Short Answer

Both the model and the market expect December 31, with no compelling evidence of mispricing.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This market has traded in a sideways channel since its inception, with a slight downward drift. The contract opened with an implied probability of 13.5% and has since moved within a 600-basis-point range, between a high of 13.5% and a low of 7.5%. The current price of 9.5% is near the lower end of this range. Key levels appear to be the initial 13.5% high acting as resistance and the 7.5% low as support. The gradual price decay from 13.5% on July 21 to 9.5% by August 4 reflects a steady erosion of perceived probability, consistent with reports from that period confirming the US does not possess Iran's enriched uranium.
The most significant feature of this market is the complete absence of trading volume. With zero contracts traded, the price action represents indicative quotes or market maker adjustments rather than price discovery through actual transactions. This lack of participation signals an extremely low level of conviction from traders. No capital has been committed to either side of the proposition, suggesting the market is either illiquid or traders see the current low probabilities as fair value, offering no compelling risk/reward.
The combination of a low implied probability and zero volume indicates a strong consensus of skepticism. The market sentiment is that a US acquisition of Iranian enriched uranium by the resolution date is highly unlikely. However, this view is held passively. The price reflects the baseline geopolitical reality that such a transfer is a major diplomatic hurdle, while the absence of volume shows no one is willing to speculate on a low-probability, high-impact event materializing.
  • U.S. obtaining enriched uranium is highly improbable due to Iran's explicit prohibition.
  • Recovering buried enriched uranium faces low feasibility given severe technical hazards.
  • Resolution by August 31 faces extremely limited time amid denied U.S.-Iran negotiations.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
December 31 4.0% 4.5% Iran prohibits transfer, technical challenges are significant, and a diplomatic impasse persists.

Current Context

The United States does not currently possess Iran's enriched uranium stockpile. As of August 4, 2026, there is no evidence the US obtains or imports enriched uranium from Iran [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8]. An estimated 440 kg of 60% enriched material remains within Iran, primarily buried underground at facilities like Isfahan, following joint US-Israel airstrikes in June 2025 [1][9][3][6][7][8]. In March 2026, Iran's Foreign Minister stated the enriched uranium lies under the rubble of these facilities, with no plan for its recovery [6][7][8]. Both the US and Iranian governments confirmed in 2026 that Iran has not resumed uranium enrichment since the 2025 military strikes [6][7][10][8].
Transfer of the uranium remains a key, unresolved negotiation point. The disposal or transfer of this stockpile is a major sticking point in ongoing negotiations to end the US-Iran war [1][2][3][4]. The Trump administration has explored options including a military ground operation to seize or destroy the material, or a negotiated transfer to the US or a third party [1][9][11]. However, Iranian leadership has consistently rejected proposals to send the uranium abroad, even issuing directives prohibiting its removal [1][9][11][5]. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has also pressed President Trump to monitor Iran's nuclear program and seeks its complete elimination [12][13].
Diplomatic efforts regarding the uranium remain highly volatile. As of early August 2026, the US expressed optimism about potential progress, but Iranian officials denied active negotiations on a broader nuclear deal [14][15][16][4]. Iran's focus appears to be on limited discussions with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz [14][16][17][18].
Sources (18)
  1. 1Can the US seize Iran’s enriched uranium – and what are the risks? | US-Israel war on Iran News | Al Jazeeraaljazeera.com
  2. 2Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile: Can it be safely transferred? | US-Israel war on Iran News | Al Jazeeraaljazeera.com
  3. 3Iran’s nuclear stockpile — a key part of negotiations to end the war and a focus of Trump’s — explained - KTVZktvz.com
  4. 4NYT: US to demand Iran transfer enriched uranium stockpilecaliber.az
  5. 5'Enriched uranium not going to be transferred anywhere', Iran says - TRT Worldtrtworld.com
  6. 6Iran and Nuclear Weapons Productioncongress.gov
  7. 7Iran and Nuclear Weapons Productioncongress.gov
  8. 8U.S. Military Operations Against Iran’s Missile and Nuclear Programscongress.gov
  9. 9Capturing Iran’s highly enriched uranium would require a large US ground force, sources say | CNN Politicscnn.com
  10. 10U.S. Strikes on Nuclear Sites in Irancongress.gov
  11. 11Trump says Iran's enriched uranium will be given to US 'immediately' or destroyed elsewhere - TRT Worldtrtworld.com
  12. 12US Launches New Strikes on Iran as Hormuz Traffic Slumps | Bloomberg Businessweekyoutube.com
  13. 13US & Iran Hold Fire For Now, Three Shot Dead In Seattle | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Editionyoutube.com
  14. 14Status of US-Iran talks uncertain as ship struck in Hormuz - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012al-monitor.com
  15. 15Live updates: Trump calls off Iran strikes, warns of ‘last chance’ to sign a deal | CNNcnn.com
  16. 16Trump says talks with Iran under way but Tehran denies any planned - Nikkei Asiaasia.nikkei.com
  17. 17US-Iran Talks Continue; SK Hynix's US Debut | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Editionyoutube.com
  18. 18Iran Says Hormuz Talks Underway, Stocks Rise as Oil Plunge | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Editionyoutube.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

