Short Answer

Poliwave projects Democrats to retain the Colorado House with a 47-18 seat majority, reflecting the chamber's structural lean and their current 43 of 65 seats. The market prices a Democratic win at 98.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

The market's primary movement, a sharp re-pricing from 9.0% to 98.0% around October 9-10, 2026, does not correspond to any reported political development. This shift occurred nearly a month before the scheduled November 3 election date. The provided context explicitly notes that no news, official announcement, or social media activity declared a Democratic victory at that time. The jump appears disconnected from fundamental election drivers and may reflect non-news-based market dynamics.
The contract's sustained high price of 98.0% is consistent with the underlying political situation in Colorado. Democrats entered the election cycle with a significant 43-to-22 seat advantage in the State House. The central issue for the election, as reported, was whether Democrats would regain a 44-seat supermajority, not whether they would retain their existing simple majority. This political baseline supports the market's assessment of a Democratic hold as a high-probability outcome.
  • Poliwave projects Democrats to retain the Colorado House, 47 seats to 18.
  • Democrats hold 43 of 65 seats, and the House leans structurally Democratic.
  • While Republicans gained seats in 2024, the Democratic majority appears a clear baseline.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Democratic party 98.0% 97.8% Poliwave projects Democrats to retain the Colorado House due to their current majority and structural advantage.
Republican party 3.0% 2.2% Republicans gained three seats in 2024, demonstrating their capacity to compete and win districts.

Current Context

Democrats are favored to retain control of the Colorado State House. The Colorado State House elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026 [1][2]. Democrats currently hold 43 of 65 seats, compared to 22 for Republicans; 44 seats are required for a supermajority [2][3]. The central strategic question for this cycle is whether Democrats regain supermajority status, following Republican gains of three seats in 2024 [2][3]. Poliwave projects Democrats to retain the House, winning 47 seats to 18, establishing a Democratic majority as the baseline outcome [3]. The model identifies 13 districts within 12 points and forecasts four projected party changes, though it does not account for candidate-specific effects or primary outcomes [3]. Expert and organizational assessments, including those from Brownstein, characterize the cycle as competitive but structurally favorable to Democrats, with the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee targeting eight House districts [2][4]. Republicans identify Colorado as one of their priority states to defend [2][4].
Specific district races and federal markets show varied dynamics. The Colorado Springs area includes an especially notable open-seat contest in HD-17 [5]. Democrat Stephanie Vigil is attempting a comeback against Republican Jill Haffley in a district where Rebecca Keltie won by only three votes in 2024 and is not seeking re-election [5]. It is important to distinguish state House races from federal battlegrounds, such as U.S. House District 8 [6][7][8]. A McLaughlin & Associates poll conducted September 16-17 showed Gabe Evans at 48.0% against Manny Rutinel at 46.3%, with 5.7% undecided in CO-08 [8]. However, prediction market summaries from October 6-8 priced Rutinel at 85-86% and Evans at 15-16% [6][7]. This significant gap between polling and market prices indicates the race remains genuinely uncertain despite the market's favorite [6][7][8]. Federal prediction market snapshots also show strongly Democratic expectations in other Colorado districts: Melat Kiros around 98% in CO-01, Jason Crow about 98% in CO-06, and Brittany Pettersen about 98% in CO-07 [9][10][11]. These federal House markets should not be confused with the 65-seat state House forecast [9][10][11].
Democratic control appears likely, supermajority status less certain. The most probable outcome is that Democrats will win control of the Colorado State House, likely securing seats in the mid-to-high 40s [1][2][3]. The more uncertain outcome is whether they reach the 44-seat supermajority threshold, which requires a net gain of at least one seat from the current 43-22 Democratic advantage [1][2][3]. No election winner has been officially determined as of October 10, 2026, as the general election is still in the future [1][2][3]. Prediction-market prices and forecasts represent probabilities, not final results [1][2][3].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  2. 2Supermajority control at stake in Colorado House of Representatives elections - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  3. 3Colorado House of Representatives Forecast 2026: Seats, Map and Ratings | Poliwavepoliwave.com
  4. 4Colorado’s 2026 General Election Landscape | Brownsteinbhfs.com
  5. 5STATE LEGISLATIVE DEEP DIVEimg1.wsimg.com
  6. 62026 Colorado House Election: Polls & Odds | Prediction Edgepredictionedge.com
  7. 7CO-08 House Odds: Rutinel 85% vs Evans — Kalshi Livepredictionmarketspicks.com
  8. 8Colorado CD #8data.ddhq.io
  9. 92026 Colorado House Election: Polls & Odds | Prediction Edgepredictionedge.com
  10. 10Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Colorado's 6th District? - Manifold Markets Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  11. 112026 Colorado House Election: Polls & Odds | Prediction Edgepredictionedge.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

