Before 2027
Market Model 12.4% 6.2%
Before July 2026
Market Model 1.0% 0.5%
Space Markets
Active Markets (3)
Before 2027
Market Model 1.6% 0.6%
Before 2028
Market Model 5.3% 1.8%
United States
Market Model 54.0% 41.8%
China
Market Model 32.4% 24.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 12.4% | 6.2% | Med | $26,822,141.92 | Refresh |
| NASA lands on the moon? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 1.6% | 0.6% | High | $470,155.73 | Refresh |
| Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? Top outcome: United States | 54.0% | 41.8% | Med | $131,856.81 | Refresh |