📉 July 29, 2026: 46.0pp drop

Price decreased from 49.0% to 3.0%

Outcome: August 31

What happened: The primary driver for the 46.0 percentage point drop on July 29, 2026, was likely the evident lack of significant progress in diplomatic efforts for the U.S. to obtain Iran's enriched uranium by the August 31 deadline. As of early August 2026, the U.S. had not obtained the enriched uranium, and ongoing negotiations were primarily focused on establishing a ceasefire and reopening the Strait of Hormuz [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]. This shift in diplomatic priorities, combined with Iran's earlier March 2026 statement that it had "no plan" to recover its uranium from damaged facilities, diminished the market's confidence in an imminent transfer [6][7]. Social media activity was not identified as a primary or contributing driver from the available sources.
Sources (7)
  1. 1NYT: US to demand Iran transfer enriched uranium stockpilecaliber.az
  2. 2Officials report progress on a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz | AP Newsapnews.com
  3. 3Can Pakistan keep US-Iran diplomacy alive as mistrust deepens? | US-Israel war on Iran News | Al Jazeeraaljazeera.com
  4. 4Qatar says progress made toward US-Iran talks - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012al-monitor.com
  5. 5Live updates: Trump calls off Iran strikes, warns of ‘last chance’ to sign a deal | CNNcnn.com
  6. 6Iran and Nuclear Weapons Production | Congress.gov | Library of Congresscongress.gov
  7. 7Iran and Nuclear Weapons Productioncongress.gov

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

For a Kalshi prediction market, a "Yes" resolution occurs if the US government or military officially announces or confirms physical possession of any quantity of Iranian enriched uranium, or if a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates such possession. Otherwise, the market resolves to "No."

Multiple markets exist, each resolving by 11:59 PM ET on specific dates in 2026: April 30, May 31, June 30, July 31, August 31, September 30, or December 31.

"Possession" means actual physical custody or control; mere announcements of future acquisition plans do not qualify. While primary resolution sources are official US government announcements, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
December 31 $0.05 $0.96 4%

Market Discussion

As of early August 2026, the United States has not obtained Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, despite a June 17, 2026, memorandum of understanding (MOU) outlining negotiations for its disposition [1]. While the MOU suggests "downblending on site," the U.S. continues to press for the stockpile's transfer out of Iran, which Iran resists, with reports also indicating much of the uranium may be inaccessible under rubble from June 2025 U.S. strikes [1].

Sources (1)
  1. 1NYT: US to demand Iran transfer enriched uranium stockpilecaliber.az

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Polymarket 54 Caution

Order book is critically thin.

