KPIs Markets

Active Markets (2)

Yes

Market Model 91.0% 93.8%

$268.7K Refresh

Claude

Market Model 62.1% 32.5%

Gemini

Market Model 22.1% 37.9%

1.1M contracts Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes refers to: Yes	91.0%	93.8%	Med	72	Refresh
Best AI at the end of 2026? Top outcome: Claude	62.1%	32.5%	Med	81	Refresh

Expired Markets (5)

Yes

Market Model 15.0% 9.8%

$47.9K

Yes

Market Model 97.5% 96.0%

$170.1K

Yes

Market Model — —

334.9K contracts

Yes

Market Model — —

1.6M contracts

Yes

Market Model — —

443.7K contracts

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes	15.0%	9.8%	Med	53
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes	97.5%	96.0%	Med	—
Best AI this week?	—	—	Med	—
Best AI in Feb 2026?	—	—	Med	—
Best AI this week?	—	—	Med	—