📈 October 09, 2026: 63.0pp spike

Price increased from 9.0% to 72.0%

Outcome: Democratic party

What happened: The premise of a "Colorado State House winner" on October 9, 2026, is inconsistent with election scheduling, as the general election was set for November 3, 2026 [1][2]. No news, official announcements, or social media activity on that date declared a Democratic party victory in a Colorado State House race [3][4][5][6][7][8]. The 63.0 percentage point spike appears to refer to a prediction market tracking the 2026 generic congressional ballot, suggesting the movement is likely misattributed to the Colorado State House market [9]. Therefore, social media was irrelevant, as the market movement as described for the Colorado State House winner is not supported by the available information.
Sources (9)
  1. 1Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  2. 22026 General Election Official Candidate Listsos.state.co.us
  3. 3CO VOTE 2026: Incumbent Dem Eliza Hamrick faces two challengers for District 61 seat - Sentinel Coloradosentinelcolorado.com
  4. 4CO VOTE 2026: Dem Naquetta Ricks faces GOP Clinton Porter for House District 40 - Sentinel Coloradosentinelcolorado.com
  5. 5CO VOTE 2026: Dem Rep. Chad Clifford seeks reelection against GOP Jill Thompson - Sentinel Coloradosentinelcolorado.com
  6. 6CO VOTE 2026: Rep. Michael Carter faces GOP and Libertarian challengers in District 36 - Sentinel Coloradosentinelcolorado.com
  7. 7News Release - Colorado Secretary of Statesos.state.co.us
  8. 8News Release - Colorado Secretary of Statesos.state.co.us
  9. 9Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, tim… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves YES if the Democratic party wins the Colorado State House election. Conversely, it resolves NO if the Democratic party does not win the Colorado State House election. Trading begins on November 3, 2024, at 8:00 AM EST, with a maximum payout date of November 3, 2027. No special settlement conditions are detailed in the provided content.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
Democratic party $0.98 $0.03 98%
Republican party $0.03 $0.98 3%

Market Discussion

As of October 10, 2026, prediction-market consensus strongly favors Democrats to retain the Colorado State House, with data pricing the Democratic Party at 97%–98% [1][2]. A separate forecast projects Democrats holding the 65-seat House by approximately 47–18, well above the 33-seat majority threshold [3]. It is important to note that these are predictions for the upcoming 2026 election, not election results [4][1].

Sources (4)
  1. 1Colorado State House winner? - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2More politics betting odds | Parlay the Peopleparlaythepeople.com
  3. 3Colorado House of Representatives Forecast 2026: Seats, Map and Ratings | Poliwavepoliwave.com
  4. 4Colorado state legislative election results, 2026ballotpedia.org

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 81 Good

Primary risk· Trade quality

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score92Strong
Trade quality20% of score38High Risk

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses under 1% of the price to slippage.

Trust score81Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
88Strong

Outcome is hard to influence

Large tradesTrade signals · medium confidence

Largest single print on KXSTATELEG-COHOUS26-D carried 38% of its $3,188 tape (print is 13d old)

Screened clean
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
95Strong

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
29Very thin

Hard to fill near the screen price

2 contracts · worst first

Republican party29
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Democratic party—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
82Confirmed

Moves came with real volume

2 contracts · worst first

Republican party82
Confirmed · medium confidence

Volume confirms the move over 3d

Democratic party—
No trading in 7d

No trades in the last 7d — nothing to confirm

Rule clarity
100Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

2 contracts · worst first

Democratic party100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Republican party100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Trade quality
38High Risk

Thin market — entering or exiting at fair value will be difficult.

Outcome quality 29 (notional-weighted)

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 98.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 98.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 98.5c contract)

Democratic party–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity100
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
No trading in 7d

No trades in the last 7d — nothing to confirm

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Republican party29Market scoreLiquidity29Move quality82Rule clarity100
Why 29
Liquidity
29 · Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
82 · Confirmed · medium confidence

Volume confirms the move over 3d

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 23, 2026

6. What do the 2024 election results, where Republicans gained three State House seats, reveal about party vulnerabilities and strengths heading into the 2026 cycle?

