Alaska Senate margin of victory
Short Answer
Mary Peltola is likely to win the Alaska Senate race by at least 1.5 percentage points, as outstanding Democratic-leaning ballots are expected to significantly increase her lead once ranked-choice tabulation begins on November 18, 2026 (90.9%).
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
The market's largest single-day move, a 39.0 percentage point spike on November 5, was driven by updated election results showing Democrat Mary Peltola in the lead, combined with a New York Times model projection for a +2.9 point margin of victory. This shifted the contract's price from 42.0% to 81.0% as the market priced in a higher probability of a Peltola win exceeding the 0.5 point threshold. The underlying dynamic for the market's volatility is the extremely narrow margin; as of November 5, Peltola led by just 637 votes with an estimated 60,000-75,000 ballots left to count.
Subsequent price action reflected reactions to specific narratives and the lack of a definitive result. A widespread social media story about three candidates named Dan Sullivan on the ballot, dubbed the "Decoy Dan Sullivan" scandal, drove an 11.0 point spike on November 6 on expectations of vote-splitting. Conversely, no specific catalyst has been identified for the 16.0 point drop on November 8. The price then recovered 11.0 points on November 9, a move attributed to general public awareness that the exceptionally close race remained unresolved.
- Mary Peltola is expected to achieve a clear victory, with outstanding Democratic-leaning ballots.
- Ranked-choice tabulation on November 18, 2026, will likely expand her lead.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Peltola, 2+ pts | 81.0% | 81.2% | Outstanding ballots leaning Democratic are expected to build Peltola's lead after November 18, 2026. |
| Mary Peltola, 4+ pts | 45.0% | 50.7% | Evidence suggests outstanding ballots heavily favor Peltola, supporting larger margins of victory. |
| Mary Peltola, 6+ pts | 9.3% | 9.7% | Peltola is expected to expand her lead due to late-counted ballots, impacting large margins. |
| Mary Peltola, 10+ pts | 1.0% | 1.1% | Peltola is expected to expand her lead due to late-counted ballots and ranked-choice tabulation. |
| Mary Peltola, 8+ pts | 9.0% | 9.4% | Peltola is expected to expand her lead due to late-counted ballots, impacting large margins. |
Current Context
Democrat Mary Peltola holds a narrow lead in the Alaska Senate race. As of November 5, 2026, with 74% of votes counted, Peltola leads Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan by 637 votes (102,962 to 102,325) [1][2][3][4]. Approximately 60,000-75,000 ballots remain to be counted [1][2][3][4]. The race will not be decided until at least November 18, 2026, when ranked-choice tabulation begins if neither candidate secures 50% of first-choice votes [5][1][6]. The Division of Elections has scheduled updates for November 10, 13, and 18 [5][1][6]. Voter turnout is 35.7%, with 215,906 ballots counted from 605,433 registered voters; 400 of 403 precincts reported as of November 4, 2026 [3].
Prediction markets and analyses indicate a likely Peltola victory. Kalshi prediction markets price Peltola's overall win probability at 97% [7][8]. Her margin of victory is priced at 3-6% with 63% probability and 0-3% with 30% probability [7][8]. A New York Times analysis suggests Senator Dan Sullivan is unlikely to make significant gains in ranked-choice tabulation, with Peltola expected to build a more substantial lead after roughly 60,000 additional votes are counted [1]. Pollster Ivan Moore of Alaska Survey Research notes that outstanding votes favor Peltola, citing that 'the early vote is much, much, much more Democratic, and the Election Day vote is much more Republican' [5]. Conversely, Sullivan's campaign has circulated a memo projecting a Sullivan victory based on late-counted early votes [5]. An Alaska Survey Research poll from August 20-23, 2026, showed Peltola leading Sullivan 50.6% to 49.4% in the final round of ranked-choice voting, within the 3 percentage point margin of error [9][10].
