Nebius Group
Market Model 3.6% 1.2%
Perplexity AI
Market Model 14.0% 6.3%
Big Tech Markets
Active Markets (7)
OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket
June 30, 2026
Market Model 0.0% 5.5%
December 31, 2026
Market Model 14.0% 5.5%
↑$3.0T
Market Model 16.0% 8.0%
↑$2.0T
Market Model 39.0% 29.2%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 84.0% 87.2%
AI bubble burst by...? Polymarket
December 31, 2026
Market Model 15.8% 7.9%
March 31, 2026
Market Model 0.0% 7.9%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Polymarket
Anthropic
Market Model 8.1% 1.9%
Kraken
Market Model 0.1% 0.0%
IPOs before 2027? Polymarket
SpaceX
Market Model 100.0% 100.0%
Ledger
Market Model 9.0% 3.6%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Top outcome: Nebius Group | 3.6% | 1.2% | Med | 58 | Refresh |
| OpenAI IPO by...? Top outcome: June 30, 2026 | 0.0% | 5.5% | Med | 59 | Refresh |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Top outcome: ↑$3.0T | 16.0% | 8.0% | Med | 63 | Refresh |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Yes refers to: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 84.0% | 87.2% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| AI bubble burst by...? Top outcome: December 31, 2026 | 15.8% | 7.9% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Top outcome: Anthropic | 8.1% | 1.9% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| IPOs before 2027? Top outcome: SpaceX | 100.0% | 100.0% | Med | 58 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (3)
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — |
