Finance Markets

Active Markets (8)

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Polymarket

Anthropic

Market Model 41.7% 35.4%

SpaceX

Market Model 54.0% 63.4%

$6.7M Refresh

Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Polymarket

Nebius Group

Market Model 3.6% 1.2%

Perplexity AI

Market Model 14.0% 6.3%

$18.2M Refresh

OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket

June 30, 2026

Market Model 0.0% 5.5%

December 31, 2026

Market Model 14.0% 5.5%

$2.9M Refresh

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Polymarket

↑$3.0T

Market Model 16.0% 8.0%

↑$2.0T

Market Model 39.0% 29.2%

$2.9M Refresh

Will GameStop acquire eBay? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model 12.0% 12.9%

$2.4M Refresh

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket

Yes

Market Model 84.0% 87.2%

$2.0M Refresh

AI bubble burst by...? Polymarket

December 31, 2026

Market Model 15.8% 7.9%

March 31, 2026

Market Model 0.0% 7.9%

$2.9M Refresh

IPOs before 2027? Polymarket

SpaceX

Market Model 100.0% 100.0%

Ledger

Market Model 9.0% 3.6%

$6.9M Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Top outcome: Anthropic	41.7%	35.4%	High	57	Refresh
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Top outcome: Nebius Group	3.6%	1.2%	Med	54	Refresh
OpenAI IPO by...? Top outcome: June 30, 2026	0.0%	5.5%	Med	56	Refresh
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Top outcome: ↑$3.0T	16.0%	8.0%	Med	56	Refresh
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes refers to: Yes	12.0%	12.9%	Med	57	Refresh
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Yes refers to: No IPO by December 31, 2026	84.0%	87.2%	High	57	Refresh
AI bubble burst by...? Top outcome: December 31, 2026	15.8%	7.9%	High	55	Refresh
IPOs before 2027? Top outcome: SpaceX	100.0%	100.0%	Med	56	Refresh

Expired Markets (27)

Will Dycom Industries (DY) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$493

Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$200

Will BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$218

Will Box (BOX) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$275

Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$452

Will Deere & Co (DE) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$491

Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$500

Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$559

Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$631

Will Estee Lauder Companies (EL) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$1.1K

Will Viking Holdings (VIK) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$1.5K

Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$1.3K

Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$1.6K

Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$1.8K

Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$1.8K

Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$1.9K

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center Revenue be above __? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$2.5K

Will Stubhub Holdings (STUB) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$2.8K

Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$3.4K

Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$3.6K

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above __? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$4.8K

Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$5.1K

Will Virgin Galactic Hldgs (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$5.5K

Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth __? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$6.3K

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$4.7K

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$3.3M

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$17.8M

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
Will Dycom Industries (DY) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Box (BOX) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Deere & Co (DE) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Estee Lauder Companies (EL) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Viking Holdings (VIK) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?	—	—	High	—
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center Revenue be above __?	—	—	High	—
Will Stubhub Holdings (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above __?	—	—	High	—
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Will Virgin Galactic Hldgs (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?	—	—	Med	—
Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth __?	—	—	High	—
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?	—	—	High	—
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?	—	—	Med	—
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?	—	—	Med	—

Finance Markets

Active Markets (8)

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