Yes
Market Model 6.0% 6.0%
Politics Markets
Active Markets (3)
Satoshi's identity be proven by...? Polymarket
June 30
Market Model 0.0% 2.3%
December 31
Market Model 3.4% 2.3%
Yes
Market Model 17.0% 12.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 6.0% | 6.0% | Med | 65 | Refresh |
| Satoshi's identity be proven by...? Top outcome: June 30 | 0.0% | 2.3% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 17.0% | 12.1% | Med | 66 | Refresh |
