Topic tracker · Sports
WTA Tennis Match
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 36 so far (0 live, 36 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new WTA Tennis Match markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 16, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udvardy vs Kawa | July 30, 2026 | 63.7% vs 56.0% | Report → |
| Micic vs Zheng | July 29, 2026 | 6.6% vs 8.0% | Report → |
| Noskova vs Mertens | July 22, 2026 | 65.1% vs 62.0% | Report → |
| Kostyuk vs Paolini | July 22, 2026 | 65.2% vs 70.0% | Report → |
| Bencic vs Gauff | July 19, 2026 | 52.5% vs 49.0% | Report → |
| Pegula vs Jovic | July 19, 2026 | 42.4% vs 63.0% | Report → |
| Samsonova vs Bouzkova | July 18, 2026 | 34.1% vs 42.0% | Report → |
| Alexandrova vs Jovic | July 17, 2026 | 17.1% vs 18.0% | Report → |
| Anisimova vs Kenin | July 16, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Blinkova vs Kostyuk | July 16, 2026 | 16.0% vs 21.0% | Report → |
| Sabalenka vs Pegula | July 4, 2026 | 30.8% vs 22.0% | Report → |
| Boulter vs Fernandez | June 21, 2026 | 27.0% vs 31.0% | Report → |
| Svitolina vs Bencic | June 14, 2026 | 70.2% vs 67.0% | Report → |
| Teichmann vs Muchova | June 12, 2026 | 21.8% vs 31.0% | Report → |
| Swiatek vs Svitolina | May 28, 2026 | 81.0% vs 78.0% | Report → |
| Cirstea vs Gauff | May 28, 2026 | 25.2% vs 32.0% | Report → |
| Cirstea vs Ostapenko | May 12, 2026 | — | Report → |
| Gauff vs Jovic | May 25, 2026 | 75.2% vs 76.0% | Report → |
| Bondar vs Zheng | May 19, 2026 | 68.4% vs 65.0% | Report → |
| Pliskova vs Potapova | May 13, 2026 | 49.6% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| Fernandez vs Andreeva | May 12, 2026 | 7.3% vs 8.0% | Report → |
| Sabalenka vs Osaka | May 11, 2026 | 70.8% vs 60.0% | Report → |
| Mertens vs Pliskova | May 9, 2026 | 66.4% vs 65.0% | Report → |
| Ruse vs Rybakina | May 7, 2026 | 15.8% vs 17.0% | Report → |
| Sonmez vs Bucsa | May 7, 2026 | 73.7% vs 81.0% | Report → |
| Blinkova vs Brancaccio | May 4, 2026 | 73.8% vs 80.0% | Report → |
| Rybakina vs Muchova | May 3, 2026 | 98.9% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Noskova vs Svitolina | May 1, 2026 | 21.0% vs 1.0% | Report → |
| Ruse vs Yastremska | April 22, 2026 | 68.8% vs 74.0% | Report → |
| Yastremska vs Li | April 20, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Eala vs Linette | April 4, 2026 | 60.6% vs 60.0% | Report → |
| Cirstea vs Mertens | April 4, 2026 | 51.0% vs 51.0% | Report → |
| Parks vs Kraus | April 1, 2026 | 47.0% vs 56.0% | Report → |
| Siniakova vs Osorio | March 31, 2026 | 37.8% vs 53.0% | Report → |
| Seidel vs Masarova | March 31, 2026 | 23.0% vs 41.0% | Report → |
| Zarazua vs Hon | March 15, 2026 | 61.1% vs 61.5% | Report → |
