August 31
Market Model 82.0% 82.7%
August 14
Market Model 80.0% 77.7%
Peace Deal Markets
Active Markets (2)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket
August 31
Market Model 4.5% 2.2%
August 18
Market Model 2.8% 1.4%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause) Top outcome: August 31 | 82.0% | 82.7% | High | $12,510,058.96 | Refresh |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Top outcome: August 31 | 4.5% | 2.2% | High | $13,203,783.97 | Refresh |