Unique factors influence this Senate contest's final outcome. The election features four candidates, including two with similar names: Dan S. Sullivan (incumbent R) and Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (R), a dynamic that has added a wildcard element [3][4][11]. President Trump has publicly complained about the race, specifically targeting the second Dan Sullivan and suggesting a "fair solution" would involve transferring votes to the incumbent, which raises concerns about potential certification challenges [5][1]. This Alaska Senate race is one of two remaining too-close-to-call Senate races from the 2026 midterms, alongside Mississippi, though Democrats have already secured control of the Senate by flipping seven seats [2].
Sources (11)
- 1Democrats Clear 250 House Seats in Decisive Power Shiftnytimes.com
- 2Midterm Elections 2026: Live Results, Key Races, and Moretime.com
- 3Election Results Mapelections.alaska.gov
- 4Alaska U.S. Senate Election Resultsnytimes.com
- 56 takeaways from Alaska’s electionalaskapublic.org
- 6What's next for Alaska's unusual US Senate racereuters.com
- 7Alaska Senate election margin of victory Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
- 8Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
- 9Post by @alaskasurvey.bsky.social — Blueskybsky.app
- 10Peltola won primary by 8%, but new poll shows general election race tied with Sen. Sullivanjuneauindependent.com
- 112026 United States Senate election in Alaskaen.wikipedia.org
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
Outcome probability
Date
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Mary Peltola, 2.5+ pts
📉 November 09, 2026: 34.0pp drop
Price decreased from 88.0% to 54.0%
What happened: The primary driver of the 34.0 percentage point drop was the ongoing public awareness of the exceptionally close election results and the confirmation that the race remained unresolved on November 9, 2026. Unofficial counts as of November 4 showed Mary Peltola with a narrow 0.3-point lead, making a "2.5+ pts" margin highly improbable [1]. On November 9, NBC News reiterated that the race was still unresolved and likely heading to ranked-choice tabulation, further cementing the unlikelihood of Peltola achieving a significant margin of victory [2]. Social media was irrelevant to this specific price movement, as no posts from key figures or viral narratives were noted for November 9 or immediately prior that specifically impacted margin expectations.
Outcome: Mary Peltola, 0.5+ pts
📈 November 08, 2026: 85.2pp spike
Price increased from 4.8% to 90.0%
What happened: No searched source explicitly attributes the 85.2 percentage point spike in the Kalshi market for Mary Peltola winning the Alaska Senate election by at least 0.5 points on November 8, 2026, to a single social media post or traditional news catalyst [3]. While Mary Peltola held a narrow 637-vote lead over Dan Sullivan, with outstanding ballots and ranked-choice tabulation scheduled for November 18, market participants likely weighed complex factors like the "other Dan Sullivan" candidate and projected second-choice transfers [4]. There is no evidence linking specific social media activity, such as Donald Trump's documented October 30, 2026, accusations concerning Sullivan, to causing this particular November 8 market movement [3]. Therefore, social media was not a primary driver of this market's significant price increase.
Outcome: Mary Peltola, 3+ pts
📈 November 07, 2026: 83.0pp spike
Price increased from 0.0% to 83.0%
What happened: The "Decoy Dan" scandal was the primary driver of the 83.0 percentage point spike in Mary Peltola's favor on November 7, 2026, serving as a primary social media and news catalyst [5]. The circulating narrative highlighted how a second candidate named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. likely siphoned votes from incumbent Dan S. Sullivan, with data suggesting many of those voters ranked Peltola second under Alaska's ranked-choice system [5][6][7]. This influential social media activity, coinciding with the market movement, provided a clear mechanism for Peltola to extend her lead, a sentiment reinforced by the New York Times election model's 83% chance for Peltola [8][5]. Social media was a primary driver, shaping the perception of the race's outcome.
Outcome: Mary Peltola, 2+ pts
📈 November 06, 2026: 11.0pp spike
Price increased from 75.0% to 86.0%
What happened:
The widespread social media narrative surrounding the 'Decoy Dan Sullivan' scandal, featuring three candidates named Dan Sullivan on the ballot [9][10], was the primary driver for the market spike. This viral story, which generated a "biggest social media day carrying 382K posts" [11], created an expectation among market participants that voter confusion and vote-splitting would ultimately benefit Mary Peltola through ranked-choice tabulation. On November 6, 2026, as initial results revealed Peltola holding a narrow lead [12][13][14], this influential social media narrative likely caused the 11.0 percentage point surge in the "Mary Peltola, 2+ pts" outcome, appearing to lead and coincide with the price move. The New York Times' model later projected Peltola's margin at +2.9 points, accounting for ranked-choice, which solidified these socially-driven expectations [8].
Social media was a primary driver.
📈 November 05, 2026: 39.0pp spike
Price increased from 42.0% to 81.0%
What happened: The primary driver of the 39.0 percentage point price spike for "Mary Peltola, 2+ pts" on November 5, 2026, was the release of updated election results showing Peltola's lead combined with the New York Times model's projection of a +2.9 point margin of victory [15][8]. On November 5, 2026, Peltola led Dan Sullivan by 637 votes with approximately 74% of expected votes counted, and the NYT model estimated an 83% chance of her winning, directly supporting the "2+ pts" outcome [15][8]. While President Trump publicly called on November 5, 2026, for spoiler votes to be awarded to Sullivan [16][3], this social media activity argued against a Peltola victory, making it irrelevant or counter-productive to the observed upward price movement. Therefore, social media was mostly noise or irrelevant to this specific positive price movement.
Sources (16)
- 1Election Results Mapelections.alaska.gov
- 2Alaska U.S. Senate Election 2026 Live Results: Mary Peltola, Dan Sullivan and Morenbcnews.com
- 3Mississippi, Alaska Senate election results: Who is winning? Scott Colom leads Cindy Hyde-Smith, Mary Peltola ahead of Dan Sullivan - The Economic Timesm.economictimes.com
- 4Ranked-choice twist: The other Dan Sullivan and the numbers to win Alaskanewsweek.com
- 5Spoiled Ballots and 'Decoy Dan' Complicate Alaska Senatethelibertytribune.com
- 6In Alaska, 'Decoy Dan' Was A Meme Vote, Not A Confused Voteivn.us
- 7Mary Peltola Takes Lead in Senate Race As 'Decoy Dan' Continues to Rack Up Votestownhall.com
- 8Alaska U.S. Senate Election Resultsnytimes.com
- 9Three Dan Sullivans Run For Alaska Senate Seat | Dissenterdissenter.com
- 10Ex-Mayor Dan Sullivan backs Dan Sullivan to beat Dan Sullivan in bonkers Alaska Senate race | CommsTradercommstrader.com
- 11Alaska US Elections 2026: Sullivan vs. Peltolaquid.com
- 12Election Resultsalaskasnewssource.com
- 13Peltola and Sullivan campaigns project wins while a quarter of ballots are outstandingalaskasnewssource.com
- 14637-vote gap keeps Alaska Senate race un-called | Anchorage Gazetteanchoragegazette.com
- 15Live Alaska Senate election results: Peltola, Sullivan nearly evenusatoday.com
- 16Trump says spoiler candidates’ votes should go to Sullivan as Alaska Senate race hangs on narrow margin - Alaska Storythealaskastory.com
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
Based on the provided page content, the contract rules, resolution triggers (for Yes/No), key dates/deadlines, and special settlement conditions are not explicitly stated. The page describes the market for "Alaska Senate margin of victory" and lists various sub-markets related to Mary Peltola's margin, showing current trading prices for "Yes" and "No" outcomes for specific point thresholds.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Peltola, 1.5+ pts | $0.91 | $0.23 | 91% |
| Mary Peltola, 0.5+ pts | $0.97 | $0.13 | 87% |
| Mary Peltola, 1+ pts | $0.97 | $0.18 | 83% |
| Mary Peltola, 2+ pts | $0.85 | $0.19 | 81% |
| Mary Peltola, 3+ pts | $0.74 | $0.43 | 63% |
| Mary Peltola, 2.5+ pts | $0.85 | $0.43 | 54% |
| Mary Peltola, 5+ pts | $0.37 | $0.93 | 49% |
| Mary Peltola, 4+ pts | $0.47 | $0.55 | 45% |
| Mary Peltola, 4.5+ pts | $0.44 | $0.73 | 29% |
| Mary Peltola, 6+ pts | $0.21 | $0.93 | 9% |
| Mary Peltola, 8+ pts | $0.10 | $1.00 | 9% |
| Mary Peltola, 3.5+ pts | $0.64 | $0.58 | 5% |
| Mary Peltola, 10+ pts | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
Market Discussion
Traders are closely watching Mary Peltola's potential margin of victory in the Alaska Senate race, with 74.1% of votes counted showing her leading by 3.8 percentage points. Despite this lead, market sentiment strongly indicates it is unlikely for her to achieve a margin of 3.5 points or more (4.8% probability), with this prediction seeing a significant drop. While a 4+ point margin holds a moderate 45% chance, the overall market consensus leans against Peltola expanding her current lead much further, likely influenced by Alaska's historical Republican lean.
