How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Polymarket
0 (0 bps)
Market Model 89.0% 89.6%
11 (275 bps)
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Fed Markets
Active Markets (2)
Fed rate hike in 2026? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 63.0% 68.4%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Top outcome: 0 (0 bps) | 89.0% | 89.6% | High | 57 | Refresh |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 63.0% | 68.4% | Med | — | Refresh |
Expired Markets (2)
Fed Decision in October? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Fed rate cut by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 0.0% 3.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | 56 | ||
| Fed rate cut by...? Yes refers to: October Meeting | 0.0% | 3.2% | High | — |
