Before 2028
Market Model 20.0% 11.7%
Before 2030
Market Model 44.0% 27.7%
Physics & Math Markets
Active Markets (2)
Luigi Zingales
Market Model 8.0% 3.1%
Ariel Pakes
Market Model 16.0% 7.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved? Top outcome: Before 2028 | 20.0% | 11.7% | High | 127,414 contracts | Refresh |
| Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 Top outcome: Luigi Zingales | 8.0% | 3.1% | Med | 1,019 contracts | Refresh |