5. Trust Index
“Mary Peltola, 3.5+ pts” made a sharp jump with almost no trading behind it.
Integrity risk· Thin-volume moves
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score87Strong
Trade quality20% of score57Caution
Includes the cost to trade: a $1,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.
Trust score81Good
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
6. What are the key deadlines and procedural steps in Alaska's vote-counting process from November 5 to final certification?
| Election Certification Target | November 25, 2026 [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Domestic Mail-in Ballot Receipt Deadline | November 13, 2026 [1] |
| Final Regional Ballot Counts Due | November 18, 2026 [1] |
Alaska sets specific deadlines for ballot acceptance post-Election Day. For the November 5, 2026 election, mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day, November 3, 2026, are accepted until November 13 for domestic mail and November 18 for overseas mail [1].
Various key procedures occur after all ballots are received. Following these ballot receipt deadlines, the State Review Board (SRB) concludes its review of election materials, and final regional counts for absentee and questioned ballots are due by November 18, 2026 [1]. If no candidate achieves more than 50% of the vote on the first ballot, ranked choice voting tabulation is conducted after this 15-day ballot receipt period [1][3]. The hand count verification of precincts (HCVP) is scheduled for November 20, 2026 [1].
7. What historical voting patterns support the consensus that late-counted ballots will favor Mary Peltola over Dan Sullivan?
| Peltola's lead (Nov 4, 2026) | 637 votes (48.2% vs 47.9%) [1] |
|---|---|
| Domestic mail ballot return window | 10 days after Election Day [2] |
| RCV tabulation date (2026) | November 18, 2026 [1] |
Historical voting patterns in Alaska indicate late ballots favor Democratic candidates. The consensus that late-counted ballots will benefit Mary Peltola stems from Alaska's consistent trend of late-arriving ballots leaning Democratic [3]. This phenomenon is largely attributed to the state's hard-to-reach rural communities, which predominantly support Democratic candidates [3]. Alaska's vast geography extends the ballot return period, allowing 10 days for domestic mail ballots and 15 days for overseas ballots to arrive after Election Day, necessitating these far-flung ballots to be flown in for counting [2]. FairVote's analysis supports this historical pattern as the primary basis for anticipating a favorable outcome for Peltola from these later counts [3].
Mary Peltola currently holds a narrow lead with many uncounted ballots remaining. As of November 4, 2026, with over 98% of precincts reported, Peltola led Dan Sullivan by 637 votes (48.2% to 47.9%), while thousands of ballots were still outstanding [1]. It is widely expected that Peltola will be ranked first on most of these uncounted ballots, reinforcing the projection that their inclusion will benefit her [1][3][4]. The Ranked Choice Voting (RCV) tabulation for the 2026 race is scheduled for November 18, 2026, following the 15-day ballot acceptance period to ensure all eligible late-arriving ballots are included before final results are determined [1][2]. Although FairVote's initial RCV analysis indicated a narrow lead for Sullivan with only a small gain from ballots counted thus far, a change in leadership is considered probable as more ballots are processed, consistent with the historical trend of late ballots favoring Democrats [3].
