How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Polymarket
0 (0 bps)
Market Model 89.0% 89.6%
11 (275 bps)
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Business Markets
Active Markets (3)
Largest Company end of September? Polymarket
NVIDIA
Market Model 85.0% 80.7%
Alphabet
Market Model 5.0% 6.4%
Largest Company end of December 2026? Polymarket
NVIDIA
Market Model 67.0% 62.3%
Apple
Market Model 16.2% 15.6%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Top outcome: 0 (0 bps) | 89.0% | 89.6% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Largest Company end of September? Top outcome: NVIDIA | 85.0% | 80.7% | High | 71 | Refresh |
| Largest Company end of December 2026? Top outcome: NVIDIA | 67.0% | 62.3% | Med | 70 | Refresh |
