Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?

The House Ways and Means Committee's legislative agenda for May and June 2026, including specific markups or hearings, is not detailed in publicly available committee calendars, markups, or hearings pages ^[1]. These resources typically provide information on current or recently scheduled committee activities, rather than specific plans for events more than two years in the future.

No tariff elimination markups are currently scheduled despite new bills. While no future schedule for specific committee activities is available, legislation related to tariff policy has been introduced in the House. For instance, the "Stop Global Tariffs Act" was authored and introduced by Rep. Panetta ^[2]. Additionally, Ways and Means Democrats have introduced legislation to eliminate specific tariffs and reclaim Congress's trade authority, including a bill from Rep. DelBene proposing to eliminate recent tariffs and refund importers ^[3]. However, the provided research does not indicate any scheduled markups or hearings on these or other bills specifically proposing the elimination of tariffs on goods from Mexico, Brazil, or globally, for the May and June 2026 period ^[1]. Therefore, any potential votes on such measures before July 1, 2026, cannot be confirmed through the provided sources.

Lobbying for tariffs on Mexican goods surged in early 2026. According to Q1 and Q2 2026 lobbying disclosure reports, there was a significant increase in overall spending dedicated to tariff-related advocacy efforts ^[1]. The steel industry, in particular, intensified its focus on tariffs concerning Mexican imports. This was evidenced by leaders of the Congressional Steel Caucus dispatching a letter to the administration to address a notable rise in Mexican steel imports, signaling a push for protective measures or against the removal of current tariffs ^[2]. Companies such as O'Neal Industries and Nucor, previously active in steel tariff advocacy, demonstrated the sector's sustained and likely heightened engagement during this period ^[4].

Companies significantly increased lobbying against tariffs on Brazilian goods. Regarding trade with Brazil, various companies collectively spent at least R$ 9.8 million on lobbying efforts in the United States during February 2026, specifically targeting a "tarifaco" (big tariff) ^[3]. Concurrently, the automotive industry showed heightened lobbying activity, with General Motors reporting record lobbying expenditures in early 2026, identifying tariffs as a primary area of focus ^[5]. This reflects a broader industry-wide engagement in trade policy, which could encompass goods originating from both Mexico and Brazil.

A comprehensive answer regarding the consensus among House members in 'Toss-Up' or 'Lean' districts on tariff elimination's impact is not possible. The primary reason is that available sources do not identify specific House members representing districts with these ratings in April 2026 ^[1]. Consequently, without knowing the individual members, their public statements or local press interviews cannot be analyzed to determine a consensus on the impact of tariff elimination on constituent jobs versus consumer prices.

Limited available information does not meet specific research criteria for analysis. While one article dated April 2, 2026, discusses "In-House Opinions" on "Trump's tariff policies" among "local members of Congress" from Orange County, it does not name the specific members, indicate if their districts are rated 'Toss-Up' or 'Lean', or detail their views on the impact of tariff elimination specifically on constituent jobs versus consumer prices ^[2]. Other available sources discussing tariffs or their economic impacts are either dated prior to April 2026 or do not provide specific statements from members confirmed to be in 'Toss-Up' or 'Lean' districts within the required timeframe ^[3]. Therefore, the requested consensus among this specific group of House members cannot be ascertained from the provided information.

The United States Trade Representative (USTR) affirmed its strong commitment to maintaining existing Section 301 tariffs on Chinese goods. On April 22, 2026, USTR Ambassador Jamieson Greer testified before the House Ways and Means Committee, declaring that the "vast majority of Section 301 tariffs on Chinese goods should remain in place" ^[1]. This firm stance against the elimination of tariffs may have contributed to market uncertainty and a reported sharp drop in market price on April 28, 2026 ^[1].

Beyond existing tariffs, the USTR is also pursuing new remedies for unfair trade practices. Ambassador Greer further emphasized the USTR's intention to "aggressively pursue remedies for unfair trade practices including excess capacity and forced labor" ^[1]. Supporting this robust enforcement focus, the USTR announced in April 2026 public hearings for Section 301 investigations regarding failures to address forced labor, which build upon investigations initiated in March 2026 ^[2]. These ongoing actions signal a trade policy direction centered on continued restrictions rather than reductions, further reinforcing the unlikelihood of tariff elimination and potentially influencing market reactions ^[2].

June 2026 offers significant 'must-pass' legislative opportunities for amendments. The House of Representatives is scheduled to be in session for the majority of June 2026 ^[1], providing a legislative window for significant activity. One primary vehicle expected to advance is the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for Fiscal Year 2027. This crucial bill, annually considered 'must-pass', is anticipated to undergo full House floor consideration in late May or early June 2026, following its House Armed Services Committee markup in May ^[2].

Appropriations bills also provide key legislative vehicles during June 2026. The House Committee on Appropriations has scheduled its markups for the twelve FY2027 appropriations bills to extend through May and June 2026. These bills, which fund government operations and are also considered 'must-pass', are aimed to be passed out of committee by early July 2026, suggesting active movement through the House legislative process during June 2026 ^[3]. Both the NDAA and appropriations bills typically operate under rules that permit the consideration of various amendments, making them realistic vehicles for a tariff elimination amendment.