Primary risk· Trade quality

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score58Caution
Trade quality20% of score38High Risk

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score54Caution

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity5 screens run · 2 don't apply · 3 awaiting data
Market integrity
74Good

Outcome is hard to influence

Outcome controlStructural risk · high confidence

Settlement is decided by a token-holder vote.

Large tradesTrade signals · medium confidence

Largest single print on us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-june-30 carried 48% of its 68,886-contract tape (print is 95d old)

Screened clean
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsTrade sizes look organic. Clear
1 screen not run
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
40High Risk
Information exposureStructural risk · medium confidence

Corporate action: boards, bankers, and counsel hold the answer before the announcement

4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · data source not connected
Longshot repricing · data source not connected
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · data source not connected
Resolution quality
60Caution

Settlement depends on token voting

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Settlement is decided by a token-holder vote.

Liquidity
48Thin

Expect slippage beyond small size

1 contract · 7 settled or closed — not scored

December 3148
Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

1 contract · 7 settled or closed — not scored

December 31—
No significant move (6h)

Price was stable over the last 6 hours.

Rule clarity
100Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract · 7 settled or closed — not scored

December 31100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Trade quality
38High Risk

Order book is critically thin

Thin market — entering or exiting at fair value will be difficult.

Outcome quality 48 (notional-weighted)

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~9% of a 5.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (~9% of a 5.5c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

7 settled or closed — not scored

December 3148Market scoreLiquidity48Move quality–Rule clarity100
Why 48
Liquidity
48 · Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
No significant move (6h)

Price was stable over the last 6 hours.

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 2, 2026

6. What specific diplomatic concessions from the Trump administration could realistically lead to an agreement with Iran on the uranium stockpile before year-end 2026?

Negotiation StatusDeclared as a 'last chance' by President Trump (as of August 4, 2026) [1][2][3][4][5]
Potential US ConcessionsLifting naval blockade, oil export sanctions waivers, unfreezing billions in Iranian assets [3][6][7]
Probability of Uranium Transfer by Year-End 2026Less than 15% (prediction markets) [8][9][10]
Trump emphasizes finality in Iran nuclear negotiations, proposing concessions. As of August 4, 2026, President Trump has characterized ongoing negotiations with Iran concerning its nuclear program as a "last chance" for a diplomatic resolution, warning of further escalation of U.S. strikes if an agreement is not reached [1][2][3][4][5]. Discussions indicate potential U.S. concessions, including lifting its naval blockade, issuing waivers for oil export sanctions, and unfreezing billions in Iranian assets [3][6][7].
Iran must surrender uranium, cease attacks for concessions. These proposed concessions are designed to secure Iran's surrender of its highly enriched uranium stockpile and a cessation of regional militia attacks [3][6][7]. Furthermore, a comprehensive agreement could involve securing substantial reconstruction funds from Gulf Arab allies to support Iran's post-conflict recovery [3][6][7].
Prediction markets show low confidence in uranium deal by year-end. Despite these ongoing diplomatic efforts, prediction markets currently reflect considerable skepticism regarding the prospects of a deal. They assign a very low probability, generally less than 15%, to the United States obtaining physical possession of Iranian enriched uranium by the close of 2026 [8][9][10].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Trump says new talks are 'last chance' for Iran to forge deal | AP Newsapnews.com
  2. 2Trump says Iran talks to resume Monday after scrapping strikescnbc.com
  3. 3Trump says not to rush as U.S. nears potential Iran deal | PBS Newspbs.org
  4. 4Trump warns Iran it has last chance to avoid escalating US strikes | Fox Newsfoxnews.com
  5. 5Trump says new talks are Iran's 'last chance' to make deal before 'decapitation' - France 24france24.com
  6. 6Trump’s Least Bad Option in Iran | Foreign Affairsforeignaffairs.com
  7. 7Trump's U.S.-Iran framework agreement, explainednpr.org
  8. 8https://polymarket.com/event/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-bypolymarket.com
  9. 9US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? - Live Odds & Analysis | Marketssmarketss.com
  10. 10US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December… 75% No · Polymarketexplorer.struct.to

7. What recent official statements from Iranian leadership specifically address the possibility of transferring enriched uranium abroad in 2026?

