorsing Kreiss-Tomkins, making his election impossible.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Tom Begich 0.1% 0.1% Tom Begich publicly withdrew from the race and endorsed Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, making his election impossible.
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 89.0% 83.0% Consistent strong polling and favorable ranked-choice simulations show a clear lead as Election Day approaches.
Bernadette Wilson 11.0% 11.0% Donald Trump endorsed her, but her path is challenged by a persistent three-way Republican split.
Treg Taylor 1.1% 1.2% His continued presence in the race contributes to the fragmentation of the Republican vote, despite some polling support.
Dave Bronson 1.0% 1.1% An outlier forecast from Polling Forecast projected a win, but most other data indicates very low support.

Current Context

Alaska's open gubernatorial seat remains undetermined ahead of November 3 [1][2]. The general election, scheduled for November 3, 2026, uses ranked-choice voting for the seat vacated by term-limited Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy [1][2]. Four tickets are contesting the election: Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Republicans Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor. The division of the Republican vote among these three candidates is a central dynamic of the race [1][2].
Recent polls and prediction markets generally favor Democrat Kreiss-Tomkins [1][3]. October polls listed by 270toWin show Kreiss-Tomkins polling between 46% and 51%, with Wilson at 28%–31%, Bronson at 12%, and Taylor at 7%–9% [1][2]. One Alaska Survey Research poll reported a 20.1-point lead for Kreiss-Tomkins in a four-way test [4]. Prediction market aggregations show approximately 89% favorability for Kreiss-Tomkins, while Decision Desk HQ assigned him a 67% win probability on October 29 [3][2]. However, expert and model opinion is not unanimous; Sabato's Crystal Ball and Cook shifted the contest to Toss-up in September, citing substantial undecided voters [5][6]. Polling Forecast projected Dave Bronson with a 64% win probability by 2.2 points, an outlier against the stronger Democratic-leaning signals [5]. Donald Trump's October 13 endorsement of Bernadette Wilson called for Republican unity, but Bronson and Taylor remained in the race, maintaining the three-way Republican split [3][6].
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is the most likely winner via ranked-choice tabulation [3][1]. Early voting commenced on October 19, and Election Day is November 3, with polls open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. local time [7][8]. The contest is vulnerable to late Republican consolidation, movement among undecided voters, and turnout errors; therefore, it should not be described as a certain result [3][1][2].
Sources (8)
  1. 12026 Polls: Alaska Governor - 270toWin270towin.com
  2. 22026 Alaska Governor Forecast | DDHQvotes.decisiondeskhq.com
  3. 3Alaska Governor Odds 2026: Live Market Predictionsdefirate.com
  4. 4Alaska Survey Research: 2026 polls · 99chambers99chambers.app
  5. 5Alaska governor: 2026 forecast | Polling Forecastpollingforecast.com
  6. 6Poll shows Democrat with lead in Alaska governor’s race, but large swaths remain undecidedalaskapublic.org
  7. 7Your Alaska voter guide: Compare candidates and their positionsalaskapublic.org
  8. 8Alaska 2026 ballot: United States Senator, Governor / Lieutenant Governor candidates | Ballot Atlasballotatlas.org

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

📉 October 22, 2026: 9.0pp drop

Price decreased from 19.0% to 10.0%

Outcome: Bernadette Wilson

What happened: The reported 9.0 percentage point drop for Bernadette Wilson on October 22, 2026, is not supported by the provided research. Sources indicate the 9.0-point figure refers to a polling-versus-fundamentals gap, not an actual price movement [1]. Wilson's polling percentage remained stable at approximately 30% in four-way polls between October 15–18 and October 23–25, with her two-way matchup showing a slight increase [1][2][3][4]. While Donald Trump endorsed Wilson on social media shortly before October 21/22 [5], which would typically be a positive development, this activity does not correlate with a decline in her standing. Therefore, social media was irrelevant, as the described price movement is inconsistent with the available information.
Sources (5)
  1. 1Alaska — Governor · Scrutinelscrutinel.com
  2. 2Alaska Governor 2026 Polls & Polling Average | Alaska Politics Trackeralaskapoliticstracker.com
  3. 32026 Polls: Alaska Governor - 270toWin270towin.com
  4. 4Alaska Survey Research: 2026 polls · 99chambers99chambers.app
  5. 5A Democrat could become governor of Alaska for the first time in over 20 years: NPRnpr.org