8. How do the Peltola and Sullivan campaigns' public projections for the remaining ballots differ in their core assumptions?
| Peltola reported percentage (Nov. 7) | 48.2 percent [1] |
|---|---|
| Sullivan reported percentage (Nov. 7) | 47.9 percent [1] |
| Estimated remaining votes (Nov. 7) | 75,000 [1] |
The provided research does not detail campaign-specific projections for remaining ballots. As of November 7, NBC reported Peltola at 48.2 percent and Sullivan at 47.9 percent, with an estimated 75,000 votes yet to be counted [1]. The New York Times anticipated that a majority of these outstanding ballots, primarily mail-in votes, would likely favor Peltola [2]. However, the Times also noted that potential factors such as undervoting, voter exhaustion, and the presence of two additional candidates could mitigate this advantage [2].
External estimates suggest minor-candidate vote transfers could benefit Sullivan. Newsweek's November 8 estimate indicated that minor-candidate vote transfers would ultimately benefit Sullivan, projecting an approximate 970-vote gain for him over Peltola through this mechanism [3]. This calculation suggested that an initial 637-vote lead for Peltola could reverse, resulting in an estimated 333-vote lead for Sullivan in the final round after ranked-choice transfers [3]. To counteract these projected transfer effects, Peltola would need to secure at least 0.7 percentage points more of the remaining ballots [3]. These figures represent external media analyses and not direct projections or underlying assumptions from the campaigns themselves.
9. What precinct-level data from November 2026 indicates how voters for minor candidates ranked their second choices between Peltola and Sullivan?
| Heikes-first voters ranking Sen. Sullivan second | 52% (from CVR file released November 4, 2026) [1] |
|---|---|
| Heikes-first voters ranking Peltola second | 17% (from CVR file released November 4, 2026) [1] |
| Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.-first voters ranking Peltola second | 42% (from CVR file released November 4, 2026) [1] |
Voters for minor candidates displayed varying second-choice preferences in 2026.
The CVR file, released on November 4, 2026, provides insight into the second-choice rankings of minor candidate voters. Among voters who initially ranked Heikes first and did not bullet vote, 52% chose Senator Sullivan as their second preference, 17% ranked Peltola second, and 19% selected Dan Jr. second [1]. For voters whose primary choice was Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. and who did not bullet vote, the preferences differed, with 42% ranking Peltola second and 24% ranking Senator Sullivan second [1].
The CVR file has limitations and does not specify precinct data.
It is important to acknowledge that this CVR file does not fully represent the overall Alaska electorate, as it omits ballots from more remote regions where Peltola typically garners stronger support [1]. While these findings detail the second-choice preferences among minor candidate voters for Peltola and Sullivan, the available facts do not explicitly state whether this data is available or disaggregated at the precinct level.
10. What legal or procedural challenges could the Sullivan campaign raise before the November 18 ranked-choice tabulation?
| First Ranked-Choice Tabulation | November 18 [1][2][3][4][5] |
|---|---|
| Sullivan Campaign Recount/Contest Filing Status | Not established before November 18 [1][6][7][8] |
| DOJ Lawsuit Appeal Status | Pending (as of November 4) [7] |
The initial ranked-choice tabulation for the election is scheduled for November 18 [1][2][3][4][5]. While recounts or contests are potential procedural avenues, the available reporting does not establish that the Sullivan campaign has filed such actions before this date [1][6][7][8]. Alaska’s official election pamphlet describes a robust ranked-choice voting process that includes paper trails, pre-election testing, and random hand-count verification, with possible full-district hand counts if discrepancies exceed 1% [9].
A pending appeal challenges election certification related to a Department of Justice (DOJ) lawsuit [6][7]. This lawsuit aimed to prevent Alaska from certifying the Senate results if Dan S. Sullivan lost, and to investigate whether votes cast for Daniel J. Sullivan were intended for the incumbent [6]. The district court dismissed the lawsuit, identifying ballot secrecy as its central obstacle, and found no workable plan for segregating ballots and investigating voter intent without exposing how individual voters voted [7]. As of the reported November 4 account, this appeal remained pending [7].