Directive Issue DateMay 2026 [1][2][3]
Directive IssuerSupreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei [1][2][3]
Transfer Negotiability StanceNot subject to negotiation [4][5][6]
Iran's Supreme Leader prohibited transferring enriched uranium abroad in May 2026. In May 2026, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader, issued a formal directive that explicitly forbade the transfer of the nation's enriched uranium stockpile to foreign entities [1][2][3]. This pronouncement significantly solidified Iran's stance, particularly against demands from the United States [1].
Iranian officials affirmed enriched uranium transfer is non-negotiable and vital. Throughout 2026, spokespeople for the Iranian Foreign Ministry consistently declared that the transfer of enriched uranium was not a matter for negotiation, framing it as an issue of national pride [4][5][6]. The broader Iranian establishment also reached a consensus that retaining the stockpile within the country is critical for national security [7][3].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Supreme Leader says enriched uranium must stay in Iran...reuters.com
  2. 2Mojtaba forbids export of enriched uranium: officials - The Hinduthehindu.com
  3. 3Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile: Can it be safely transferred? | Al Jazeera Mirroraljazeeranews-mggx1uo47w.edgeone.app
  4. 4Transfer of Enriched Uranium Abroad Out of Question: Iran Spokesman - Politics news - Tasnim News Agencytasnimnews.ir
  5. 5'Enriched uranium not going to be transferred anywhere', Iran says - TRT Worldtrtworld.com
  6. 6Iran Won’t Transfer Enriched Uranium Abroad: Spokesman - Politics news - Tasnim News Agencytasnimnews.ir
  7. 7Transferring enriched uranium from Iran difficult: IAEA chief - Mehr News Agencyen.mehrnews.com

8. How do the stated positions of the Trump administration and the Israeli government differ on the final resolution of Iran's enriched uranium program?

Trump Admin. PolicyDownblending enriched uranium on-site under IAEA supervision [1][2]
Israel's PolicyComplete removal of enriched uranium and dismantling infrastructure [3][4][5][6][7]
Trump Policy FormalizationMid-2026 memorandum of understanding [1][2]
The Trump administration and Israel maintain distinct official positions on the final resolution of Iran's enriched uranium program. Both governments share the objective of preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons, but their proposed methods for handling the nuclear material and related infrastructure diverge significantly. The Trump administration's approach, formalized in a mid-2026 memorandum of understanding, focuses on the downblending of Iran's enriched uranium on-site, with supervision from the IAEA [1][2]. President Trump stated that the U.S. would seek to secure the material either through negotiation or, if talks prove unsuccessful, potentially through the use of force [8][5].
Israel demands complete removal and dismantling of Iran's nuclear infrastructure. The Israeli government, under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has established a more stringent "red line" for the program [3][4][5]. Israel's conditions include the complete removal of all enriched uranium from Iranian territory, the total dismantling of all uranium enrichment infrastructure, and the permanent cessation of all enrichment capabilities [3][4][5][6][7]. This stance contrasts with merely downblending or applying temporary limitations, emphasizing a permanent halt to Iran's enrichment capacity [3][4][5][6][7].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Iran's nuclear program still must be negotiated after initial deal | AP Newsapnews.com
  2. 2Here's how Trump's memo of understanding with Iran compares to the Obama nuclear deal - CBS Newscbsnews.com
  3. 3Benjamin Netanyahu: Israel will never let Iran rebuild nuclear sites | The Jerusalem Postjpost.com
  4. 4Principles for an Israeli Strategy to Address the Iranian... - INSSinss.org.il
  5. 5Iran war ‘not over,’ uranium must be removed: Netanyahuenglish.alarabiya.net
  6. 6Israel demands removal of all uranium from Iran, prepares for escalationisraelhayom.com
  7. 7Netanyahu lists condition for US-Iran deal but Tehran wants sanctions relief: Will second round of nuclear talks succeed?wionews.com
  8. 8Trump: US 'very close' to deal with Iran, but demanding stricter nuclear terms | The Times of Israeltimesofisrael.com

9. What escalatory actions by Iran could trigger a U.S. military operation to seize the uranium stockpile before the end of 2026?