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves based on the winner of the Alaska Governor general election, scheduled for November 3, 2026. A "Yes" contract for a specific candidate resolves to YES if that candidate wins the election, while a "No" contract resolves to YES if that candidate does not win. The maximum payout date for this market is November 3, 2027, and the provided content does not detail any special settlement conditions.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins $0.89 $0.12 89%
Bernadette Wilson $0.12 $0.89 11%
Treg Taylor $0.01 $1.00 1%
Bill Walker $0.01 $1.00 1%
Dave Bronson $0.01 $1.00 1%
Lesil McGuire $0.01 $1.00 1%
Click Bishop $0.00 $1.00 0%
Adam Crum $0.00 $1.00 0%
Edna DeVries $0.00 $1.00 0%
Lisa Murkowski $0.00 $1.00 0%
Mary Peltola $0.00 $1.00 0%
Matt Heilala $0.00 $1.00 0%
Matthew Claman $0.00 $1.00 0%
Nancy Dahlstrom $0.00 $1.00 0%
Shelley Hughes $0.00 $1.00 0%
Tom Begich $0.00 $1.00 0%

Market Discussion

As of October 30, 2026, Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is the leading prediction to win the Alaska governor election, with prediction markets implying an 89% chance and significant bullish trading activity [1]. This lead is supported by recent polls, projections of a Democratic lean, and Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski's endorsement of Kreiss-Tomkins over Republican Bernadette Wilson on October 27/28 [2]. However, social media and polling analysis signal caution due to a significant bloc of undecided voters and a right-leaning undecided bloc, suggesting the race may be less settled than market odds imply [3].

Sources (3)
  1. 1https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-governor-election-winnerpolymarket.com
  2. 2Alaska Midterm Odds | Senate, House & Governor...covers.com
  3. 3Poll shows Democrat with lead in Alaska governor’s race, but large swaths remain undecidedalaskapublic.org

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 80 Good

Largest single print on KXGOVAK-26-JKRE carried 46% of its $9,537 tape (window is 100% of 24h flow)

Integrity risk· Large trades

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score79Good

Market integrity is low (69), but Integrity averages all three scores, so the other two pull it up. Only a critically low score would cap the total.

Trade quality20% of score82Good

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses under 1% of the price to slippage.

Trust score80Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply

6. What polling data and forecast models underpin Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins's status as the frontrunner in the 2026 gubernatorial race?

Kalshi Win Probability89% for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (as of Oct 30, 2026) [1][2]
Kreiss-Tomkins Polling Average52.4% (two-way) [1][2]
Nate Silver Model Win Probability80%+ for Kreiss-Tomkins [3][4][2]
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads the 2026 gubernatorial race with consistent polling. He maintains a durable lead of approximately 10-20 points in first-choice surveys and shows positive outcomes in final-round ranked-choice matchups [4][1][3][2]. As of October 30, 2026, Kalshi priced Kreiss-Tomkins with an 89% probability to win Alaska's November 3 gubernatorial election. Their listed two-way polling average showed him at 52.4% against Bernadette Wilson's 44.5% [1][2].
Public polls and expert ratings consistently confirm Kreiss-Tomkins's lead. Surveys conducted through late-September and October consistently showed him ahead [4][2]. Specific poll results include NYT/Siena reporting Kreiss-Tomkins at 40% first choice, Alaska Survey Research indicating a 54%-46% final-round victory over Wilson, and Data for Progress reporting a 53%-47% final round outcome [4][2]. A three-poll average summarized by 270toWin/forecasting coverage placed Kreiss-Tomkins at approximately 45.3% [4][2]. Forecast models and expert ratings align with these trends; Nate Silver's model indicated an 80%-plus win probability for Kreiss-Tomkins, and both Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the race to Lean Democratic [3][4][2].
Kreiss-Tomkins benefits from structural advantages, but consolidation poses a risk. He is positioned as the sole Democrat against multiple Republican challengers in Alaska's top-four primary and ranked-choice general election system, which may split the opposition vote [4][2]. Senator Lisa Murkowski's October 27 endorsement further bolstered his campaign [5][2]. While Polymarket offers a less optimistic snapshot for Kreiss-Tomkins at roughly 52%, its data requires careful review of timestamp, liquidity, and contract structure before direct comparison with Kalshi's quote [6]. The primary uncertainty in this race, despite Kreiss-Tomkins's lead in Alaska's Republican-leaning electorate, is the potential for Republican consolidation behind Wilson [4][1][3][2].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Alaska Governor Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: Kreiss-Tomkins vs. Wilson | Kalshikalshi.com
  2. 2Alaska Governor Race 2026multistate.us
  3. 3Poll shows Democrat with lead in Alaska governor's race...alaskapublic.org
  4. 4Will the winner of Alaska's 2026 gubernatorial ele — Metaculus Scans — Forecasting Agentforecast.agenticlearning.ai
  5. 5Murkowski endorses Democrat JKT in Alaska governor's racealaskapublic.org
  6. 6Alaska Governor Election Winnerpolymarket.com

7. How do the paths to victory for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Bernadette Wilson compare under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system?

