Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market
read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
| Game 1: New York at San Antonio | June 18, 2026 | 61.3% vs 64.0% | Report → |
| Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City | June 10, 2026 | 61.4% vs 62.0% | Report → |
| Game 4: New York at Cleveland | June 9, 2026 | 36.6% vs 44.0% | Report → |
| Game 4: Oklahoma City at San Antonio | June 8, 2026 | 55.2% vs 58.0% | Report → |
| Game 3: New York at Cleveland | June 7, 2026 | 51.0% vs 56.0% | Report → |
| Game 3: Oklahoma City at San Antonio | June 6, 2026 | 56.7% vs 55.0% | Report → |
| Game 2: Cleveland at New York | June 5, 2026 | 67.8% vs 65.0% | Report → |
| Game 2: San Antonio at Oklahoma City | June 4, 2026 | 70.7% vs 68.0% | Report → |
| Game 1: Cleveland at New York | June 3, 2026 | 49.3% vs 70.0% | Report → |
| Game 1: San Antonio at Oklahoma City | June 2, 2026 | 74.3% vs 69.0% | Report → |
| Game 6: San Antonio at Minnesota | May 29, 2026 | 18.6% vs 35.0% | Report → |
| Game 6: Detroit at Cleveland | May 29, 2026 | 80.8% vs 62.0% | Report → |
| Game 5: Cleveland at Detroit | May 27, 2026 | 47.8% vs 61.0% | Report → |
| Game 4: New York at Philadelphia | May 24, 2026 | 40.9% vs 48.0% | Report → |
| Game 3: New York at Philadelphia | May 22, 2026 | 43.5% vs 52.0% | Report → |
| Game 6: Cleveland at Toronto | May 15, 2026 | 30.5% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| Game 6: Detroit at Orlando | May 15, 2026 | 47.5% vs 40.0% | Report → |
| Game 6: Los Angeles L at Houston | May 16, 2026 | 67.7% vs 61.0% | Report → |
| Game 5: Minnesota at Denver | May 12, 2026 | 81.9% vs 81.0% | Report → |
| East Play-In: Orlando at Philadelphia | April 29, 2026 | 61.3% vs 54.0% | Report → |
| West Play-In: Portland at Phoenix | April 29, 2026 | 59.4% vs 60.0% | Report → |
| Chicago at Dallas | April 27, 2026 | 57.8% vs 66.0% | Report → |
| Golden State at Los Angeles C | April 27, 2026 | 50.2% vs 62.0% | Report → |
| Denver at San Antonio | April 27, 2026 | 67.2% vs 80.0% | Report → |
| Charlotte at New York | April 26, 2026 | 26.9% vs 15.0% | Report → |
| Orlando at Boston | April 26, 2026 | 8.0% vs 17.0% | Report → |
| Oklahoma City at Denver | April 25, 2026 | 85.6% vs 82.0% | Report → |
| Houston at Phoenix | April 22, 2026 | 58.4% vs 55.0% | Report → |
| Dallas at Los Angeles C | April 22, 2026 | 73.1% vs 86.0% | Report → |
| Milwaukee at Brooklyn | April 21, 2026 | 74.5% vs 74.0% | Report → |
| Portland at Denver | April 21, 2026 | 62.4% vs 63.0% | Report → |
| Philadelphia at San Antonio | April 21, 2026 | 77.9% vs 75.0% | Report → |
| Cleveland at Memphis | April 21, 2026 | 28.4% vs 23.0% | Report → |
| New York at Atlanta | April 20, 2026 | 45.5% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Detroit at Orlando | April 20, 2026 | 96.1% vs 98.0% | Report → |
| Miami at Charlotte | March 31, 2026 | 0.0% vs 64.0% | Report → |
| Phoenix at Toronto | March 27, 2026 | 63.5% vs 63.5% | Report → |