Iran Uranium Stockpileestimated 970-pound (near-weapons-grade enriched) [1][2]
Operation StatusPaused as of June 2026 [3]
Troop RequirementLarge-scale deployment of U.S. ground troops [1][2]
The U.S. previously considered a military operation to seize Iran's uranium stockpile. President Donald Trump reportedly considered ordering a U.S. military operation to seize Iran's estimated 970-pound stockpile of near-weapons-grade enriched uranium, a mission that military experts and officials indicate would likely require a large-scale deployment of U.S. ground troops [1][2]. Planning for this operation was in advanced stages and considered a top priority for the Trump administration, but the mission has been paused as of June 2026 [3].
The broader U.S.-Iran conflict remains escalatory, complicating strategic military options. This ongoing conflict is characterized by a cycle of escalation involving control over the Strait of Hormuz, retaliatory strikes on energy infrastructure, and the breakdown of a June 2026 memorandum of understanding [4]. This escalatory environment continues to complicate the strategic situation and the feasibility of a specialized nuclear seizure mission. While Iran has issued warnings concerning attempts to open new routes in the Strait of Hormuz and against a "fire of war" amid U.S. strike threats on energy sites, the available information does not explicitly detail what specific escalatory actions by Iran would trigger the U.S. to resume or initiate a military operation to seize the uranium stockpile [5][6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Will Trump deploy US troops to seize Iran's uranium? | AP Newsapnews.com
  2. 2Large US special ops force would be needed on ground to seize Iran's uranium - ABC Newsabcnews.com
  3. 3Exclusive: US military rushed to prepare ground mission to capture Iran’s uranium, but Trump paused it, sources say – KION Central Coastkioncentralcoast.com
  4. 4Status of US-Iran talks uncertain as ship struck in Hormuz | The Straits Timesstraitstimes.com
  5. 5Iran general warns US warships: Any attempt to open new Hormuz route could trigger attackgulfnews.com
  6. 6Iran warns against ‘fire of war’ amid US strike threats on energy sites | US-Israel war on Iran News | Al Jazeeraaljazeera.com

10. What technical assessments exist on the feasibility and timeline for recovering Iran's enriched uranium from the rubble of its nuclear facilities?