Sources (9)
- 1What's next for Alaska's unusual US Senate racereuters.com
- 2How does ranked-choice voting work in Alaska?wesh.com
- 36 takeaways from Alaska's electionalaskapublic.org
- 4Why the Alaska Senate race could be so slowcnn.com
- 5Fact Sheet: Alaska's 2026 ranked choice voting electionsfairvote.org
- 6Campaigns, attorneys weigh in on Trump's DOJ suit to...adn.com
- 7Candidate at center of DOJ's Alaska lawsuit drew fewer...democracydocket.com
- 8The State of Play in the Alaska and Mississippi Senate Raceselectionlawblog.org
- 9OFFICIAL ELECTION PAMPHLETelections.alaska.gov
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
The Alaska Senate race for 2026 remains undecided. As of November 5, 2026, with 74% of votes counted, Mary Peltola (D) leads Dan S. Sullivan (R) by 637 votes (102,962 vs 102,325) [1][2][3][4][5][6]. No candidate reached 50% of first-choice votes, necessitating a ranked-choice voting tabulation scheduled for November 18, 2026 [1][2][7][6]. Peltola would be the first Alaska Native to serve in the U.S. Senate and the first Democrat to win a Senate race in Alaska since Mark Begich in 2008 [2].
Prediction markets indicate Democrats are priced at 69-76% for Senate control and 91-94% for House control as of late October/early November 2026 [8][7][9]. A Democratic sweep holds a 70% probability, a Democratic House/Republican Senate 24%, and a Republican sweep 6% [8][7][9]. A Democratic sweep would benefit consumer-facing and healthcare names through softened SNAP/Medicaid cuts and potential reversal of healthcare changes [8][10][11]. However, AI-exposed names would face state-level build-out risk, and financials would lose deregulatory upside [8][10][11]. Bank of America's Michael Hartnett warns a Democratic midterm sweep could trigger a more than 10% decline in US stocks, weaken the dollar, lower bond yields, and burst the AI bubble, identifying it as a major underpriced market tail risk [11].
Conversely, a Republican sweep would support AI-exposed stocks, financials, defense, and nuclear names through a pro-AI, deregulatory agenda [8][10][11]. A Republican hold on both chambers would reignite risk appetite and the AI narrative [11]. Citi strategist Alex Saunders notes that divided government typically implies greater difficulty in advancing new policies, lowering market expectations for large-scale fiscal spending, thus US Treasury yields tend to trend lower and bond prices rise [10][12]. The 10-year US Treasury yield often shows a declining trend under divided government circumstances [10][12].
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: November 03, 2027
- Closes: November 03, 2027
Sources (12)
- 12026 United States Senate election in Alaskaen.wikipedia.org
- 2Sullivan and Peltola locked in tight U.S. Senate race as more results come inalaskapublic.org
- 3Alaska U.S. Senate Election Resultsnytimes.com
- 4Alaska U.S. Senate Election 2026 Live Results: Mary Peltola, Dan Sullivan and Morenbcnews.com
- 5Election Results Mapelections.alaska.gov
- 6Alaska Senate Election Results 2026electiondayresults.org
- 7Midterm results 2026: when races will be called, and what Kalshi and Polymarket say 10 days outpredictdesks.com
- 8US Midterms 2026: Newsquawk Midterm Preview for Marketsnewsquawk.com
- 9Democrats Now 60% Senate, 90% House Favorites on Prediction Markets — Biggest Shift Since 2024 | Prediction Markets Worldpredictionmarketsworld.com
- 10How Will the US Midterm Elections Stir the Market? Citi Presents a Roadmap for 50 and 30 Days Before the Election | HTX Insightshtx.com
- 11Bank of America's Hartnett: "Democratic Midterm Sweep" Would Crash U.S. Stocks, Puncture AI Bubble | Perceções da HTXhtx.com
- 12How Will the US Midterm Elections Stir the Market? Citi Presents a Roadmap for 50 and 30 Days Before the Election | HTX Insightshtx.com
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXMIDTERMMOV-FL13D-P8: NO (Nov 06, 2026)
- KXMIDTERMMOV-IASENR-P2.5: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
- KXMIDTERMMOV-IASENR-P1.5: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
- KXMIDTERMMOV-IASENR-P0.5: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
- KXMIDTERMMOV-KSSENR-P2.5: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