Kreiss-Tomkins Primary Vote22.5% (August 18 primary win) [1][2][3][4]
Wilson Primary Vote10.0% (placed third in primary) [1][2][3][4]
Final Round Poll ResultKreiss-Tomkins 53% vs. Wilson 47% (October 23–25 poll) [5][2]
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins holds a clearer path to victory. He secured a strong first-choice lead in Alaska's 2026 governor's race under ranked-choice voting, winning the August 18 primary with approximately 22.5% of the vote. This position was further strengthened when the second-place Democrat, Tom Begich, withdrew and endorsed Kreiss-Tomkins [1][2][3][4]. Kreiss-Tomkins' strategy involves maintaining his initial advantage by appealing to a broad base as an acceptable Alaska Democrat and attracting second-choice support from independents and some Republicans. An October 23–25 poll further evidenced this strategy, showing him leading Wilson 53% to 47% in a final round [1][6][5][2].
Conversely, Bernadette Wilson faces a more challenging structural path. She placed third in the primary with about 10.0% of the vote [1][2][3][4]. Her success hinges on consolidating Republican support to become the last surviving Republican candidate, and then securing enough transfers from other Republican candidates like Dave Bronson and Treg Taylor to overcome Kreiss-Tomkins' initial lead. Wilson's path largely depends on Republicans cohesively ranking all Republican candidates and diligently transferring their votes among them [1][6][5][2].
Wilson's path, though plausible, is considerably narrower. Overall, while Wilson's path is plausible, it is considerably narrower than Kreiss-Tomkins'. It necessitates both a strong consolidation of Republican votes behind her and sufficient anti-Democratic transfer discipline among Republican voters to negate Kreiss-Tomkins' initial and sustained advantage in the ranked-choice system [1][6][7][5][2][8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1What to expect in Alaska's 2026 ranked choice voting...fairvote.org
  2. 22026 Alaska gubernatorial electionen.wikipedia.org
  3. 3Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkinsballotpedia.org
  4. 4Bernadette Wilsonballotpedia.org
  5. 5Poll shows Democrat with lead in Alaska governor's race...alaskapublic.org
  6. 6A Democrat could become governor of Alaska for the first...npr.org
  7. 7Alaskans will decide fate of ranked choice voting system...pbs.org
  8. 8Position Sought: Governor Name and Political Affiliationelections.alaska.gov

8. What late-stage catalysts could trigger Republican consolidation behind a single candidate before the November 3 election?

Election End DateNovember 3 [1][2][3]
Republican Primary Vote ShareRoughly half of the primary vote [4][5][3][6][7]
Wilson Polling StatusLeads Bronson and Taylor among Republicans [8][9][10][3]
Republican consolidation behind a single candidate before the November 3 election would primarily hinge on candidate withdrawals or an explicit unity agreement among the three Republican candidates [4][5][11]. With early voting already in progress, any effective consolidation strategy would require highly visible actions before voting concludes [1][2][3]. A key structural catalyst would be the withdrawal of a Republican candidate, such as Treg Taylor, potentially redirecting votes and campaign resources toward Bernadette Wilson [4][5][11][6][7][3]. Ranked-choice coordination is also a significant factor, as Republicans collectively secured approximately half of the primary vote, and historical Alaska races have demonstrated that a coordinated 'rank the red' strategy can lead to victory in a divided field [4][5][3][6][7].
Effective consolidation would require high-profile endorsements and strategic voter guidance by the election's end date. This would necessitate endorsements from figures like Trump or Dunleavy, joint advertising, and clear ranked-choice voting instructions to be impactful [1][2][3]. A credible late poll indicating strong Republican second-choice discipline and Wilson's competitiveness in the final ranked-choice round could spur further donor, endorsement, and voter consolidation [8][9][10][3]. While Wilson currently leads Bronson and Taylor among Republicans in existing polls, the market does not yet reflect this as a likely statewide victory [8][9][10][3]. Major late news events impacting the Democrat or validating Republican positions could also foster unity, but current reporting describes a collegial field without decisive scandals [1][2][4][5].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Alaska candidates for governor vary on approaches to...alaskasnewssource.com
  2. 2Gubernatorial candidates make their pitch at the Alaska...alaskabeacon.com
  3. 3What to expect in Alaska's 2026 ranked choice voting...fairvote.org
  4. 4Alaska's governor's race pits a Democrat against 3...thealaskacurrent.com
  5. 5Amid fractured GOP field, a Democrat could be headed for...alaskabeacon.com
  6. 6Alaska Governor Odds: Begich Quit, And The Republicans Won't | OddsShopperoddsshopper.com
  7. 7Top candidates in Alaska governor's race say they are...adn.com
  8. 8Alaska Governor Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: Kreiss-Tomkins vs. Wilson | Kalshikalshi.com
  9. 9Alaska Governor Election 2026: Latest Pollsnytimes.com
  10. 102026 Alaska Governor Election: Polls & Odds | Prediction Edgepredictionedge.com
  11. 11Who Is Favored To Win Governor Of Alaska? | OddsShopperoddsshopper.com