Republican seat gains (2024)3 seats [1][2]
2024 Democratic advantage43-22 [1][2]
2026 Democratic control probabilityapproximately 98% [3]
Democrats lost their supermajority in the 2024 State House elections. In the 2024 Colorado House of Representatives elections, Republicans gained three seats, effectively ending the Democratic supermajority and reducing their advantage to 43-22. This outcome highlighted specific vulnerabilities for Democrats while demonstrating Republican strengths [1][2]. Looking ahead to the 2026 cycle, current prediction markets favor Democrats to retain control of the State House with approximately a 98% probability [3].
Republican gains stemmed from strategic fundraising and targeting. The Republican successes in 2024 were attributed to strategic efforts, including effective fundraising led by Minority Leader Rose Pugliese and the successful targeting of specific districts [2][4]. These achievements are informing the Republican State Leadership Committee's strategy for 2026, which focuses on sustaining their advantages and expanding their control in competitive districts [5].
Democrats are strategizing to defend seats and regain ground. Conversely, the loss of the supermajority in 2024 indicates Democratic vulnerabilities in certain areas [1]. In response, the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee has identified eight House seats for the 2026 elections, comprising four seats currently held by Democrats and four by Republicans, signaling a clear strategy to defend their current positions and potentially regain lost ground [5].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Democrats lose Colorado House supermajoritycoloradosun.com
  2. 2Colorado Democrats lose supermajority in State Housecpr.org
  3. 3More politics betting odds | Parlay the Peopleparlaythepeople.com
  4. 42024 Colorado House of Representatives electionen.wikipedia.org
  5. 5Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2026ballotpedia.org

7. How could the outcomes in key battleground districts, such as the HD-17 open-seat race, act as a catalyst for Democrats to regain a supermajority by November 2026?

Current Democratic Seats42 seats (October 2026) [1][2][3]
Supermajority Threshold44 seats [1][2][3]
Probability of Democratic Victory98% [4]
Democrats target a two-seat gain for Colorado House supermajority. As of October 2026, Democrats hold 42 seats in the Colorado House, requiring 44 seats to achieve a supermajority [1][2][3]. This means Democrats need to gain a net total of two additional seats in the November 2026 elections to reach the supermajority threshold [3].
Battleground districts, like HD-16, are vital for achieving this goal. Outcomes in key battleground districts are crucial for Democrats to regain a supermajority [1][3]. For instance, HD-16 is a critical district where former Rep. Stephanie Vigil is campaigning to reclaim a seat previously lost by a narrow margin in 2024 [1][3]. Prediction markets strongly indicate that the Democratic party is highly likely to retain control of the Colorado House, with current data showing a 98% probability of a Democratic victory [4].
A supermajority would grant significant legislative powers to Democrats. Achieving this threshold would empower the Democratic caucus to refer constitutional amendments to the ballot and override gubernatorial vetoes through party-line votes [3]. The provided research, however, does not specifically detail how the outcomes in the HD-17 open-seat race could act as a catalyst for these goals.
Sources (4)
  1. 1Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  2. 2Supermajority control at stake in Colorado House of...news.ballotpedia.org
  3. 3Democratic group maps out path to Colorado House and...coloradopolitics.com
  4. 4More politics betting odds | Parlay the Peopleparlaythepeople.com

8. How do the 2026 campaign strategies and resource allocations of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee (DLCC) and their Republican counterparts compare in Colorado?

