Big Tech & Business Markets

Active Markets (2)

Tesla Optimus released this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 16.0% 20.8%

306.7K contracts Refresh

When will OpenAI achieve AGI? Kalshi

Before 2027

Market Model 7.0% 8.6%

Before 2028

Market Model 22.9% 28.8%

551.9K contracts Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
Tesla Optimus released this year? Yes refers to: Before 2027	16.0%	20.8%	Med	69	Refresh
When will OpenAI achieve AGI? Top outcome: Before 2027	7.0%	8.6%	High	78	Refresh