9. What public data is available on second-choice preferences among Alaskan voters for the 2026 gubernatorial election?

Latest Poll Final Round (Oct 23-25)Kreiss-Tomkins 53%, Wilson 47% [1]
Data for Progress Final Round (Oct 8-16)Kreiss-Tomkins 53%, Wilson 47% [1][2][3]
New York Times/Siena Final Round (Sep 24-Oct 1)Kreiss-Tomkins 52%, Wilson 48% [1][2][3]
Public data regarding second-choice preferences among Alaskan voters for the 2026 gubernatorial election primarily stems from ranked-choice ballot simulations featured in various public polls [1][2]. Alaska employs ranked-choice voting for its gubernatorial elections, which means second-choice preferences become relevant if a voter's first-choice candidate is eliminated [4]. Notable polls contributing this data include those conducted by Alaska Survey Research, Data for Progress, New York Times/Siena, and Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research [1][2][3]. These polls generally indicate that while Republican minor-candidate votes tend to transfer more favorably to Bernadette Wilson than to Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in intermediate rounds, this typically does not overcome Kreiss-Tomkins's initial first-choice advantage [1][2].
Multiple polls demonstrate Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins securing victory in the final ranked-choice round against Bernadette Wilson. For example, an Alaska Survey Research poll conducted from October 23–25 reported a final round outcome of Kreiss-Tomkins at 53% to Wilson at 47% [1]. Similarly, the Data for Progress poll from October 8–16 and the New York Times/Siena poll from September 24–October 1 also showed Kreiss-Tomkins prevailing, with reported outcomes of 53%-47% and 52%-48% respectively [1][2][3].
Poll data has limitations regarding specific voter-level preference insights. It is important to note that public poll tables typically provide aggregate round-by-round results rather than detailed voter-level transition matrices [1][3][2]. This aggregation limits the precise identification of specific second-choice preferences for every candidate bloc [1][3][2]. Additionally, a September AARP-sponsored poll reportedly found Kreiss-Tomkins winning the final RCV round by 10 points; however, this specific tabulation excluded approximately 18% of undecided voters who leaned substantially right [5].
Sources (5)
  1. 12026 Alaska gubernatorial electionen.wikipedia.org
  2. 2Every Statewide Race in Alaska Is Close, as 7 in 10 Voters...dataforprogress.org
  3. 3Cross-Tabs: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of...nytimes.com
  4. 4Election Informationelections.alaska.gov
  5. 5Poll shows Democrat with lead in Alaska governor's race...alaskapublic.org

10. What is the methodological basis for outlier forecasts, like that from Polling Forecast, that project a Dave Bronson victory against the polling consensus?