DLCC 2026 Fundraising Goal$50 million (DLCC) [1][2]
Colorado House Majority (2024)43–22 (Democrats) [3]
Seats for House Supermajority44 [3]
For Colorado's 2026 elections, the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee (DLCC) aims to secure supermajorities in both legislative chambers, specifically targeting House districts for defense and flips [4][5][3][1][6]. Conversely, the Republican State Leadership Committee (RSLC) is primarily engaged in defensive operations, working to maintain Republican gains and prevent Democrats from achieving supermajority thresholds [4][5][3][1][6]. This contest is marked by a significant national resource imbalance favoring Democrats, with the DLCC setting an unprecedented $50 million fundraising goal for 2026, a challenge the RSLC acknowledges it must counter through strategic prioritization [1][2].
The DLCC's strategy in Colorado is framed as an expansion opportunity, with the goal of regaining a House supermajority and establishing a Senate supermajority [4][6]. Democrats started with a 43–22 House majority in 2024, needing 44 seats for a supermajority, enabling them to invest in both defensive and expansion efforts [3][4][6]. While structural conditions for 2026 generally favor Democrats, factors such as fiscal constraints, affordability concerns, leadership changes, open seats, and intraparty divisions introduce volatility that could impact candidate quality and voter turnout [3][7][8].
In contrast, the RSLC's approach is more defensive and narrowly focused, aiming to protect its 22 House seats and block Democratic supermajority attempts, while also seeking selective pickups within the predominantly blue state [6]. Their stated strategy includes early financial investment, safeguarding vulnerable incumbents, implementing targeted absentee and early-vote programs, engaging in localized voter contact through Project Doorstrike, and disciplined allocation of resources to competitive districts [6]. This creates an asymmetric contest, where the DLCC pursues an expansive agenda against the RSLC's more focused defensive and opportunistic strategy [6].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Announces state legislative targets for 2026 - State Affairs Propro.stateaffairs.com
  2. 2Democrats Make a Fresh Push to Win State Legislaturesnytimes.com
  3. 3Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  4. 4The DLCC Target Map 2026dlcc.org
  5. 5DLCC and RSLC targeting 30 of the same chambers in 2026...news.ballotpedia.org
  6. 6Colorado voters to decide whether there will be a Democratic...news.ballotpedia.org
  7. 7The 6 biggest themes of Colorado's 2026 legislative sessioncoloradosun.com
  8. 82026 Colorado Legislative Session Preview | Brownsteinbhfs.com

9. What public, district-level polling data is available for the most competitive Colorado House districts for the post-primary 2026 election season?

Public District-Level PollsNone found for competitive Colorado state House districts [1][2]
Colorado House General Election DateNovember 3, 2026 [3]
PoliWave Forecast for HD58R 50.9%-49.1% (R +1.7, Toss-up) [1]
Public polling data for competitive Colorado House districts is currently unavailable. Research indicates that no publicly reported, conventional district-level post-primary horse-race polls were found for the most competitive Colorado state House districts [1][2]. The primary quantitative substitute available is a model forecast, which is supplemented by qualitative race reporting, prior-election margins, candidate information, and official campaign-finance data [1][2]. As of October 10, 2026, Colorado House Districts 16, 19, 50, and 51 are identified as particularly competitive, with HD16 notably one of the state's most closely watched races after a four-vote margin in the 2024 cycle [4][2]. Forecasts project HD58 as R 50.9%-49.1% (R +1.7, Toss-up), HD51 as D 51.1%-48.9% (D +2.2, Lean D), HD50 as D 52.6%-47.4% (D +5.3, Lean D), HD19 as D 53.6%-46.4% (D +7.3, Likely D), and HD16 as D 53.7%-46.3% (D +7.5, Likely D) [1]. The Colorado House general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026 [3].
Detailed race reporting exists, but lacks specific district-level horse-race poll results. While candidate matchups and competitiveness context are available for districts such as HD16, HD13, and HD44, these reports do not include district horse-race poll results [4][5][6]. Most publicly available polling for Colorado in 2026 concerns congressional districts rather than state House races [7][8][9][10].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Colorado House of Representatives Forecast 2026poliwave.com
  2. 2Three districts that will answer key Colorado political questions | Paula Noonan - Colorado Politicscoloradopolitics.com
  3. 3Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2026ballotpedia.org
  4. 4House District 16 | 4-way contest in closely-watched racecoloradopolitics.com
  5. 5House District 13 | Consuelo Redhorse versus Miguel Martinezcoloradopolitics.com
  6. 6House District 44: Anthony Hartsook versus Rick Bownesscoloradopolitics.com
  7. 7Gabe Evans and Manny Rutinel are tied, poll shows - The Colorado Suncoloradosun.com
  8. 8Voters in Colorado Springs’ congressional district may elect a Democrat for the first time, poll shows - The Colorado Suncoloradosun.com
  9. 9Trump is very unpopular among Latinos in Colorado's tossup district The Colorado Suncoloradosun.com
  10. 10National Democrats see a path toward winning all 8 of Colorado’s congressional districts in 2026 - The Colorado Suncoloradosun.com

10. How might voter turnout in competitive federal races, like the U.S. House District 8 contest, influence down-ballot results for the Colorado State House in November 2026?