Uranium Enrichment Level60 percent [1][2]
Buried Uranium Quantityapproximately 400 kilograms [1][2]
International Inspector Accessrestricted [1][2]
Recovering Iran's buried enriched uranium is exceptionally hazardous and faces low feasibility. Technical and military analysts consider the physical recovery of enriched uranium from the rubble of Iranian nuclear facilities to be an exceptionally hazardous, complex, and potentially unrealistic mission [3][4][5][2][6]. This skepticism is reflected in prediction markets, which have historically assigned low probabilities to the U.S. obtaining physical custody or control of this material within specified 2026 timeframes [7][8][9][10].
Significant technical and operational challenges hinder any recovery efforts. Key obstacles include high radiation risks, uncertainty regarding the structural integrity of underground tunnels, and the necessity for heavy equipment to clear debris within a hostile war zone [3][4][5][2][6]. Furthermore, securing multiple, widely dispersed sites against potential counterattacks presents a formidable logistical challenge [3][4][5][2][6]. Proposed extraction methods, such as direct U.S. special operations ground incursions or on-site dilution, all carry extreme risks to personnel and mission success, with no consensus on a safe or feasible execution strategy [3][4][5][2][6].
Iran reports 400 kg of 60% enriched uranium remains buried. As of November 2025, the Iranian government stated that approximately 400 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent remained buried beneath debris [1][2]. The government indicated there were no current plans to retrieve this material until conditions permitted, and access for international inspectors has continued to be restricted [1][2].
Sources (10)
  1. 160% uranium lies under rubble, no plan to retrieve it, Iran's FM says | Iran Internationaliranintl.com
  2. 2When the Shooting Stops: Securing Iran's Nuclear Program...nti.org
  3. 3Recovering buried uranium at Iran’s Isfahan nuclear site is impossible, expert saysynetnews.com
  4. 4Why seizing Iran's uranium would be so risky for the USbbc.com
  5. 5Iran's nuclear materials and equipment remain a danger in...theconversation.com
  6. 6‘The mother of all commando raids’: US forces may need to secure uranium in Iran, analysts say | Stars and Stripesstripes.com
  7. 7https://polymarket.com/event/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-bypolymarket.com
  8. 8US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?tomorrowodds.com
  9. 9Will the US Obtain Iranian Enriched Uranium by May 31?lines.com
  10. 10US obtains Iranian enriched uranium Odds: No Clear Favorite Yet | Live Oddspredictioncircle.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The transfer of Iran's enriched uranium stockpile remains a primary U.S. demand in ongoing diplomatic negotiations to end the U.S.-Iran war that began in February 2026 [1][2][3][4]. As of August 2026, the United States has not obtained this material; reports indicate Iran's enriched uranium stockpile remains in Iran, largely inaccessible or claimed by Iranian officials to be under the rubble of facilities damaged by U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in 2025 and 2026 [1][5][6]. Negotiations have included proposals for Iran to ship its uranium stockpile to the U.S. or a third country, or to have it 'down-blended' within Iran under international supervision, in exchange for the release of billions of dollars in frozen Iranian assets [3][4][7]. However, diplomatic negotiations have faced persistent stalemates, with Iran rejecting U.S. proposals that require the dismantling of its nuclear facilities and the abandonment of its enrichment program [8].
An interim agreement from June 2026 established a 60-day window for technical discussions regarding Iran's nuclear program and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with this deadline expiring in late August 2026 [1][4][9]. As of August 4, 2026, tensions remain high [10][11]. President Trump has characterized the situation as Iran's 'last chance' for a deal [10][12], while Iranian officials simultaneously deny direct negotiations with the U.S. and emphasize bilateral talks only with Oman regarding shipping routes [10][11][12]. U.S. officials maintain a "red line" demanding the end of all uranium enrichment in Iran [8].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Closes: December 31, 2026
Sources (12)
  1. 1NYT: US to demand Iran transfer enriched uranium stockpilecaliber.az
  2. 2Pending deal 'leads to' Washington getting Iran's enriched...timesofisrael.com
  3. 3U.S. considers $20 billion Iran cash-for-uranium dealaxios.com
  4. 4Trump says Iran’s enriched uranium would go to US under emerging dealynetnews.com
  5. 5Iran and Nuclear Weapons Productioncongress.gov
  6. 6Iran and Nuclear Weapons Productioncongress.gov
  7. 7Iran says enriched uranium 'not going to be transferred' despite Trump claim | RNZ Newsrnz.co.nz
  8. 8U.S.-Iran Ceasefire: Assessment, Reactions, and Issues for Congresscongress.gov
  9. 9Officials report progress on a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz | AP Newsapnews.com
  10. 10Trump and Iran clash over Strait of Hormuz talks as cargo ship is attackednbcnews.com
  11. 11Status of US-Iran talks uncertain as ship struck in Hormuz - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012al-monitor.com
  12. 12Live updates: Trump calls off Iran strikes, warns of ‘last chance’ to sign a deal | CNNcnn.com