Fundamentals component weight12% [1]
Polling component adjusted marginR+2.2 [1]
Top pollsters weight86% [1]
Polling Forecast projects Dave Bronson's victory in Alaska using a unique model. This projection diverges from the general polling consensus by integrating fundamental factors with adjusted poll data [2][1]. This methodological approach generates an outlier forecast by systematically moving away from a raw poll average through various corrections and weighting mechanisms [1][3]. The model attributes Bronson's projected success to factors including the 2024 presidential vote, national mood, incumbency, eight weighted polls, and an allowance for past polling misses [2][1].
Model components are weighted, with detailed poll adjustments. The fundamentals component, contributing R+2.7, received 12% of the model's total weight [1]. The polling component, which projected an R+2.2 adjusted margin, did not rely on a simple consensus average. Instead, it involved adjusting published poll results for each pollster's usual lean, national trends occurring since fieldwork completion, and historical polling errors [1]. Poll weighting prioritized the latest surveys, with five specific pollsters accounting for 86% of the listed weight, and a minor adjustment was applied for third-party candidates expected to receive less than their polled share [1].
Outlier forecasts reflect latent vote intention and unique electoral systems. The defensible basis for such a projection lies in generating a model-based estimate of latent vote intention rather than simply averaging raw poll numbers [1][3]. Methods such as recency and quality weighting, corrections for pollster-specific biases (house effects), national trend adjustments, and historical polling-error adjustments can systematically shift the estimate away from the visible consensus [1][3]. The apparent outlier status is also partly influenced by Alaska's ranked-choice voting system, which Polling Forecast modeled as a near-even two-candidate final outcome. This contrasts with public polls that often report first-choice shares or two-way final-round tests which typically placed Bronson much lower [4][1][5]. Polling Forecast acknowledges that with a projected Bronson margin of R+2.2, Kreiss-Tomkins would secure victory if polls prove inaccurate by more than 2.2 points in the Democrat's favor [1].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Alaska governor: 2026 forecast | Polling Forecastpollingforecast.com
  2. 2Dave Bronson (R): Alaska governor 2026 | Polling Forecastpollingforecast.com
  3. 3How our polling averages workabcnews.com
  4. 4Alaska Governor Race 2026multistate.us
  5. 5Dave Bronson: 2026 Alaska Governor Polls & Odds | Prediction Edgepredictionedge.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (Democrat) is the current market and forecast favorite for Alaska governor, with Kalshi showing approximately 89% and Prediction Edge about 87% as of October 30, 2026, while Decision Desk HQ assigns a 67% win probability [1][2][3]. His strongest bullish catalyst is potential Republican vote fragmentation under Alaska's ranked-choice system; recent polling shows him ahead in modeled final-round matchups, including 53.4%–46.6% against Bernadette Wilson and 54%–46% in Alaska Survey Research results [4][3][5][6]. The general-election field includes one Democrat versus three Republicans (Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor), a configuration arising after Tom Begich endorsed Kreiss-Tomkins [7][5][8]. This scenario creates a plausible Democratic path despite Alaska's Republican statewide lean. Further structural tailwinds for the Democrat include Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy being term-limited, voter dissatisfaction regarding schools, ferries, energy costs, and historically low inflation-adjusted Permanent Fund dividends, alongside a unified Democratic nominee contrasting with divided Republicans [9][10][8].
Bearish catalysts for Kreiss-Tomkins include Republican consolidation behind a single candidate, effective Republican instructions for voters to rank all GOP candidates, late undecided-voter movement, or second-choice transfers that could bolster Wilson's final-round coalition [5][6][8]. An endorsement or withdrawal by Bronson or Taylor could significantly alter the race [5][6][8]. The race's variance remains higher than implied by prediction-market favorites; Cook Political Report initially rated it Toss Up Lean Democratic before market prices and polling shifted more strongly toward Kreiss-Tomkins [10][7][6]. The spread between the roughly 87%–89% market odds and DDHQ's 67% model probability signals meaningful tail risk, particularly from late GOP consolidation and ranked-choice transfer dynamics [1][2][3]. Post-election market risks include questioned-ballot review beginning November 5, final regional absentee/questioned-ballot count on November 18, State Review Board review beginning November 19, target certification on November 25, and the governor-specific recount-application deadline on November 28 [11].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: November 03, 2027
  • Closes: November 03, 2027
Sources (11)
  1. 1Alaska Governor Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: Kreiss-Tomkins vs. Wilson | Kalshikalshi.com
  2. 22026 Alaska Governor Election: Polls & Odds | Prediction Edgepredictionedge.com
  3. 32026 Alaska Governor Forecast | DDHQvotes.decisiondeskhq.com
  4. 4Alaska Governor 2026 Polls & Polling Average | Alaska Politics Trackeralaskapoliticstracker.com
  5. 5Heeding ranked choice voting, candidates refine their strategies in Alaska governor’s race - The Alaska Journal of Commerceadn.com
  6. 6How Alaska’s Governor Race Turned in Democrats’ Favoractionnetwork.com
  7. 7Alaska’s governor’s race pits a Democrat against 3 Republicansthealaskacurrent.com
  8. 8A Democrat could become governor of Alaska for the first time in over 20 years: NPRnpr.org
  9. 9Alaska Governor Election 2026: Latest Pollsnytimes.com
  10. 10AK Governor 2026 | Cook Political Reportcookpolitical.com
  11. 11Election Calendar - Division of Electionselections.alaska.gov