US House District 8 RematchEvans (R) vs. Rutinel (D) in 2026 [1][2]
Unaffiliated Voter Participation (2026 CO Primary)Nearly 40% of all ballots cast [3][4]
Colorado State House MajorityDemocrats hold a 43-22 majority [5][2]
The competitive U.S. House District 8 rematch anticipates high voter engagement. The 2026 contest between Republican Gabe Evans and Democrat Manny Rutinel is expected to significantly contribute to overall voter participation [1][2]. This aligns with the record turnout observed in Colorado's 2026 primary election, where unaffiliated voters cast nearly 40% of all ballots, indicating strong engagement leading into the general election [3][4].
Top-of-ticket races show variable impact on down-ballot results. Academic research and local dynamics suggest that the direct influence of federal races on state legislative outcomes can be inconsistent, often due to voter roll-off [5][2][6][7]. Instead, competitive state legislative contests frequently depend more on specific local turnout factors than on broader federal race effects [5][2]. Currently, Colorado Democrats hold a substantial 43-22 majority in the State House, with the majority of these seats generally considered safe [5][2].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Colorado's 8th Congressional District - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  2. 22026 Colorado Primary Live Results - 270toWin.com270towin.com
  3. 3Turnout surges and winning margins stretch as final returns...coloradopolitics.com
  4. 4Live coverage: 2026 Colorado primary electioncoloradonewsline.com
  5. 5Key state House races in Colorado: Sean Camacho, Iris...coloradopolitics.com
  6. 6Don't Forget the Down-Ballotlevin-center.org
  7. 7A drag on the ticket? Estimating top‐of‐the‐ticket effects on...onlinelibrary.wiley.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

As of October 10, 2026, prediction markets assign a 90%–93% probability for Democrats to win the U.S. House, with Democratic Senate control priced at 63%–66% [1][2][3][4][5]. The Senate and chamber-control scenarios represent the primary national uncertainty [1][2][3][4][5]. Bullish catalysts for Democratic election positions include confirming evidence from competitive Senate races, particularly Texas, alongside favorable early-vote data and new polling [2][3][4]. Conversely, Republican overperformance in Texas or other swing states, adverse late polling, and a Republican Senate hold would be bearish catalysts [2][3][4]. With 24 days until the November 3 general election, late-October polling, early-ballot data, ad reservations, and Election Day results are the principal repricing windows [6][1][2][3]. Early voting began in some states as of October 7 [1][2][3].
For financial markets, a Democratic U.S. House win is largely priced in [1][4][5]. An unexpected Republican hold or a divided-government outcome could therefore create a larger immediate repricing [1][4][5]. Conversely, a Democratic sweep could pressure expectations for Trump-era deregulation and benefit the healthcare, renewable energy, and generic-drug sectors [1][4][5].
The Colorado House election, also on November 3, 2026, contests all 65 state House seats [6][7]. Democrats currently hold 43 seats to Republicans' 22, with Speaker Julie McCluskie (D) term-limited [6][7]. While the chamber structurally leans Democratic, 15 open seats (23% of the chamber) introduce district-level volatility [8][6][7]. However, as of October 10, 2026, definitive statewide House winners cannot be established due to inconsistent vote totals displayed on some third-party race pages [9][10][11][12]. Official results should be monitored through the Colorado Secretary of State results archive [9].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: November 03, 2027
  • Closes: November 03, 2027
Sources (12)
  1. 12026 Midterm Prediction Markets: 5 things traders are telling usipredicta.co
  2. 2Midterms 28 Days: Democrats at 91¢ House, 64¢ Senate on Kalshipredictionauthority.com
  3. 3House, Senate odds swing toward Democrats as midterms nearnextpredict.io
  4. 42026 US Midterm Elections: The Battle for Congress and What's at Stake for Financial Markets | Pepperstonepepperstone.com
  5. 5KGI CIO Insightskgi.com.hk
  6. 62026 Colorado House of Representatives electionen.wikipedia.org
  7. 7Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  8. 8Colorado state legislative election results, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  9. 9Election Results & Datasos.state.co.us
  10. 102026 Colorado State House 46 General Election Results | DDHQintegration-votes.decisiondeskhq.com
  11. 11Colorado House Districts - 11/03/2026 Electiontracer.sos.colorado.gov
  12. 122026 Colorado State House 26 General Election Vote History | DDHQcanary-votes.decisiondeskhq.com

13. Related News

+52.0pp
Last updated: October 10, 2026, 12:45 UTC

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